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The ongoing U.S. tariffs situation is widely covered in economic and political headlines, but one of its less-discussed casualties is the human resources (HR) department.

Although HR teams are not directly involved in trade negotiations or tariff enforcement, the consequences of tariff changes are creating an unexpected wave of challenges, from workforce disruptions to morale issues and talent management headaches.

It’s a situation, says Brad Ratz, Director of Growth Strategy and Customer Experience at H2R Business Solutions, has not gone unnoticed by companies like his that provide support to small and mid-sized businesses.

“It definitely shifts you from a proactive stance to a reactive stance as an organization,” says Brad, referring to the ongoing impact of tariffs and how businesses have had to adapt. “But I think in the last few weeks there has been some more stability.”

Tariffs, essentially taxes on imported goods, often lead to higher costs for raw materials, components, and finished products. For industries like manufacturing, automotive, electronics, agriculture, and retail, this has created enormous financial pressure. While executives and supply chain managers scramble to adjust pricing, sourcing, and operations, HR departments are left to manage the human side of the fallout.

Companies facing shrinking profit margins often respond with hiring freezes, layoffs, or restructuring. This leaves HR teams tasked with managing reductions in force, handling severance, conducting difficult conversations, and navigating legal risks—all while maintaining morale among the remaining workforce.

Assessment key for businesses

However, Brad says on the other end of the ‘doom and gloom’ side of the situation there has been an uptake in hiring as many companies capitalize on the ‘buy Canadian’ movement.

“As many companies are being impacted and may be modeling out some worst-case scenarios, we've got on the other side clients that say, ‘How do we even keep up with the amount of work that's being directed to us right now?’” says Brad, adding organizations must really start to think strategically when it comes to planning. “How do we navigate this uptick? Because the question then is how long is this sustainable?”

For companies forced to shift their strategies—such as relocating manufacturing out of tariff-affected countries—HR faces the complex task of redeploying talent. This might involve reskilling workers for new roles, managing transfers, or negotiating with unions. Retraining programs, once seen as long-term development initiatives, have become urgent necessities to keep pace with rapidly changing business needs.

Assessment, says Brad, is key when companies are faced with rapid changes.

“Take that pause and ask some questions and assess the landscape and what's happening. Once you've assessed, then it's time to start planning. What's best case scenario and what's worst case scenario?” he says. “I love the assessment piece because you’re acting off of real data and you're kind of eliminating some of that emotional stuff that's going to come in if you don't stop and do the assessment.”

Managers require support

Another hidden cost of the tariffs situation is employee anxiety. News of supply chain disruptions, rising costs, or customer losses spreads quickly through the workforce. Employees fear for their jobs, speculate about layoffs, and worry about the company’s future. Even if no cuts are made, morale can take a hit, leading to drops in productivity and engagement.

HR teams must invest time in internal communication to reassure employees, manage rumours, and maintain trust. They also need to support managers in having transparent conversations with their teams. In some cases, HR may introduce stress management programs or offer additional mental health resources to help employees cope.

“We've had a significant increase from a training and development side trying to equip leaders to help navigate the changes that are coming through this and support their teams,” says Brad, adding some smaller organizations may already have tools in place to assist. “If you do feel like your team is going to be affected in many different ways, what systems or tools do you already have access and available that can support our staff through this?”

Moving forward, companies need to recognize HR’s critical role in times of economic disruption. This means ensuring that HR leaders have a seat at the table during strategic planning, providing resources for employee support programs, and investing in workforce planning and training. Without this, the toll on morale, retention, and performance may far outlast the tariff wars themselves.

Speaking on a personal note, Brad says despite any shifts caused by tariffs, he is optimistic for the what the economic future holds.

“Canada is one of the largest economies in the world. On a global scale, we’re not small and there's lots of opportunity out there,” he says. “Typically, after any time of crisis, and I would classify this as crisis, that's usually when the largest level of innovation happens.”

Challenges faced by HR departments include:

Job security and layoffs

Tariffs can lead to declining demand in certain industries, potentially causing layoffs and hiring freezes. HR must develop strategies for managing workforce reductions while maintaining employee morale.

Reskilling and upskilling

As businesses adapt to changing market conditions, including tariff-related shifts in supply chains, HR may need to focus on reskilling employees for new roles.

Employee morale

The uncertainty surrounding tariff policies and their potential impact on jobs and the economy can negatively affect employee morale, leading to decreased productivity and engagement.

Compensation and benefits

Rising material costs due to tariffs can put pressure on company budgets, potentially requiring HR to adjust compensation structures and benefits packages to remain competitive.

Transparency and communication

HR leaders need to be transparent with employees about how tariffs may impact the business and provide support programs to help them navigate the changes.

Impact on healthcare costs

Tariffs could also lead to rising pharmaceutical costs, adding to the challenges already faced by HR in managing healthcare inflation, according to Businessolver.

Conducting an effective business meeting requires more than simply gathering people in a room or on a video call. Many meetings fall short of their potential due to common pitfalls that can undermine productivity, morale, and decision-making.

One of the most frequent pitfalls is the absence of a clear, defined objective. Without a specific goal, meetings often devolve into vague discussions with little direction. Participants may leave the meeting confused about what was decided or what actions are expected of them.

“It all comes down to proper planning,” says Linda Braga, Business & Executive Development Specialist with LMI Canada, which has provided leadership development for more than 50 years. “It’s about being effective and aware of your time and planning.”

Effective meetings begin with a clear purpose, whether it's planning, brainstorming ideas, solving a problem, or sharing updates. Having a focused agenda helps keep discussions on track and ensures that time is used efficiently, something Linda says is pivotal.

“Who is ensuring there is a plan and an agenda? Who is taking ownership of the meeting?” she says. “You have to show strong leadership and stick to the agenda. If something comes up, then you’re going to take that offline and have another meeting.”

Preparation needed

Time is a valuable resource, and poorly managed meetings can waste a significant amount of it. Meetings that start late, run over time, or spend too long on unimportant issues frustrate participants and reduce productivity. This often stems from a lack of preparation or failure to allocate appropriate time for each agenda item.

To avoid this, organizers should respect attendees' time by starting and ending on schedule and prioritizing discussion points according to their importance.

“Again, it comes down to managing time and knowing what works to fill the time that has been allotted,” says Linda, adding respecting set time limits is critical. “What’s the goal of the meeting? What are the talking points?”

She references the Pareto Principle, also known as the 80/20 rule, which suggests that for many outcomes, roughly 80% of the consequences come from 20% of the causes.

“When it comes to a problem with sales, that principle applies to everything,” says Linda. “But when it comes to productivity, it’s the same.”

A poorly facilitated meeting can quickly become chaotic or unproductive. Without someone to guide the discussion, keep things on track, and ensure that all voices are heard, meetings can veer off-topic or become dominated by side conversations.

Skilled facilitation helps maintain focus, manages time wisely, and resolves conflicts constructively. 

“You have to have someone who is going to take control of the meeting,” says Linda. “And it’s not about cutting anybody off, but everyone needs to respect time which is the most valuable asset.”

Follow-up required

However, sometimes business leaders can hold too many meetings, resulting in ‘meeting fatigue’. When meetings are scheduled too frequently or without real necessity, they become a drain on productivity. Employees may come to view meetings as interruptions rather than valuable touchpoints.

To avoid this, businesses should regularly assess whether a meeting is truly necessary and explore alternatives like shared documents, project management tools, or short check-ins.

“It’s like being on autopilot,” says Linda, referring to those ‘regular’ meetings that may not be required. “It’s about implementing new habits and ensuring the time you’re spending is on those high payoff activities that are getting you closer to your goal or main objectives.”

A common failing in meetings is the lack of follow-up. Decisions may be made, or tasks assigned, but without proper tracking or accountability, progress can stall. People may leave without clarity on who is responsible for what, leading to miscommunication and unmet deadlines.

Every meeting should end with a clear summary of action items, responsibilities, and deadlines. Experts recommend sending a follow-up email with minutes or task lists reinforces accountability and helps keep everyone aligned.

“You don’t want passive attendees,” says Linda, adding having people leave meetings motivated and engaged is key. “There are digital tools out there that can help with action items after the meeting.”

Tips to make your meetings more productive and efficient

Define a clear purpose
Are you solving a problem, brainstorming new ideas, or updating the team on progress? Define the goal and communicate it clearly in the meeting invite. This helps attendees understand what’s expected and whether they need to be involved.

Prepare an agenda and share it early
It should outline topics for discussion, who will present them, and how much time is allotted for each. Send it at least a day in advance, so participants can come prepared with ideas or questions. A well-structured agenda prevents meetings from veering off course.

Invite the right people
Only include individuals who are directly involved or impacted by the topics on the agenda. Having too many attendees can lead to confusion and unproductive discussions, while excluding key people can result in delays or missed decisions. Be selective and intentional with your invitations.

Start and end on time
Respect everyone’s time by starting and ending the meeting as scheduled. Waiting for latecomers or allowing meetings to drag on lowers energy and reduces productivity. If you anticipate needing more time, schedule a follow-up meeting rather than extending the current one.

Establish ground rules
This might include guidelines like staying on topic, limiting side conversations, and using respectful language. Encourage active participation but make sure one person doesn’t dominate the conversation. A balanced discussion fosters better decision-making.

Take notes and assign action items
Designate someone to take notes or use a collaborative tool to document decisions and next steps in real time. Clearly identify who is responsible for each action item and set deadlines. This ensures accountability and provides a reference for future meetings.

Use technology wisely
For virtual or hybrid meetings, ensure that the technology works well. Test audio, video, and screen sharing ahead of time. Use collaboration tools like shared documents or chat features to keep everyone engaged. Keep in mind that tech issues can disrupt flow, so have a backup plan.

Follow up
After the meeting, share a summary with notes, decisions, and action items. This reinforces what was discussed and helps everyone stay aligned. Following up also gives attendees a chance to ask questions or clarify anything they missed.

The collective strength of the Ontario Chamber network to advocate for businesses during one of the most turbulent economic junctions in Canadian history became a unifying theme at the recent Ontario Chamber of Chamber of Commerce AGM in Windsor.

The event – held April 24-26 and hosted by the Windsor Essex, Amherstburg and Leamington District Chambers of Commerce - brought together approximately 150 delegates representing 60 chambers provincewide to network, hear from economic leaders, and to debate policies that can create evidence-based solutions to benefit the business community and province’s economic growth.

“The annual AGM is a great opportunity for Chamber leaders to not only share ideas and best practices, but to find ways to navigate current economic upheavals created by U.S. President Donald Trump’s continued trade threats,” says Cambridge Chamber of Commerce President and CEO Greg Durocher, who attend the AGM accompanied by Board Chair Murray Smith. “Having a unified voice is pivotal, especially now, in helping to create the certainty businesses need.”

Drop in business confidence

It was a sentiment echoed by Ontario Chamber of Commerce President and CEO Daniel Tisch during his opening remarks at the conference, entitled Bridges, Not Barriers. 

He spoke about the immense stress business leaders are under due to staffing concerns and rising prices and referenced the OCC’s ninth annual Ontario Economic Report (OER) released earlier this year which showed a significant rise in business confidence over the course of 2024, climbing from a historic low of 13 per cent to 26 per cent by year’s end.

However, despite this improvement, confidence remains historically low and fragile, with 48 per cent of businesses expressing a lack of confidence in the economy. When U.S. tariff threats are on the table, business confidence dropped dramatically to just 15 per cent, almost erasing the last year’s gains, according to the OCC’s separate tariff survey in early February.

Tisch said business leaders are looking for assistance and guidance, noting the Chamber network is the best organization to take on that leadership role.

Trade clarity will come

“We can provide that platform and provide the clarity and collaboration and continuity they need to be successful, and that they deserve because we need them to help build our province and to create jobs and economic opportunity and the growth that we all want,” he said, adding Canada will eventually achieve some level of clarity when it comes to U.S. trade. “We don’t exactly know when, but we know that it’s going to be fragile and as long as the president (Trump) is in office there is no guarantee he will respect any (trade) deal that he signs because he didn’t respect the last one. We can’t put all our eggs in that basket anymore and have to diversify as a trading nation.”

Competitiveness was the underlying theme of two sessions at the AGM featuring a panel of experts, including Windsor Essex Chamber of Commerce President and CEO Ryan Donally, who spoke about the long-standing trading relationship between the U.S. and Canada. It was noted that 25% (approximately $320 to $390 million) of all trade between the two countries crosses the Ambassador Bridge daily.

Long-term strategies needed

“You can’t unscramble this egg since cross-border trade has been around for at least a century,” he said, adding Trump’s tariffs will cost thousands of jobs on both sides of the border before stressing the need for trade diversification and long-term strategies.

It was a sentiment shared by Luke Polcyn, Senior Executive, Development and Economic Transformation for the City of Detroit, who outlined the vibrant trading relationship between the two cities and the opportunity for cross-border partnerships in terms of innovation assets.

“This disruption (tariffs) is being done in our name but ask any SMEs on the U.S. side and they would tell you the system could be tweaked but not blown up,” he said.

A second panel of experts which focused on Ontario’s ‘competitive edge’ offered insights on how key sectors can navigate policy changes, and how the province can build on its future competitiveness.

“Our responsibility at the moment is to think long-term,” said panelist Jaipaul Massey-Singh, CEO of the Brampton Board of Trade, adding more could be done to commercialize innovation. “Let’s not let this crisis go to waste. It’s not all doom and gloom but a wakeup call.”

He stressed the need to hold decision-makers accountable to push for change, an opinion shared by a fellow panelist, Sueling Ching, President and CEO of the Ottawa Board of Trade.

“We must demand a continued collaboration of strategies,” she said. “Our new normal is change.”

Policies will help businesses

In effort to make changes, this year 36 policies were approved by the delegates covering a wide variety of issues that can directly affect businesses. These included  policies relating to education, healthcare, homelessness, mental health and addictions, transportation, infrastructure, and manufacturing. These policies now become entrenched in the Ontario Chamber of Commerce’s policy ‘play book’ to guide its ongoing advocacy work at Queen’s Park.

The Cambridge Chamber co-sponsored three policies which received support from delegates:

Create and Implement a Provincial Strategy to Address Homelessness, Mental Health and Addictions

• This policy outlines several recommendations for the Province, including ensuring social services outreach teams are available as partners to police throughout Ontario to support marginalized individuals and improve province wide data collection and access for frontline services to enable better decision-making. Also, prioritize funding, program, and policy changes to better support those with complex mental health conditions that may pose a risk to themselves and others, and incentivize municipalities to develop more low barrier supportive housing solutions.

Cutting Administration for Ontario Physicians

• This policy sets out several recommendations, including encouraging the Province to collaborate with physicians, healthcare administrators and stakeholders to set key performance indicators for administrative workloads and set targets based on industry benchmarks to ensure improvements in physician efficiency. It also calls for the prioritization of secure digital technology to reduce administrative burdens, and collaboration with the Ontario Medical Association and other healthcare organizations to implement proven strategies that reduce physicians’ workloads.

Ontario Government Assistance on Employment Land Assembly

• This policy calls for the Province to financially assist municipalities with the purchase of land for major industrial and economic development projects. It also recommends funding support be provided for necessary infrastructure, such as roads, utilities, and servicing, to enhance the viability of potential employment lands to attract investors. As well, it recommends the need for regional partnerships and engagement with the private sector to optimize both existing and new employment land uses to ensure the land assembly efforts integrate with broader economic strategies. 

Despite progress in gender equality and growing awareness of women’s contributions to the economy, women continue to be underrepresented in entrepreneurship in Canada.

Sadly, this comes at a time when entrepreneurship itself - always a driving force for innovation, job creation and economic growth - is also declining and continues to suffer post-pandemic. In fact, BDC (Business Development Bank of Canada) has noted half as many people are opening businesses now compared with 20 years ago.

The impact of these issues is explored in a recent Canadian Chamber of Commerce report entitled Women Entrepreneurs: Canada’s Biggest Missed Business Opportunity, a follow up to a report the national business organization’s Business Data Lab released last year entitled Barely Breaking Ground: The Slow Stride of Progress for Women in Business Leadership and Entrepreneurship.

Both reports outline the ‘glacial’ progress of women-owned ventures, despite years of investment.

“I don’t think it’s something that can be resolved by one party or one piece of the ecosystem,” says Marwa Abdou, Senior Research Director at the Canadian Chamber of Commerce, who authored the Women Entrepreneurs report. “I think it needs an all-hands-on deck approach.”

Among its many surprising findings, this latest report found that women-owned businesses have not accounted for more than 20% of all enterprises since 2005 and that approximately 710,000 majority women-owned businesses are ‘missing’ (meaning people who could be involved in entrepreneurship but are not). Also, nearly two-thirds of these ‘missing’ women-owned businesses in Canada are in Ontario and Quebec.

Limited access to capital

One of the most significant barriers for women entrepreneurs in Canada remains limited access to capital. Studies consistently show that women are less likely to receive funding from investors and banks. This can be due to several reasons, including unconscious bias in lending practices, lack of networks connecting women to investors, and fewer women in investment decision-making roles.

“They deal with, comparatively and relatively speaking, more barriers to entry, particularly in a male dominated sector. They have less access to funding and are mentored less and have less training,” says Marwa. “All of that is also mirrored in their trajectory in the business landscape. When you then add on top of it an entrepreneurship environment where it is much more difficult and much riskier to be an entrepreneur, generally that means that the very barriers that women have faced for decades have now become exponentially worse.”

Successful entrepreneurship often relies on access to networks, mentors, and business communities. Unfortunately, women are underrepresented in these areas. Networking events, accelerator programs, and industry associations may not always feel welcoming or inclusive to women, especially those from racialized or Indigenous backgrounds.

Lack of mentors

Marwa notes in a recent podcast she hosts called Canada’s Economy Explained, her guest Isabelle Hudon, President and CEO of the Business Development Bank of Canada (BDC), discussed the economic gap of fewer women entrepreneurs and the pieces surrounding this issue.

“One of the things that she (Isabelle) talks about is even something as simple as when you think about women coming in and bringing in an entrepreneurial idea; they're coming into a boardroom full of white men who are somewhere in the middle, or not engaged,” says Marwa. “They're not going to see things from their perspective. They're not connected to the markets that they're connected to. They don't have the same lens on these issues.”

Without mentors who understand the unique challenges faced by women entrepreneurs, it can be difficult to navigate business growth, funding, and leadership development. The lack of visible female role models in certain industries also contributes to fewer women pursuing entrepreneurship in those fields.

Policies can be cumbersome

Marwa says the need for having advocates and champions in the room for these women entrepreneurs is crucial to access the capital pieces needed, explaining current policies and funding opportunities have not made it easy. She refers to the $2 billion Women Entrepreneurship Strategy (WES) announced by the Government of Canada in 2018 to advance women entrepreneurship.

“We haven't really gotten traction on the things that have really held women back,” she says, adding current polices have made it cumbersome for them to get the loans they need or decipher which start-up incubators or accelerators they can tap into. “We have a lot of programs, and we have a lot of funding that we've made available for women entrepreneurs, but we haven't thought about the practicalities of what it's like from their perspective to navigate that landscape.”

Click here to read the report.

Findings from Women Entrepreneurs: Canada’s Biggest Missed Business Opportunity:

• Roughly 710,000 majority women-owned businesses are “missing” (i.e., “people... who are not involved in entrepreneurship, but who could be” (OECD 2023).
• Women-owned businesses have not accounted for more than 20% of all enterprises since 2005 and stand at approximately 18% in 2024, behind of the federal Women Entrepreneurship Strategy’s goal to double the number of women- owned businesses by 2025.
• Women remain underrepresented in high-growth industries such as construction, mining, and tech, where they own fewer than 10% of businesses.
• Almost two-thirds of Canada’s “missing women-owned businesses” are in Ontario and Quebec. The gender gap is highest in the Prairies, Prince Edward Island, and New Brunswick.

Why there is a lack of women entrepreneurs in Canada

Access to Capital and Funding

Studies show that women receive less venture capital and are less likely to secure business loans compared to their male counterparts.

Gender Bias and Stereotypes

Women often face skepticism about their abilities, particularly in male-dominated industries like technology or construction. Stereotypes about women being risk-averse or less committed to business pursuits can undermine their credibility.

Limited Networks and Mentorship Opportunities

Many networking environments remain male-dominated, which can be intimidating or unwelcoming for women. Additionally, a lack of female mentors in leadership roles means aspiring women entrepreneurs may struggle to find guidance from someone with shared experiences and challenges.

Balancing Family Responsibilities

Women are still more likely than men to bear the primary responsibility for childcare and household duties. This unequal distribution of domestic responsibilities can limit the time, flexibility, and energy women must devote to entrepreneurial ventures.

Confidence and Risk-Taking

While women are just as capable as men, studies suggest that women may be less likely to pursue entrepreneurship due to lower self-confidence or a greater perception of risk. This often reflects societal conditioning that encourages men to take bold steps while urging women to play it safe.

Lack of Representation and Role Models

There are relatively few high-profile female entrepreneurs in Canada. This lack of visible role models can lead to a perception that entrepreneurship is a “man’s world,” discouraging some women from pursuing that path.

Structural and Institutional Barriers

Finally, institutional policies and practices can inadvertently disadvantage women. Similarly, economic development policies may focus on sectors where women are underrepresented, such as tech or manufacturing, rather than supporting diverse entrepreneurial pathways.

The political landscape of the United States has always had ripple effects beyond its borders, particularly in Canada. The two countries share not only economic ties but also social, cultural, and psychological interconnections. 

In recent years, particularly during Donald Trump’s first, and now second presidency, Canadians have reported increased levels of stress and anxiety related to the political climate south of the border. From threats of tariffs to talk of annexation and aggressive foreign policies, these developments are more than just headlines—they’re mental health triggers.

“Unfortunately, right now in particular, our world is very unsettled,” says Helen Fishburn, CEO of the Canadian Mental Health Association, Waterloo Wellington Branch. “We’re feeling it in every part of our lives and the ground we're walking on is literally changing day by day.”

Throughout the pandemic, she says the CMHA experienced a 40% increase in call volumes pertaining to mental health issues which have not returned to pre-pandemic levels creating a ‘new normal’ level, which has only been exacerbated by Trump’s talk of tariffs and annexation.

Beyond the economic implications, there is a psychological toll in witnessing long-standing alliances become strained. Canadians often view the U.S. as not only a close neighbour but also a partner in shared democratic and cultural values. When that relationship feels uncertain—especially when threatened by economic aggression or nationalist rhetoric—it can lead to a sense of instability, helplessness, and even identity confusion for some.

People feeling anxious

“We’ve seen another uptick in calls and concerns, but that's not unusual for us when the world is unsettled and things are happening in our community that people feel very anxious and worried about,” says Helen. “It’s a tough world that we're navigating right now.”

She says it’s important for people to take responsibility for their own mental health, which can be difficult when it comes to navigating negative posts on social media.

Paying attention to yourself is key she says.

“Ask yourself, ‘What are the things that I'm doing to cope right now?’, especially if you're in one of those sectors that's really impacted by tariffs like the automotive industry, food, construction, agriculture, forest and mining,” says Helen. “We have to be a little more vigilant about our mental health.”

First and foremost, she says we have a responsibility to try and manage the stress that we're experiencing in our lives in a way that's healthy and productive.

“But there are times that we lose our ground, and we just don't always catch it,” she says.  “However, you can see it sometimes in other people sooner than you can see it in yourself.”

In workplaces, she says it’s important for employers to recognize when an employee may be struggling, looking for various signs such as sudden absenteeism, significant tiredness, or introverted behaviour from someone who has always been more extroverted. She notes that approximately $51 billion annually in Canada is lost due to mental health issues in the workplace.

Connection good for mental health

“First of all, the most important thing is to actually name it and talk about the stress we're under,” says Helen. “Talk about the impact of all the things that are happening in the world, most of which we don't have any control over, and really identify that and create opportunities for employees to talk about it.”

She says setting healthy boundaries is important, ensuring employees can disconnect from their workplace and encouraging them to access EAPs (Employee Assistance Programs), or provide pamphlets and information through email that can benefit them. 

“Continue to regularly encourage people to connect as they need to, and then have managers check in with their staff in a very kind of informal, non-judgmental way,” says Helen, adding employees must also not be made to feel they are being monitored. “But it can go a long way when your manager just says, ‘How are you doing with all this? How are you managing? Is there anything you need?’”

At the CMHA, which has approximately 450 staff members working across nine offices, staff meet several times a year, plus an online forum is used where employees are encouraged to ask questions. 

Supports are available

“You need to find multiple ways to keep your employees engaged because those are the kind of things that keep people feeling connected and grounded,” says Helen, adding how important this can be considering hybrid workplaces. 

For those workplaces that require mental health supports, she says the CMHA has many resources available, including its ‘Here 24 Seven’ service where people can access assistance for themselves or a family member via a toll-free number (1-844-Here-247), or by visiting www.here247.ca.

“Just call us and we'll help you figure out. We're always available to help people and make sure that they get to where they need to get to it,” says Helen, noting the economic impact mental health has on businesses can’t be ignored.  “We continue to be very underfunded across the mental health sector as it relates to healthcare in general. We're struggling to meet the needs that's out there and know the need just continues to rise and be even more intense.”

Methods business leaders can support the mental health of their teams:

Foster an Open and Supportive Culture

By normalizing conversations and showing vulnerability—such as discussing stress or burnout—they help reduce the stigma. Encouraging open dialogue, offering empathy, and actively listening to employee concerns create a safe space where people feel comfortable seeking help.

Provide Access to Mental Health Resources

Organizations should invest in resources that support mental well-being, such as Employee Assistance Programs (EAPs), therapy services, wellness apps, and mental health days. Leaders should ensure employees are aware of these benefits and encourage their use without fear of judgment or career repercussions.

Promote Work-Life Balance

Leaders can model healthy work habits by setting clear boundaries, taking time off, and respecting employees’ personal time. Flexible work schedules and remote options also help employees manage stress and balance responsibilities.

Train Managers to Recognize Signs of Distress

Managers are often the first to notice changes in behaviour or performance. Providing them with mental health training helps them recognize warning signs and approach sensitive conversations with care. Empowered managers can guide team members to appropriate resources and support early intervention.

Create a Culture of Recognition and Purpose

Leaders should regularly acknowledge employee contributions, celebrate successes, and clearly communicate how individual roles support organizational goals. A sense of purpose can be a powerful buffer against stress.

Encourage Breaks and Downtime

Leaders should encourage regular breaks, manageable workloads, and discourage a “grind” culture. Even small gestures, like encouraging walking meetings or designated no-meeting hours, can make a difference.

Lead by Example

When leaders openly prioritize their own mental health—taking time off, using wellness benefits, practicing mindfulness—they give employees permission to do the same. Authentic leadership builds trust and encourages a healthier workplace dynamic.

Continuously Evaluate and Improve

Supporting mental health is an ongoing effort. Leaders should regularly gather feedback through surveys or listening sessions and adjust policies and practices accordingly. What works for one team may not work for another, so flexibility and responsiveness are key.

Canadian businesses are grappling with significant challenges stemming from U.S. President Donald Trump's imposition of tariffs.

These measures have introduced economic uncertainty, disrupted supply chains, and strained the historically robust trade relationship between Canada and the United States.

That uncertainty has been compared to what many businesses felt when the pandemic virtually shut down the economy, creating chaos and confusion.

To assist the local business community as they did then, the Cambridge Chamber of Commerce and Greater Kitchener Waterloo Chamber of Commerce have relaunched their Ask the Expert initiative to share information and resources.

Held online every Thursday from 9 a.m. to 10 a.m., Ask the Expert provides business operators the opportunity to discuss their concerns, as well as hear the latest news and insights from a variety of professionals surrounding the issues related to this escalating trade war, including federal aid programs.

Global growth slowdown

Among those who recently shared their knowledge was Automotive Parts Manufacturers’ Association (APMA) CEO Flavio Volpe who discussed, among other things, the impact tariffs will have on auto industry on both sides of the border. 

“It almost feels a little bit like we are in the early days of the pandemic when business owners we’re just trying to understand what was happening,” says Cambridge Chamber President and CEO Greg Durocher, describing the uncertainty currently being felt by business owners.

The Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) has highlighted the detrimental impact of these tariffs on the global economy, with particular emphasis on Canada.

The OECD forecasts a slowdown in global growth to 3.1% in 2025 and 3.0% in 2026, attributing this deceleration partly to the trade tensions initiated by the U.S. Specifically, Canada's economic growth is projected to decline to 0.7% in 2025, a significant reduction that underscores the profound effect of the tariffs on the nation's economic trajectory.

Eroded business confidence

The unpredictability associated with the on-again, off-again nature of the tariffs has eroded business confidence.

The latest CEO Confidence Index from Chief Executive magazine indicates a significant drop, reaching the lowest level since November 2012. This decline is attributed to the fluctuating tariff policies between the U.S., Canada, and Mexico, which have made long-term planning and investment decisions increasingly challenging for businesses.

Executives from major financial institutions have voiced concerns about the negative impact of this uncertainty on business operations and economic stability. 

Greg says that uncertainty is clear, noting many of those logging on to Ask the Expert are smaller business owners who may not be directly impacted by tariffs but more from the trickle-down effects of a prolonged trade war.

“Nobody really knows yet what those impacts will be,” he says. “The people joining us really want to know more about timing and when things are going to happen. I think some of the concerns are morphing away from talk of annexation and are now touching on the realization that there is something really wrong in the U.S.”

To join an Ask the Expert conversation, visit www.chambercheck.ca (which offers resources and information to help businesses) and sign up. 

For those who can’t participate live, Ask the Expert videos are posted on  www.chambercheck.ca  and the Cambridge Chamber of Commerce YouTube channel. 

Federal aid package info

In response to U.S. tariff impositions that have disrupted trade and heightened economic uncertainty, the Canadian government has introduced a comprehensive aid package exceeding $6 billion to support affected businesses. The key components of this financial assistance include:

1. Trade Impact Program by Export Development Canada (EDC):

With its newly launched Trade Impact Program, EDC is prepared to facilitate an additional $5 billion over two years in support. This program aims to:

• Market Diversification: Assist exporters in identifying and penetrating new international markets, reducing reliance on the U.S. market.

• Risk Mitigation: Provide solutions to manage challenges such as non-payment risks, currency fluctuations, and cash flow constraints.

• Expansion Support: Offer financial backing to overcome barriers hindering business growth and international expansion.

These measures are designed to help companies navigate the economic challenges posed by the tariffs and adapt to the evolving trade environment. 

Government of Canada.

2. Business Development Bank of Canada (BDC) Financing:

To support businesses directly affected by the tariffs, the BDC is providing $500 million in favorably priced loans. Key features include:

• Loan Amounts: Businesses can access loans ranging from $100,000 to $2 million.

• Flexible Terms: Loans come with favorable interest rates and flexible repayment options, including the possibility of deferring principal payments for up to 12 months.

• Advisory Services: Beyond financing, BDC offers advisory services in areas such as financial management and market diversification to strengthen business resilience.

This initiative aims to provide immediate financial relief and support long-term strategic planning for affected businesses. 

3. Farm Credit Canada (FCC) Support for Agriculture and Food Industry:

Recognizing the unique challenges faced by the agriculture and food sectors, the government has allocated $1 billion in new financing through FCC. This support includes:

• Additional Credit Lines: Access to an additional credit line of up to $500,000 for eligible businesses.

• New Term Loans: Provision of new term loans to address specific financial needs arising from the tariffs.

• Payment Deferrals: Current FCC customers have the option to defer principal payments on existing loans for up to 12 months.

These measures are intended to alleviate cash flow challenges, allowing businesses to adjust to the new operating environment and continue supplying high-quality agricultural and food products. 

4. Enhancements to the Employment Insurance (EI) Work-Sharing Program:

To mitigate layoffs and retain skilled workers, the government has introduced temporary flexibilities to the EI Work-Sharing Program:

• Extended Duration: The maximum duration of work-sharing agreements has been extended from 38 weeks to 76 weeks.

• Increased Access: Adjustments have been made to make the program more accessible to businesses experiencing a downturn due to the tariffs.

This program allows employees to work reduced hours while receiving EI benefits, helping employers retain experienced staff and enabling workers to maintain their employment and skills during periods of reduced business activity. 

5. Strengthening Investment Protections:

To safeguard Canadian businesses from potentially harmful foreign takeovers during this period of economic vulnerability, the government has updated the Investment Canada Act Guidelines. While Canada continues to welcome foreign investment, these updates ensure that any investments posing risks to economic security can be thoroughly reviewed and addressed.

Click here to learn more.

The uncertainty surrounding trade policies and the potential for sustained tariffs have already begun to erode business confidence in Ontario. 

A survey conducted in February by the Ontario Chamber of Commerce (OCC) has revealed that more than 80% of businesses believe U.S. tariffs are clearly impacting confidence in Ontario’s economy. 

Coupled with the results of the OCC’s 2025 Ontario Economic Report released last month which revealed that business confidence had risen from a historic low of 13% to only 26% in 2024, Canada’s economy remains in a precarious position in wake of U.S President Donald Trump’s continued tariffs attacks.

“The problem is we have Trump, a 78-year-old man trying to run a country in the same manner as it would have been run in 1968,” says Cambridge Chamber of Commerce President and CEO Greg Durocher. “But that country doesn’t exist anymore.”

He notes Trump’s continued claim that NATFA (North American Free Trade Agreement) resulted in the closure of 90,000 plants and factories in the U.S. is an exaggeration as well as touting that introducing exorbitant tariffs will eliminate the need for income tax.

Many industries at risk

“It’s literally impossible for that to happen,” says Greg, adding revenue from tariffs would equate to about 2% of the U.S. budget. “His whole end game centres on minerals, considering all he talks about is titanium and lithium from Ukraine. There’s no question about it.”

But in the wake of this pursuit, experts agree the impact of sustained tariffs will hit Canada hard.

The manufacturing sector stands at the forefront of potential adverse effects due to its substantial contribution to Ontario's economy and its heavy reliance on U.S. markets.

The automotive industry, a cornerstone of Ontario's manufacturing base, is especially vulnerable. Tariffs could render Canadian auto parts and vehicles less competitive, leading U.S. companies to seek alternative suppliers. This shift threatens to result in decreased production, layoffs, and a contraction within the sector. 

Beyond automotive manufacturing, other industries such as steel and aluminum production are also at risk. 

In retaliation to the U.S. tariffs, the federal government has already announced a $155 billion tariff package targeting various U.S. goods. The first phase included 25% tariffs on $30 billion worth of U.S. imports, confirmed March 4, encompassing products like orange juice, peanut butter, wine, spirits, beer, coffee, appliances, apparel, footwear, motorcycles, cosmetics, and pulp and paper.

An additional list targeting $125 billion worth of U.S. goods is under consideration on products such as electric vehicles, trucks and buses, certain fruits and vegetables, aerospace products, beef, pork, and dairy. 

Businesses ready to adapt

While these countermeasures aim to protect Canadian interests, they also risk escalating trade tensions, potentially leading to a trade war that could further destabilize Ontario's economy.

The results of the OCC tariffs survey reflect these concerns considering 77% of the 600 respondents said they expect U.S. tariffs will negatively impact their business, while slightly fewer (74%) believe that Canadian tariffs will have a negative impact.

However, when it comes to adapting to U.S. tariffs, approximately half (52%) of the respondents remain confident in their businesses ability to do so, something that doesn’t surprise Greg.

“When Canadian entrepreneurs are pushed, they become very structured and organized and say if our only option is to branch out and look elsewhere, then we're prepared to do that,” he says, adding having 52% of business owners prepared to seek other opportunities and avenues is a positive sign. “It just demonstrates that the structure of the businesses in Canada are probably more resilient than they are anywhere else, even compared to businesses in the U.S. They’re not relying on Donald Trump when it comes to changing his mind, they're relying more on themselves.”

Key findings of the OCC tariffs survey

The OCC conducted an online survey from Feb. 7-23 in co-ordination with local Chambers and Boards of Trade

Business confidence

• 60% of respondents do not currently feel confident in Ontario’s economic outlook, with nearly a quarter indicating they are not at all confident (24%).
• 88% of respondents indicated the U.S. tariffs are negatively impacting Ontario’s economy. In fact, 51% said that U.S. tariffs will have a significant negative impact on their confidence in the province’s economy.

 Business impacts of U.S. tariffs

• 77% expect U.S. tariffs on Canadian goods will negatively impact their businesses, while 74% expect Canadian tariffs will also be negative for them.
• 26% are expecting decreases sales/revenue and/or increased costs, while 23% expect increased costs of raw materials.  About 21% expect changes in customer demand because of tariffs.

 Adapting business to U.S. tariffs

• 52% of responding businesses are confident they can adapt with ongoing trade tensions between Canada and the U.S.
• 35% of businesses say they are diversifying their suppliers or considering it while 24% are considering a price increase. Approximately 84% said they are not looking to relocate any part of their business operations due to U.S. tariffs.
• 36% of respondents are anticipating a shift in market focus, while 31% expect innovations in products/services in their industry.
• 48% of respondents would welcome information and guidance, or advocacy when it comes to dealing with U.S. tariffs, while 41% would welcome financial assistance.

Click here to read survey results.

The impact of U.S. President Donald Trump’s 25% tariffs on Canadian imports and Canada’s counter tariffs has significant implications for various sectors of our economy, including tourism, with Ontario poised to experience both direct and indirect effects on this industry.

The Canada-U.S. border has traditionally seen substantial movement of tourists in both directions. However, these escalating trade tensions have led to a surge in nationalistic sentiments, influencing travel decisions.  Reports have indicated that many Canadians plan to boycott travel to the U.S. in response to Trump’s tariffs, opting instead for domestic destinations or alternative international locations, a trend that has not gone unnoticed by tourism experts. 

“We're hearing that 40% of Canadians that had booked a trip to the U.S. have cancelled their plans,” says Explore Waterloo Region CEO Michele Saran, noting travel destinations nationwide are expecting an uptick in tourists this summer. “If I was a Canadian destination that actively pursued the U.S. market, right now I would be pushing the exchange rate really hard.”

Potential side-effects

However, economic downturns typically result in reduced disposable income, which can lead to a decline in domestic tourism as residents may cut back on travel and leisure activities.

Moreover, the weakening of the Canadian dollar is likely to make international travel more expensive for Canadians, potentially reducing outbound tourism. But on the flipside, a weaker Canadian dollar could make Canada a more attractive destination for foreign tourists, as their currencies would have greater purchasing power. 

There are also potential side-effects surrounding the impact heightened political tensions and changes in consumer sentiment that have been created.

“I have been told that Americans are expressing concern about how they'll be treated if they come to Canada right now,” says Michele. “So, they're a little bit reticent about it right now. But from a leisure travel perspective, Waterloo Region has always focused on marketing in Southern Ontario.”

In fact, she says the travel organization is in the process of creating and promoting new packages to encourage visitors to spend more time here once they arrive.

Specific marketing

“We want to provide them with options they can’t find in downtown Toronto,” she says of this new promotional tactic. “We're giving them an itinerary so that they'll be able to create a mental movie of a staycation in Waterloo Region and how they could spend their time here.”

Michele says Explore Waterloo Region is conducting specific marketing targeted at couples, families and groups of friends highlighting the authentic ‘experiences’ that cities located on the edge of nature can offer. 

“We're testing them right now at the target market to make sure we mitigate any risk to make sure that these markets find them compelling,” she says, noting Waterloo Region’s proximity to the GTA will likely prove to be an even bigger advantage this year.  “About 90% of our leisure visitors come from that area. It’s easy to get here and we also have we have both rural and urban, so there's something for everyone when you come to the region.”

Annually, Waterloo Region attracts approximately five million visitors not just for leisure visits, but conferences, meetings, and sporting events, which translates into nearly $560 million for the local economy. 

To learn more, visit Explore Waterloo Region.

Tourism stats:

• Canada is the biggest source of international visitors to the U.S. accounting for for 20.4 million visits in 2024, generating $20.5 billion in spending and supporting 140,000 American jobs. 
• According to the U.S. Travel Association, even 10% less Canadian tourists to the U.S. could mean 14,000 job losses in related industries in that sector and two million less visitors.
• Florida, California, Nevada, New York, and Texas are the top states Canadians visit. Since shopping is a popular activity for Canadian visitors, these states could see steep declines in retail and hospitality revenue.
• Ontario’s Highlands Tourism Organization (OHTO) recently revealed that visitors are increasingly seeking meaningful experiences that allow them to reconnect with friends, family, and nature. This trend is reflected in a noticeable shift in spending patterns; between January and September 2024, visitor spending reached $399 million, marking a 12% increase over the previous year.
• In January 2025, more than $1.4 million was allocated to 10 organizations across southern Ontario federal government. Notable projects include the creation of a looped trail connecting Burlington to the Niagara Escarpment trail network and the Bruce Trail, aimed at augmenting active outdoor visitor experiences. Additionally, enhancements to were announced for the Hydrocut mountain bike trails in the Waterloo Region.

Ransomware is one of the most significant cybersecurity threats facing businesses today. This type of malware encrypts files and systems, rendering them inaccessible until the victim pays a ransom.

With an increasing number of organizations relying on digital infrastructure, cybercriminals have found lucrative opportunities to exploit vulnerabilities and demand hefty ransoms in exchange for restoring access to critical data.

In 2024 alone, there were many high-profile ransomware attacks that made national headlines. These included RBC, which saw more than one million of its clients fall victim to a phishing campaign and the CRA, which experienced a breach that resulted in more than two million Canadian taxpayers’ personal information become exposed. Suncor Energy also fell victim to a sophisticated attack that disrupted operations and exposed personal information of employees and contractors.

While these cases were well publicized, thousands more slide under the radar says John Svazic, founder, and principal consultant of Cambridge-based EliteSec Information Security Consultants Inc., making ransomware a silent threat to businesses.

“No one talks about it because it happens so frequently. It’s not news anymore,” he says, noting only attacks on bigger companies or institutions capture media attention.  “Unfortunately, for all the smaller business that get hit with it that’s a different story altogether. And sadly, there's not much smaller organizations can do about it, aside from either paying the ransom or in more depressing circumstances, shut down because they can't afford it.”

Cybercrime costs rising

One of the most immediate and severe consequences of a ransomware attack is financial loss.  According to the U.S. Department of State, the annual average cost of cybercrime is predicted to hit more than $23 trillion in 2027.

Ransom demands - depending on the size of the target - can range from hundreds to thousands of dollars. Even if the business decides not to pay, the costs of recovery, including IT support, security enhancements, and potential legal fees, can be significant. Additionally, businesses may suffer from loss of revenue due to operational downtime, as systems remain locked until the issue is resolved. Their reputation with customers may also be damaged in wake of an attack.

To combat potential threats, John urges businesses, especially smaller ones, make sure they don’t become a victim.

“Part of it is awareness training and making sure your staff is aware of what they're doing,” he says, noting that ransomware attacks take on two different flavours.

One, involves the data being encrypted until a ransom is paid and the victim provided with a decryption key, the other involves holding the data hostage then blackmailing the victim until a ransom is paid to prevent it from being ‘leaked’.

Cybercriminals look for weaknesses

“They claim they will delete your data after the ransom is paid, and most of the time they will. However, you always run the risk they may just come back in a few months,” says John, adding all businesses, regardless of size can become a victim since they have an online presence.  “The likelihood of someone targeting you specifically is low unless you've really made a name for yourself and or you have essentially ticked someone off.”

He says most cybercriminals are ‘lazy’ and seek out the lowest common denominators when it comes to selecting their targets. 

“Not all ransomware attacks turn into multi-million-dollar ransoms. They’re searching the internet to see what's available and testing systems to see if they are connected properly and configured,” says John. “That means are you staying up to date with patching? Are there any known weaknesses? Are you staying up to date with locking things down? Did you just buy something off the shelf and plug it in and put it on the internet?”

As a result, he recommends business owners cover the basics in terms of security, which includes ensuring passwords are not shared or continually reused.

Personal data a target

“Awareness training is super important. There are security awareness programs that are available commercially as well as free,” says John, adding thanks to AI tools like ChatGPT and Grammarly, gone are the days when phishing emails littered with typos and grammatical mistakes were easy to identify. “They are becoming much harder to spot. You may even have someone who calls in pretending to be someone from the business calling an employee.”

He says in this case, using secondary verification such as a ‘passphrase’, can be a good way to combat fraud. Also, he recommends businesses dispose of data they no longer need, especially valuable credit card information.

“Don’t keep track of stuff you don’t need. This is very common with companies that are dealing with credit card transactions,” says John. “Many years ago, businesses thought they had to keep everything. Now that type of information is a treasure trove for criminals and that’s where you get yourself in trouble.”

He says any personal customer information businesses store is potentially valuable to someone. 

“The question is, how valuable is it?” says John. “It could be as simple as your name, your address, and your e-mail address, and that in itself is sufficient to potentially  start spamming you or your customers to get them to click on links to access their details, including banking information.”

Ransomware stats:

• According to the Verizon Business: 2024 Data Breach Investigations Report, roughly one-third of all breaches involved ransomware or some other extortion technique. Pure extortion attacks have risen over the past year and are now a component of 9% of all breaches. Ransomware actors have moved toward these newer techniques, resulting in a bit of a decline in ransomware to 23%. However, when combined, they represent a strong growth to 32% of breaches. Additionally, ransomware was a top threat across 92% of industries.
• In 2024, roughly 65% of financial organizations worldwide reported experiencing a ransomware attack (according to Statista).
• A 2024 survey of cybersecurity professionals of organizations worldwide revealed that 32% of the organizations suffered ransomware attacks because of exploited vulnerabilities (according to Statista).
• Ransomware victims permanently lose 43% of the data affected by an attack on average (according to SCWorld). 

Tips to combat ransomware

Educate and Train Employees

Phishing emails, malicious attachments, and fraudulent links are common entry points. Regular cybersecurity training can help employees recognize these threats. Training sessions should cover identifying suspicious emails, avoiding unknown links, and understanding the importance of strong, unique passwords.

Implement Strong Password Policies

Enforce policies that require complex passwords combining letters, numbers, and special characters. Encourage the use of multi-factor authentication (MFA) wherever possible, adding an extra layer of security even if passwords are compromised.

Regularly Update Software and Systems

Regularly updating operating systems, applications, and security software ensures that known security flaws are patched. Enable automatic updates where possible to reduce the likelihood of oversight.

Backup Data Frequently

Implement a robust backup strategy that includes daily backups of critical data; storing backups in multiple locations, including offsite or cloud-based solutions; regularly testing backup integrity and recovery processes.

Use Reliable Security Software

Invest in reputable antivirus and anti-malware solutions that offer real-time protection. Firewalls, intrusion detection systems, and email filtering tools add additional layers of defense. Regularly update these tools to ensure they can detect and block the latest threats.

Limit User Access Rights

Not every employee needs access to all company data. Implement the principle of least privilege (PoLP), granting users access only to the information necessary for their roles. This reduces the risk of widespread damage if an account is compromised.

Develop an Incident Response Plan

An incident response plan should include clear roles and responsibilities for response team members; steps to isolate infected systems; communication protocols with stakeholders and law enforcement; procedures for restoring data from backups; regularly review and update the plan and conduct drills to ensure all employees are familiar with their roles in an emergency.

Secure Remote Work Environments

Require the use of virtual private networks (VPNs), enforce strong authentication methods, and ensure remote devices are regularly updated and protected with security software.

Stay Informed About Threats

Subscribe to cybersecurity newsletters, follow reputable security blogs, and participate in industry forums to stay informed about the latest ransomware tactics and defense strategies.

The high cost of living, inflation, housing affordability, and rising operational costs top the lists of concerns for Ontario businesses, according to the Ontario Chamber of Commerce’s (OCC) most recent Ontario Economic Report (OER). 

The report shows a significant rise in business confidence over the course of 2024, climbing from a historic low of 13% to 26% by year’s end. Despite this improvement, confidence remains historically low and fragile, with 48% of businesses expressing a lack of confidence in the economy. Affordability and the cost of living continue to be the most pressing concerns for businesses.

The survey, conducted between October 15 and December 2, 2024, gathered insights from 1,714 respondents representing a diverse range of industries, regions, and organizations.

The results show that when U.S. tariff threats are on the table, business confidence drops dramatically to just 15%, almost erasing the last year’s gains, according to the OCC’s separate tariff survey in early February. This recent research also shows that with tariffs in play, six in ten (60%) business decision makers would lack confidence in Ontario’s economic outlook.

“I may not use the word fragile describing the confidence level and instead use the word tempered,” says Cambridge Chamber of Commerce President and CEO Greg Durocher. “People's optimism for the future of business in the short term is tempered by the impact of Trump’s tariffs. I think most people in business realize that the impact of any decision is probably going to be short term. Whether or not tariffs are long term isn't the issue, it’s the impact of tariffs. So, after a period time, the marketplace settles down and people get used to whatever is the new reality.”

Ontario’s economic outlook varies

Confidence in Ontario’s economic outlook varies significantly across industries, with the information and cultural industries sector reporting the lowest level of optimism at just 17%.  Businesses in this sector cite high operational costs, shifting consumer behaviour, declining advertising revenues, and mounting pressures from technological disruption, global competition, and regulatory challenges as key drivers of their pessimism.

The retail (18%), non-profit (20%), utilities (21%), and accommodation and food services (22%) sectors follow closely, reflecting the impact of declining consumer spending amid heightened cost-of-living pressures.

The agriculture sector, while showing a slight improvement over last year, also remains among the least confident sectors (22%). Concerns in this sector centre on extreme weather events, trade and supply chain barriers, and growing labour gaps and succession planning challenges as a significant portion of the workforce approaches retirement.

By contrast, confidence is strongest in the mining (56%), finance and insurance (40%), and administrative and waste management services (40%) sectors. This could be explained by the strong demand for critical minerals supported by Ontario’s Critical Minerals Strategy, rising sustainability initiatives the finance sector’s ongoing resilience, and growth driven by fintech advancements. These sectors demonstrate adaptability and the ability to capitalize on emerging opportunities.

Survey respondents remain optimistic

Regionally, most of Ontario’s regions outside the GTA saw a significant reduction in confidence compared to the previous year.

Confidence is lowest in Stratford-Bruce Peninsula (19%), Northeast Ontario (21%), and the Greater Ottawa Area (21%), where in addition to concerns surrounding high costs and housing affordability, businesses are disproportionately sensitive to government policies and investments and have suffered more extreme weather events than other regions.

Confidence is highest in the Greater London Area (34%), a significant rebound from last year (9%). This resurgence is likely fueled by strong consumer demand, and domestic manufacturing capacity and supply chains, including the announcement of the Volkswagen EV battery plant in St. Thomas.

Despite the challenges, respondents report relative optimism about their own business growth prospects. Nearly half (49%) express confidence in their own future, citing factors such as strong consumer demand, innovation, and improved inflation management, something that doesn’t surprise Greg.

“I think that you'll find that there's going to be a growth and optimism because many sectors in Canada are going to strengthen as a result,” he says. “We’ve never been the ‘buy Canadian’ kind of a nation and the U.S. has always had buy American programs in place because we’ve always understood we were a player in the global market.”

He says there are initiatives created by the Provincial and Federal governments to encourage Canadian businesses to look at other, more reliable markets, rather than depending on the American market.

European Union agreement key

“Why we perceive the U.S. market to be unreliable right now is because anything that the American government does that impacts the trade with their nation is exponential in our case because 80 per cent of our GDP goes to the United States,” says Greg. “So, we're vulnerable to every whim of the U.S. government. For us to get more reliable sources, we need to diversify so we need to have relationships in the European Union.”

He notes the Canada-European Union Comprehensive Economic and Trade Agreement, which Canada signed in the fall of 2016, has been underutilized. 

“I think it stands to reason that we have not served ourselves well by not really looking seriously at the European Union for economic trade,” says Greg, noting this happened primarily because of our expectation the U.S. would always remain a reliable trading partner.

“We need to understand what the reality of this is going to be going forward and whether we do get aggressive when it comes to find other trading partners.  And if Canadians continue to buy Canadian that will really impact the U.S. exponentially because we do consume a lot of American products.”

Click here to read the report.

Report highlights: 

• Business confidence in Ontario’s economy has doubled in the past year, rising from 13% to 26%, but a majority of respondents (48%) lack confidence in the economy. 
• High costs remain the top concern for businesses, with 78% citing the cost of living, followed by inflation (62%), housing affordability (57%), and rising operational costs (51%).
• Simplifying or reducing business taxes (42%) is the most frequently cited policy solution to improve economic conditions, followed by affordable housing (32%), health system capacity (30%) and workforce development to solve labour shortages (29%).
• While businesses recognize the economic importance of technology adoption, environmental sustainability, diversity and inclusion and Indigenous reconciliation, businesses report a need for support and guidance in seizing these opportunities.
• Businesses report being ill-equipped to support workers and communities through mental health and addictions challenges. For example, while 71% of businesses recognize the importance of mental health and well-being to their success, only 41% have formal mental health strategies.
• Business leaders are confident in their ability to adapt to ongoing trade tensions between the U.S. and Canada with nearly half (48%) reporting confidence, while 32% are neutral and only 15% expressing a lack of confidence. 
• Ontario’s post-pandemic recovery faces significant headwinds, including potential U.S. tariff threats, geopolitical instability, lagging productivity, affordability challenges, and rising unemployment.