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The uncertainty surrounding trade policies and the potential for sustained tariffs have already begun to erode business confidence in Ontario. 

A survey conducted in February by the Ontario Chamber of Commerce (OCC) has revealed that more than 80% of businesses believe U.S. tariffs are clearly impacting confidence in Ontario’s economy. 

Coupled with the results of the OCC’s 2025 Ontario Economic Report released last month which revealed that business confidence had risen from a historic low of 13% to only 26% in 2024, Canada’s economy remains in a precarious position in wake of U.S President Donald Trump’s continued tariffs attacks.

“The problem is we have Trump, a 78-year-old man trying to run a country in the same manner as it would have been run in 1968,” says Cambridge Chamber of Commerce President and CEO Greg Durocher. “But that country doesn’t exist anymore.”

He notes Trump’s continued claim that NATFA (North American Free Trade Agreement) resulted in the closure of 90,000 plants and factories in the U.S. is an exaggeration as well as touting that introducing exorbitant tariffs will eliminate the need for income tax.

Many industries at risk

“It’s literally impossible for that to happen,” says Greg, adding revenue from tariffs would equate to about 2% of the U.S. budget. “His whole end game centres on minerals, considering all he talks about is titanium and lithium from Ukraine. There’s no question about it.”

But in the wake of this pursuit, experts agree the impact of sustained tariffs will hit Canada hard.

The manufacturing sector stands at the forefront of potential adverse effects due to its substantial contribution to Ontario's economy and its heavy reliance on U.S. markets.

The automotive industry, a cornerstone of Ontario's manufacturing base, is especially vulnerable. Tariffs could render Canadian auto parts and vehicles less competitive, leading U.S. companies to seek alternative suppliers. This shift threatens to result in decreased production, layoffs, and a contraction within the sector. 

Beyond automotive manufacturing, other industries such as steel and aluminum production are also at risk. 

In retaliation to the U.S. tariffs, the federal government has already announced a $155 billion tariff package targeting various U.S. goods. The first phase included 25% tariffs on $30 billion worth of U.S. imports, confirmed March 4, encompassing products like orange juice, peanut butter, wine, spirits, beer, coffee, appliances, apparel, footwear, motorcycles, cosmetics, and pulp and paper.

An additional list targeting $125 billion worth of U.S. goods is under consideration on products such as electric vehicles, trucks and buses, certain fruits and vegetables, aerospace products, beef, pork, and dairy. 

Businesses ready to adapt

While these countermeasures aim to protect Canadian interests, they also risk escalating trade tensions, potentially leading to a trade war that could further destabilize Ontario's economy.

The results of the OCC tariffs survey reflect these concerns considering 77% of the 600 respondents said they expect U.S. tariffs will negatively impact their business, while slightly fewer (74%) believe that Canadian tariffs will have a negative impact.

However, when it comes to adapting to U.S. tariffs, approximately half (52%) of the respondents remain confident in their businesses ability to do so, something that doesn’t surprise Greg.

“When Canadian entrepreneurs are pushed, they become very structured and organized and say if our only option is to branch out and look elsewhere, then we're prepared to do that,” he says, adding having 52% of business owners prepared to seek other opportunities and avenues is a positive sign. “It just demonstrates that the structure of the businesses in Canada are probably more resilient than they are anywhere else, even compared to businesses in the U.S. They’re not relying on Donald Trump when it comes to changing his mind, they're relying more on themselves.”

Key findings of the OCC tariffs survey

The OCC conducted an online survey from Feb. 7-23 in co-ordination with local Chambers and Boards of Trade

Business confidence

• 60% of respondents do not currently feel confident in Ontario’s economic outlook, with nearly a quarter indicating they are not at all confident (24%).
• 88% of respondents indicated the U.S. tariffs are negatively impacting Ontario’s economy. In fact, 51% said that U.S. tariffs will have a significant negative impact on their confidence in the province’s economy.

 Business impacts of U.S. tariffs

• 77% expect U.S. tariffs on Canadian goods will negatively impact their businesses, while 74% expect Canadian tariffs will also be negative for them.
• 26% are expecting decreases sales/revenue and/or increased costs, while 23% expect increased costs of raw materials.  About 21% expect changes in customer demand because of tariffs.

 Adapting business to U.S. tariffs

• 52% of responding businesses are confident they can adapt with ongoing trade tensions between Canada and the U.S.
• 35% of businesses say they are diversifying their suppliers or considering it while 24% are considering a price increase. Approximately 84% said they are not looking to relocate any part of their business operations due to U.S. tariffs.
• 36% of respondents are anticipating a shift in market focus, while 31% expect innovations in products/services in their industry.
• 48% of respondents would welcome information and guidance, or advocacy when it comes to dealing with U.S. tariffs, while 41% would welcome financial assistance.

Click here to read survey results.

The impact of U.S. President Donald Trump’s 25% tariffs on Canadian imports and Canada’s counter tariffs has significant implications for various sectors of our economy, including tourism, with Ontario poised to experience both direct and indirect effects on this industry.

The Canada-U.S. border has traditionally seen substantial movement of tourists in both directions. However, these escalating trade tensions have led to a surge in nationalistic sentiments, influencing travel decisions.  Reports have indicated that many Canadians plan to boycott travel to the U.S. in response to Trump’s tariffs, opting instead for domestic destinations or alternative international locations, a trend that has not gone unnoticed by tourism experts. 

“We're hearing that 40% of Canadians that had booked a trip to the U.S. have cancelled their plans,” says Explore Waterloo Region CEO Michele Saran, noting travel destinations nationwide are expecting an uptick in tourists this summer. “If I was a Canadian destination that actively pursued the U.S. market, right now I would be pushing the exchange rate really hard.”

Potential side-effects

However, economic downturns typically result in reduced disposable income, which can lead to a decline in domestic tourism as residents may cut back on travel and leisure activities.

Moreover, the weakening of the Canadian dollar is likely to make international travel more expensive for Canadians, potentially reducing outbound tourism. But on the flipside, a weaker Canadian dollar could make Canada a more attractive destination for foreign tourists, as their currencies would have greater purchasing power. 

There are also potential side-effects surrounding the impact heightened political tensions and changes in consumer sentiment that have been created.

“I have been told that Americans are expressing concern about how they'll be treated if they come to Canada right now,” says Michele. “So, they're a little bit reticent about it right now. But from a leisure travel perspective, Waterloo Region has always focused on marketing in Southern Ontario.”

In fact, she says the travel organization is in the process of creating and promoting new packages to encourage visitors to spend more time here once they arrive.

Specific marketing

“We want to provide them with options they can’t find in downtown Toronto,” she says of this new promotional tactic. “We're giving them an itinerary so that they'll be able to create a mental movie of a staycation in Waterloo Region and how they could spend their time here.”

Michele says Explore Waterloo Region is conducting specific marketing targeted at couples, families and groups of friends highlighting the authentic ‘experiences’ that cities located on the edge of nature can offer. 

“We're testing them right now at the target market to make sure we mitigate any risk to make sure that these markets find them compelling,” she says, noting Waterloo Region’s proximity to the GTA will likely prove to be an even bigger advantage this year.  “About 90% of our leisure visitors come from that area. It’s easy to get here and we also have we have both rural and urban, so there's something for everyone when you come to the region.”

Annually, Waterloo Region attracts approximately five million visitors not just for leisure visits, but conferences, meetings, and sporting events, which translates into nearly $560 million for the local economy. 

To learn more, visit Explore Waterloo Region.

Tourism stats:

• Canada is the biggest source of international visitors to the U.S. accounting for for 20.4 million visits in 2024, generating $20.5 billion in spending and supporting 140,000 American jobs. 
• According to the U.S. Travel Association, even 10% less Canadian tourists to the U.S. could mean 14,000 job losses in related industries in that sector and two million less visitors.
• Florida, California, Nevada, New York, and Texas are the top states Canadians visit. Since shopping is a popular activity for Canadian visitors, these states could see steep declines in retail and hospitality revenue.
• Ontario’s Highlands Tourism Organization (OHTO) recently revealed that visitors are increasingly seeking meaningful experiences that allow them to reconnect with friends, family, and nature. This trend is reflected in a noticeable shift in spending patterns; between January and September 2024, visitor spending reached $399 million, marking a 12% increase over the previous year.
• In January 2025, more than $1.4 million was allocated to 10 organizations across southern Ontario federal government. Notable projects include the creation of a looped trail connecting Burlington to the Niagara Escarpment trail network and the Bruce Trail, aimed at augmenting active outdoor visitor experiences. Additionally, enhancements to were announced for the Hydrocut mountain bike trails in the Waterloo Region.

The high cost of living, inflation, housing affordability, and rising operational costs top the lists of concerns for Ontario businesses, according to the Ontario Chamber of Commerce’s (OCC) most recent Ontario Economic Report (OER). 

The report shows a significant rise in business confidence over the course of 2024, climbing from a historic low of 13% to 26% by year’s end. Despite this improvement, confidence remains historically low and fragile, with 48% of businesses expressing a lack of confidence in the economy. Affordability and the cost of living continue to be the most pressing concerns for businesses.

The survey, conducted between October 15 and December 2, 2024, gathered insights from 1,714 respondents representing a diverse range of industries, regions, and organizations.

The results show that when U.S. tariff threats are on the table, business confidence drops dramatically to just 15%, almost erasing the last year’s gains, according to the OCC’s separate tariff survey in early February. This recent research also shows that with tariffs in play, six in ten (60%) business decision makers would lack confidence in Ontario’s economic outlook.

“I may not use the word fragile describing the confidence level and instead use the word tempered,” says Cambridge Chamber of Commerce President and CEO Greg Durocher. “People's optimism for the future of business in the short term is tempered by the impact of Trump’s tariffs. I think most people in business realize that the impact of any decision is probably going to be short term. Whether or not tariffs are long term isn't the issue, it’s the impact of tariffs. So, after a period time, the marketplace settles down and people get used to whatever is the new reality.”

Ontario’s economic outlook varies

Confidence in Ontario’s economic outlook varies significantly across industries, with the information and cultural industries sector reporting the lowest level of optimism at just 17%.  Businesses in this sector cite high operational costs, shifting consumer behaviour, declining advertising revenues, and mounting pressures from technological disruption, global competition, and regulatory challenges as key drivers of their pessimism.

The retail (18%), non-profit (20%), utilities (21%), and accommodation and food services (22%) sectors follow closely, reflecting the impact of declining consumer spending amid heightened cost-of-living pressures.

The agriculture sector, while showing a slight improvement over last year, also remains among the least confident sectors (22%). Concerns in this sector centre on extreme weather events, trade and supply chain barriers, and growing labour gaps and succession planning challenges as a significant portion of the workforce approaches retirement.

By contrast, confidence is strongest in the mining (56%), finance and insurance (40%), and administrative and waste management services (40%) sectors. This could be explained by the strong demand for critical minerals supported by Ontario’s Critical Minerals Strategy, rising sustainability initiatives the finance sector’s ongoing resilience, and growth driven by fintech advancements. These sectors demonstrate adaptability and the ability to capitalize on emerging opportunities.

Survey respondents remain optimistic

Regionally, most of Ontario’s regions outside the GTA saw a significant reduction in confidence compared to the previous year.

Confidence is lowest in Stratford-Bruce Peninsula (19%), Northeast Ontario (21%), and the Greater Ottawa Area (21%), where in addition to concerns surrounding high costs and housing affordability, businesses are disproportionately sensitive to government policies and investments and have suffered more extreme weather events than other regions.

Confidence is highest in the Greater London Area (34%), a significant rebound from last year (9%). This resurgence is likely fueled by strong consumer demand, and domestic manufacturing capacity and supply chains, including the announcement of the Volkswagen EV battery plant in St. Thomas.

Despite the challenges, respondents report relative optimism about their own business growth prospects. Nearly half (49%) express confidence in their own future, citing factors such as strong consumer demand, innovation, and improved inflation management, something that doesn’t surprise Greg.

“I think that you'll find that there's going to be a growth and optimism because many sectors in Canada are going to strengthen as a result,” he says. “We’ve never been the ‘buy Canadian’ kind of a nation and the U.S. has always had buy American programs in place because we’ve always understood we were a player in the global market.”

He says there are initiatives created by the Provincial and Federal governments to encourage Canadian businesses to look at other, more reliable markets, rather than depending on the American market.

European Union agreement key

“Why we perceive the U.S. market to be unreliable right now is because anything that the American government does that impacts the trade with their nation is exponential in our case because 80 per cent of our GDP goes to the United States,” says Greg. “So, we're vulnerable to every whim of the U.S. government. For us to get more reliable sources, we need to diversify so we need to have relationships in the European Union.”

He notes the Canada-European Union Comprehensive Economic and Trade Agreement, which Canada signed in the fall of 2016, has been underutilized. 

“I think it stands to reason that we have not served ourselves well by not really looking seriously at the European Union for economic trade,” says Greg, noting this happened primarily because of our expectation the U.S. would always remain a reliable trading partner.

“We need to understand what the reality of this is going to be going forward and whether we do get aggressive when it comes to find other trading partners.  And if Canadians continue to buy Canadian that will really impact the U.S. exponentially because we do consume a lot of American products.”

Click here to read the report.

Report highlights: 

• Business confidence in Ontario’s economy has doubled in the past year, rising from 13% to 26%, but a majority of respondents (48%) lack confidence in the economy. 
• High costs remain the top concern for businesses, with 78% citing the cost of living, followed by inflation (62%), housing affordability (57%), and rising operational costs (51%).
• Simplifying or reducing business taxes (42%) is the most frequently cited policy solution to improve economic conditions, followed by affordable housing (32%), health system capacity (30%) and workforce development to solve labour shortages (29%).
• While businesses recognize the economic importance of technology adoption, environmental sustainability, diversity and inclusion and Indigenous reconciliation, businesses report a need for support and guidance in seizing these opportunities.
• Businesses report being ill-equipped to support workers and communities through mental health and addictions challenges. For example, while 71% of businesses recognize the importance of mental health and well-being to their success, only 41% have formal mental health strategies.
• Business leaders are confident in their ability to adapt to ongoing trade tensions between the U.S. and Canada with nearly half (48%) reporting confidence, while 32% are neutral and only 15% expressing a lack of confidence. 
• Ontario’s post-pandemic recovery faces significant headwinds, including potential U.S. tariff threats, geopolitical instability, lagging productivity, affordability challenges, and rising unemployment.

Corporate social responsibility (CSR) has become a critical aspect of modern business strategy, transcending the traditional goal of profit maximization. It represents a company's commitment to ethical practices, environmental stewardship, and positive contributions to society. 

In an increasingly interconnected world, stakeholders—from consumers to investors and employees—are placing higher expectations on businesses to operate responsibly.

“In today’s world, social responsibility continues to play a bigger role in consumers’ decision making of where and who they want to shop from or work with,” says Brittany Silveira, Marketing Manager at Grosche International Inc. “However, for some organizations, social responsibility remains a checkbox rather than a core value.”

For more than a dozen years the Cambridge-based kitchenware company which has operated as a social enterprise not only offers quality products but has provided thousands of people worldwide with clean drinking water through its Safe Water Project. 

“Businesses that integrate social responsibility into their DNA—like Grosche does—see long-term benefits. It's about creating shared value and using your business as a force for good: positively impacting society while fostering brand loyalty and resilience,” says Brittany, who shared some of her insights at our annual Small Business Summit held this past fall at The Tap Room in Tapestry Hall.

Workers seek purpose-driven employment

It’s a mindset that has become more prevalent for many businesses.

Some do it, according to Daniel Waeger, Associate Professor, Canada Research Chair in Corporate Governance at Lazaridis School of Business and Economics Policy, because they are a consumer facing business and realize it’s important to their clientele, and others see it as a way to charge a higher price.

“Often times it’s also just the values of the leadership,” he says, adding employees themselves are also a driving force for many businesses to become more socially responsible.

Today's workforce values purpose-driven employment. Employees, particularly younger generations, prefer to work for organizations that align with their values. CSR initiatives, such as community engagement programs or efforts to promote diversity and inclusion, create a sense of pride and belonging among employees.

Moreover, companies that demonstrate social responsibility often experience higher retention rates, as employees are more likely to stay with employers who contribute to the greater good.

“I would say over the last five to ten years, it has shifted quite a bit more to the employee side,” says Daniel, noting employees are also willing to hold a business accountable when it comes to upholding their CSR commitments even more so than the public. “As you soon as you make commitments towards your employees, they know what’s going on inside the firm, so they are in a better position than the media to hold you to your words and to hold you accountable to a certain extent.”

CSR strategies attract investors

While CSR requires investment, it often leads to long-term financial benefits.

Studies have shown that socially responsible companies tend to perform better financially over time. Ethical practices reduce risks, such as legal issues or reputational damage, which can be costly.

Additionally, CSR initiatives can open new revenue streams, such as eco-friendly product lines or partnerships with like-minded organizations. Investors also favour companies with robust CSR strategies, as these are seen as more sustainable and resilient in the long run.

For the next generation of business leaders, Daniel says he has seen a difference in the attitude among the people he instructs when it comes to putting CSR at the forefront of their business ambitions.

“People used to go to business school to become rich,” he says. “I think the considerations of the public good or of the common good are more central today than they were before. And I do think that it’s overall a good thing if there is a civic attitude.”

Brittany agrees and believes the notion of social responsibility is not a foreign concept anymore, but that its implementation still widely varies.

“The challenge lies in shifting it from an afterthought to a strategic priority,” she says. “I believe this transition is crucial for businesses aiming to stay relevant and meaningful.”

Reflect on company values

In terms of taking that first step to CSR, Brittany says a business must reflect on its values and the values of its consumers.

“Basically, what do you want to stand for beyond profitability? Brainstorm and identify causes that align with your mission and resonate with your team and customers,” she says. “From there it’s about creating a plan, starting small and measuring your efforts. Begin with one or two meaningful projects rather than spreading yourself too thin. Whether it’s reducing waste in your operations, launching a give-back program, or volunteering in your community, ensure your efforts are manageable and measurable.”

From there, Brittany says a company can then embed these values into its business model and share its efforts with the community both internally and externally.

For some businesses, like Grosche, becoming a Certified B Corporation may become the next logical step. Being one signals a business's commitment to balancing purpose and profit. B Corps are companies verified to meet high standards of social and environmental performance, accountability, and transparency.

“This certification assures employees, customers and stakeholders that you’re not just talking the talk. You’re actually making a real difference,” says Brittany. “This credibility and the give back component to your business is a great competitive advantage that can also attract top talent and increase customer loyalty.”

10 ways a business can actively embrace CSR:

Promote Environmental Sustainability

Reduce waste through recycling programs and sustainable packaging.

Transition to renewable energy sources and improve energy efficiency.

Implement water conservation initiatives and reduce carbon emissions.

Practice Ethical Sourcing

Ensure suppliers follow fair labor practices and humane working conditions.

Source raw materials sustainably to avoid environmental degradation.

Partner with vendors who share the company’s ethical standards.

Encourage Diversity and Inclusion

Establish equitable hiring practices to foster a diverse workforce.

Support underrepresented groups through mentorship or leadership programs.

Create a workplace culture that celebrates inclusivity and equity.

Support Community Initiatives

Sponsor local events or donate to community programs.

Encourage employees to volunteer by providing paid time off for service.

Partner with non-profit organizations to address local social issues.

Invest in Employee Well-being

Offer competitive wages, comprehensive benefits, and work-life balance initiatives.

Provide professional development and training opportunities.

Prioritize mental health through access to resources and support systems.

Champion Ethical Business Practices

Adopt anti-corruption policies and ensure transparency in operations.

Uphold consumer rights by delivering honest advertising and high-quality products.

Maintain strict compliance with labor and safety regulations.

Educate and Raise Awareness

Create campaigns to educate employees and customers about social or environmental issues. Collaborate with schools and universities to promote sustainability or ethics education. Use social media to amplify causes aligned with the company’s CSR goals.

Develop Sustainable Products and Services

Innovate products that are environmentally friendly or socially beneficial.

Reduce the environmental impact of production processes. Offer services that address societal challenges, such as renewable energy solutions.

Engage in Fair Trade Practices

Support fair trade-certified products and suppliers. Promote economic growth in developing regions by purchasing goods directly from small-scale producers.

Ensure fair compensation throughout the supply chain.

Measure and Report CSR Impact

Regularly assess the effectiveness of CSR initiatives using KPIs. Share progress and achievements through transparent reports. Use feedback to continuously improve CSR strategies.

While the recent 30-day postponement of U.S. President Donald Trump’s tariffs and Canada’s retaliatory measures came as welcomed news to businesses, the lingering presence of these threats remain prompting the Chamber network to act using a variety of tactics, including advocacy, negotiation, education and promoting partnerships.

Trump’s demand for 25 per cent blanket tariffs on all Canadian goods, with the exception of a 10 per cent tariff on Canadian energy, and Canada’s proposed retaliatory tariffs on $155 billion of U.S. goods, has sent economic shockwaves through both nations prompting calls for action on both sides of the border.

To clearly map out the vital importance of the trading relationship between the two countries and the risks businesses face, the Canadian Chamber of Commerce’s Business Data Lab has introduced the Canada-U.S. Trade Tracker —a new tool designed to illustrate the ties between the two economies. It notes that $3.6 billion in goods crosses the Canada-U.S. border daily, generating a $1.3 trillion annual trade relationship.

"A 30-day delay means more time for Canadian businesses and governments to drive home the point that tariffs make no sense between the two closest allies the world has ever known,” said Candace Laing, President and CEO, Canadian Chamber of Commerce, in a release. “The Canadian Chamber, our network and businesses across the country will spend every day of it fighting hard to secure this historic, robust trading relationship. Raising the cost of living for Americans and Canadians with these taxes is the wrong move. Canada and the U.S. make things together, and we should in fact be building on that.”

Call to dismantle interprovincial trade barriers

It is a sentiment echoed by her colleagues at the Ontario Chamber of Commerce who have rallied their members, which includes the Cambridge Chamber, in a show of unity and strength and targeted actions including supporting a unified call for Canadian premiers to quickly dismantle interprovincial trade barriers and the creation of a business and trade leadership coalition.

Called the Ontario Business & Trade Leadership Coalition (OBTLC), it aims to unit leaders from key trade-dependent sectors to champion business-driven solutions, advocate for effective government policies, and solidify Ontario’s position as a global leader in trade.

“President Trump has claimed the U.S. doesn’t need Canada – but we are here to show just how invaluable we are. Ontario businesses are stepping up to safeguard our economy and reinforce our global competitiveness,” said Daniel Tisch, President and CEO of the Ontario Chamber of Commerce, in a release. “The Ontario Business & Trade Leadership Coalition represents a united response – a coalition of industry leaders committed to resilience, collaboration, and growth.”

BestWR brings business groups together

But the fight to ward off economic turmoil caused by these tariff threats has also been ramped up locally, says Cambridge Chamber of Commerce President and CEO Greg Durocher, through the revival of a unique partnership created during the pandemic to assist businesses.

“We created the Business Economic Support Team of Waterloo Region (BestWR) during COIVD-19 consisting of organizations that are fundamentally engaged in the economic activities through business in the region and have brought it back as a support mechanism for local businesses with respect to trade,” he explains. “It was created during the pandemic, but this is now really about a united force of business organizations helping local businesses navigate these turbulent trade waters.”

Besides the Cambridge and Greater Kitchener Waterloo Chambers, BestWR also includes Waterloo EDC, Communitech and Explore Waterloo Region.

“We are engaged right now with regional municipalities to create opportunities whereby we can offer a support role in helping local businesses find local or Canadian suppliers, or to expose local businesses to the products they currently manufacture or sell and may be able to find Canadian customers for,” says Greg, noting BestWR also has strong federal and provincial connections which they will use to assist businesses.

“We have the insight to be able to tap into key levers within provincial government and within the federal government to have input on what potential supports those governments may need to provide businesses to keep them moving through this turmoil.”

Ask the Expert returns

As a further measure to assist, both the Cambridge and KW Chambers have revived their online tool 'Ask the Expert'.

These weekly Zoom calls - created during the pandemic to provide business leaders with current information – will now provide an opportunity for manufacturers and businesses in the region who export to the U.S. to ask questions.

“We will invite various experts to take part in the one-hour call, and hopefully get some answers to their questions and help them keep their business humming along and doing the things they need to do to support their employees,” says Greg.

'Ask the Expert' will take place every Thursday, between 9-10 a.m.

“This all about businesses,” he says. “And how do we navigate the turbulent challenges ahead and make it a win for Canadian businesses.”

The Chambers have also revamped the chambercheck website (which offered timely resources for businesses during the pandemic) to provide a growing list of trade-related resources to inform and assist businesses.

Reasons for businesses to remain confident and optimistic:

Economic Resilience

Canadian businesses have demonstrated remarkable resilience in the face of past economic challenges. Our diverse economy and strong trade relationships beyond the United States provide a buffer against potential disruptions.

United Response

The Canadian government, provincial leaders, and business organizations like your local Chamber of Commerce are presenting a united front in response to this threat. This co-ordinated approach strengthens our negotiating position and demonstrates our commitment to protecting Canadian interests.

Potential for Internal Growth

For years the Chamber network has been encouraging the government of Canada to remove interprovincial trade barriers and unlock the economic prosperity lying dormant in these archaic policies. This situation presents an opportunity to address long-standing interprovincial trade barriers and by removing them boost Canada's economy by up to $200 billion per year, potentially offsetting the impact of U.S. tariffs.

Mutual Economic Interests

It's important to remember that the proposed tariffs would also significantly harm the U.S. economy. American businesses and consumers would face higher costs and reduced competitiveness, which could lead to pressure on the U.S. administration to reconsider this approach. 

Time for Preparation

With the proposed tariffs not set to take effect until at least March 1, there is time for diplomatic efforts and for businesses to prepare contingency plans as we work our business contacts and channels to influence key stakeholders in the U.S.

Leveraging Canadian Assets

Canada continues to highlight its valuable assets that are strategically important to the U.S., including:

• Energy resources
• Critical minerals
• Nuclear power capabilities
• AI research excellence
• Lumber and building materials
• Automotive
• Agriculture

By emphasizing these assets, Canada is demonstrating that doing business with us is not just beneficial but strategically smarter than alternatives.

Government Support

The Canadian government has a track record of supporting businesses during trade disputes. We can expect measures to be put in place to assist affected industries if the tariffs are implemented.

As businesses navigate an era of rapid technological evolution, shifting workplace dynamics, and global interconnectedness, preparing your workforce for 2025 demands strategic foresight. 

The key to success lies in fostering adaptability, embracing technological advancements, cultivating a culture of continuous learning, and prioritizing employee well-being.

“Whether it's the benefits program, whether it's salaries, the expectations of employees have gone up and I think also to the expectation of the business culture,” says Frank Newman, owner of Newman Human Resources Consulting. “I think people are making more and more decisions based on workplace culture.”

He says since the pandemic, the continuing trend of creating a strong workplace will become even more apparent in 2025 and beyond as potential employees look for reasons why they should work for a particular company.

Strong communication

“If a business owner can't answer positively what it's like to work there, then that’s going to be a problem,” says Frank. “As an employer, you have to look at your internal culture and determine what is it like. Are we behaving as we say we are? What are our values? And because it's still a competitive world out there, how do we differentiate ourselves?”

Ensuring your company brand is on target is key when it comes to navigating the current hiring environment, which he believes has become less civil since the pandemic in terms of the way some potential employees disrespect a company’s time, in some cases by not even showing up for a scheduled interview.

“I think as people we've got used to a little bit lower standard. So, as an organization, if you want to be the preferred employer or even the preferred partner to work with as a business partner, you need to up your game a bit because that's going to put you in good stead for the long run,” says Frank, adding sending a ‘thank you’ response to potential candidates just for applying is one way to make a positive impression.

“You want to make sure you increase your communication standards because everything is now subject to online reviews. The whole review concept is important - whether it's employee reviews or whether it's customer reviews – and to be aware and make sure you check them monthly because you don't know what people are going to say about your business.”

Safe environment needed

Good communication with employees also remains key, he says, noting in wake of the pandemic mental health issues continue to be an ongoing issue for many companies.

“The latest trend now is to make sure you have an employee assistance plan that can help with mental health and other counseling needs people have,” says Frank. “We live in an age of stress. It’s about having some tools for people to access, such as mental health professionals, or even just making sure that employees feel comfortable sharing.”

Creating a psychologically safe environment is a big part of developing a mental health strategy that works, taking into consideration the various pressures employees are under at work and at home.

Frank recommends conducting a pulse survey as a way to quickly collect feedback from employees to gauge their impressions of where the company stands at the moment. Depending on the size of your workforce, he says sitting down for a coffee and an informal chat can also be just as effective. 

“It’s about keeping an ear to the ground in terms of what your employees are feeling and facing,” he says. “We don’t want tone deaf business owners; that’s not going to cut it these days and I think people are looking for more humanity from their business leaders.”

A continued trends towards hybrid work situations could also play into that sense of humanity as employers look for ways to engage with their online workforce.

“You’ve got to make sure you are finding ways to leverage that and build those connections when people are isolated at home,” says Frank, noting that many employers continue to see a surge in potential applicants when it comes to offering hybrid work. “Managers must think about that and what it does to their recruiting.”

Investing in leaders

He says trusting your employees promotes growth and productivity, and that mistrust erodes confidence.

“What companies should be thinking of now is really investing in leaders. So, it’s important to make sure your leaders are connecting with their people and being authentic,” says Frank. “Most people leave an organization not because of work, but because of the boss.”

He says trust also works in both directions, especially when it comes to companies maneuvering through the current economic and political turmoil facing businesses in North America.

“It’s really about planning ahead and also letting your employees know that you’re taking things seriously and have plans in place to deal with these issues, because sometimes they are not aware of what management is doing and that may create some uncertainty,” says Frank, noting when it comes to the future, a strong AI strategy to assist employees boost their productivity is also a key consideration. “Companies should be leveraging that as much as possible.”

How businesses can prepare their workforce for the challenges of the near future:

1. Embrace Technological Integration

The workforce of 2025 will operate in a tech-driven environment. Businesses should:

• Invest in Training: Equip employees with skills in artificial intelligence (AI), data analytics, and automation to remain competitive.
• Encourage Digital Literacy: Ensure that all employees, regardless of their role, are comfortable using digital tools.
• Leverage Collaboration Platforms: Utilize tools like Slack, Microsoft Teams, and project management software to streamline communication and project execution.

2.  Prioritize Employee Well-Being

The pandemic highlighted the importance of mental health and well-being. A healthy workforce is a productive workforce. Companies should:

• Implement Flexible Work Models: Offer remote, hybrid, or flexible hours to enhance work-life balance.
• Provide Mental Health Resources: Offer counseling services, wellness programs, and stress management workshops.
• Encourage Inclusion: Build a diverse and inclusive culture where employees feel valued and respected.

 3. Focus on Reskilling and Upskilling

As technology advances, certain skills will become obsolete while others gain prominence. To stay ahead:

• Identify Skill Gaps: Use skills assessments and workforce analytics to pinpoint areas for improvement.
• Offer Continuous Learning: Provide access to online courses, certifications, and on-the-job training. 
• Promote Leadership Development: Groom employees for future leadership roles through mentorship and coaching.

 4. Foster Agility and Innovation

The ability to adapt to change and innovate will be critical in 2025. Encourage:

• Agile Mindsets: Train employees to thrive in uncertain and dynamic environments.
• Collaborative Problem-Solving: Create cross-functional teams to foster diverse perspectives and solutions. 
• Employee Empowerment: Give employees autonomy and a voice in decision-making processes.

 5. Leverage Workforce Analytics

Data-driven decisions can significantly enhance workforce management. Businesses should:

• Monitor Performance Metrics: Use analytics to track productivity, engagement, and retention.
• Predict Trends: Anticipate future workforce needs based on current data. 
• Customize Experiences: Tailor learning and development initiatives to individual employee needs.

 6. Commit to Sustainability

The workforce increasingly values companies that prioritize environmental and social responsibility. Businesses should:

• Integrate ESG Goals: Align corporate strategies with environmental, social, and governance (ESG) principles.
• Engage Employees: Involve the workforce in sustainability initiatives and green practices.

As 2025 kicks off businesses must adjust to an economic landscape shaped by technological advancements, inflation, shifting consumer expectations, and global challenges. 

Therefore, preparing a business for the future requires strategic foresight, innovation, and a commitment to meeting emerging demands, something Peter Wright, President of The Planning Group, is very familiar.

“In my view, businesses this year should be focused much more on margins and pricing gains,” he says. “If they haven't already made big pricing gains post COVID, they should be saying where can we increase prices?”

Peter says whether the business is B2B or B2C, operators should be pondering how they can increase that component of profitability. 

“Most of the focus for a lot of businesses should be on trying to make those gains at the margin level partly through pricing, but partly through reducing the cost of goods rather than trying to make a bunch of cost cutting exercises in overheads because a lot of businesses have done that,” he says, noting the urge to reduce staffing costs is often very tempting. “They might say, ‘We’ve got this open position, so let’s just not hire someone for it’. But that position could be the thing that’s actually tied to an incredible value proposition the business is trying to achieve.”

Cutting staff can hurt business

Reducing staff can also lead to increased workloads for remaining employees, causing stress and burnout. Often, when employees feel overburdened and undervalued, their productivity declines, and engagement wanes.

Also, customer expectations are set to rise in 2025, with consumers demanding faster service, personalized interactions, and consistent quality and cutting staff can often compromise a company's ability to meet these demands. Longer response times, lower service quality, and limited innovation can erode customer loyalty, driving them to competitors.

As well, cutting back on staffing and spending often leads to a reduction in resources allocated to research and development (R&D) and other innovation-focused initiatives. Without investment in new ideas and technologies, companies risk falling behind competitors who are better equipped to adapt to changing market conditions.

Peter refers to the philosophy of author and business guru Tom Peters, and his book The Circle of Innovation: You Can’t Shrink Your Way to Greatness. “You can’t cut and cut and become a great enterprise,” he says.

Avoid being opportunistic

“I think for all businesses, not just small businesses, should be saying how can we differentiate? How can we set ourselves apart and how can we then not turn around and sell that?” says Peter, adding having everybody in the organization develop a strong a belief in the value of what it is they are selling is key to making that a reality.

He warns businesses not to be too opportunistic when it comes to mapping out their growth plans for 2025 and beyond.

“To me, the big misstep is being opportunistic and not actually clearly articulating where you're going to get your growth from,” says Peter, adding that ‘chasing rabbits’ - coining a phrase from an old Russian proverb – will not be good for business. “It goes, ‘If you chase two rabbits, you will not catch either one’; it teaches us that trying to achieve two things at once will be unfruitful.”

Strategies to ensure your business remains competitive and aligned with the needs of 2025:

1. Embrace Digital Transformation

Companies should invest in cutting-edge technologies such as artificial intelligence, machine learning, and automation to optimize operations, improve customer experiences, and streamline workflows. Additionally, businesses must adopt cloud computing to enhance scalability and flexibility, ensuring they can quickly adapt to market changes.

2. Focus on Sustainability

Businesses should adopt eco-friendly practices, such as reducing carbon footprints, sourcing sustainable materials, and implementing circular economy models. Transparency in environmental, social, and governance (ESG) efforts will not only improve brand reputation but also ensure compliance with stricter regulations expected in the coming years.

3. Leverage Data-Driven Decision Making

Companies must invest in analytics tools to gain actionable insights into customer preferences, market trends, and operational inefficiencies. By using predictive analytics, businesses can anticipate customer needs and stay ahead of competitors. Data privacy and security should also be top priorities to build trust with customers and comply with stringent data protection laws.

4. Prioritize Employee Development

Businesses should prioritize reskilling and upskilling their employees to keep pace with technological advancements and market demands. Offering flexible work arrangements, fostering inclusivity, and creating a supportive workplace culture will also help attract and retain top talent in 2025.

5. Enhance Customer-Centricity

Businesses should leverage omnichannel strategies to provide seamless and personalized customer experiences across digital and physical touchpoints. Incorporating AI-driven chatbots and virtual assistants can enhance customer support, while loyalty programs can help retain existing customers.

6. Adapt to Global and Local Trends

Companies must stay informed about global market trends while tailoring their offerings to meet the unique needs of local consumers. Geopolitical shifts, supply chain disruptions, and economic volatility also require businesses to maintain agility and resilience.

7. Foster Innovation and Agility

Encouraging creativity, experimenting with new ideas, and learning from failures are essential for staying relevant. Additionally, adopting agile methodologies can help organizations respond swiftly to changes in the market and customer demands.

The following column by Cambridge Chamber President and CEO Greg Durocher appears in the winter edition of our INSIGHT Magazine

There’s a chance we might be panicking over nothing after Donald Trump was again elected this past fall as President of the United States, defying political norms in a way few others have.

Despite being a convicted felon—yes, by a jury of his peers, not a partisan judge—Trump secured his return to the highest office in the land, with a staggering 34 convictions under his belt. His campaign rhetoric was, as always, polarizing and often crossed the line of decency. 

Politics has clearly changed since there was a time when even a fraction of Trump's controversies would have ended a political career. Yet here we are. Some Canadians celebrated his victory, but it perplexes me why anyone north of the border would since he has demonstrated little regard for Canada, dismissing us as an afterthought despite our deep economic ties.

The truth is America’s prosperity is intrinsically linked to our resources and partnership.

Canada: An Indispensable Ally

Consider this: 60% of the crude oil the U.S. consumes comes from Canada. Saskatchewan supplies uranium, which is essential for energy production and national security, and potash essential for the agriculture industry. Quebec powers the northeastern United States with hydroelectricity. Alberta’s natural gas and Canada’s aluminum and steel exports are cornerstones of U.S. infrastructure.

But what would happen if we turned off the taps? A trade war would hurt us both, but Canada’s contribution to the U.S. economy is undeniable. Trump’s focus should be on challenges like China and Russia, not antagonizing U.S. allies.

Revisiting NAFTA and Trade Tactics

However, his threats are nothing new since we’ve seen this playbook before. In 2016, Trump declared NAFTA (North American Free Trade Agreement) dead, demanding a "fair deal." After much posturing, the agreement was merely updated—something long overdue. Trump called it a victory, and his supporters cheered him on, but the changes were only modest at best.

Similarly, his famous promise to build a wall funded by Mexico resulted in just 732 km of construction—most of which replaced existing barriers. Mexico, of course, didn’t pay a dime and some of the "new" wall even deteriorated quickly, bogged down by allegations of corruption among Trump’s staff.

The Reality of Trump’s First Term

Let’s be honest—Trump’s first term was marked by unfulfilled promises and many controversies. His pandemic response was completely disastrous, with state governors openly criticizing his lack of leadership. Who could forget his infamous suggestion to inject bleach as a COVID-19 treatment? Why would a person even suggest that? Trump signed agreements that drove up gas prices, contributing to inflation.

Running a country is vastly different from running a private business, and Trump’s approach often revealed his lack of governance expertise.

What’s Next?

His 25% tariff plan threat on Canadian goods are likely bluster—an opening gambit to pressure Canada and Mexico into renegotiating trade agreements. It really is a strategy very reminiscent of his NAFTA theatrics.

In the end, we’ll likely see a slightly revised deal that Trump will tout as another one of his "wins." Of course, his base will applaud, despite little substantial change.

Canada’s Challenge

For Canadians, Trump’s presidency is very concerning since his leadership style— always chaotic and self-serving—offers no real benefit to Canada. Therefore, we must brace ourselves for uncertainty and prepare to protect our interests.

Meanwhile, south of the border, Americans will face the consequences of his polarizing and often ineffective leadership.

In the end, Trump’s bravado may have won temporary support from his base, but we must remember it’s critical to separate rhetoric from results. As the old saying goes, “Be careful what you wish for—you just might get it.”

The holiday season is an important time to boost the bottom line for retail businesses.

But just how much consumers are spending this year is hard to pin down, says Brad Davis, a retired Associate Professor at Wilfrid Laurier University’s Lazaridis School of Business and Economics, who specializes in consumer behaviour and trends.

According to the Retail Council of Canada (RCC) and Leger, this year average holiday spending was expected to be around $972, which is up $74 or eight per cent from the 2023 holiday season. Meanwhile, PwC Canada says Canadian consumers were planning to spend an average of $1,853 on gifts, travel, and entertainment this holiday season, a 13% increase over last year.

Shoppers, it seems, are adopting more strategic behaviours when it comes to gift giving. With inflation still impacting prices, an Angus Reid Group study indicates that 71% of Canadians are budgeting carefully, seeking promotions, and comparing options extensively.

Black Friday and Cyber Week have remained key shopping periods, with many delaying purchases to capitalize on discounts.

“The last few years I've taught I've been kind of really disparaging about spending surveys and I think you see so many of them where the results say one thing and then the actual behaviour is totally different,” says Brad. “I think we've created this environment where there's kind of a disconnect between immediate gratification of purchase and then the actual feeling of having spent money you don't see until the credit card bill arrives.”

That same Angus Reid Group survey, conducted from Oct. 15-21 from among approximately 1,500 Canadians 18 and older, also indicates at least 46% of holiday shoppers were planning to spend less this year. 

Sustainability and quality key factors

Sustainability and quality are also playing a significant role in purchasing decisions this year. Shoppers increasingly prefer high-quality, longer-lasting items and even second-hand products. For retailers, offering compelling loyalty programs and promoting ethical practices could further attract this value-driven demographic.​

Brad says while the holiday shopping season is an important time for many businesses, planning for the long term has also become a priority.

“You’ve got the sales now and the cash flow, but there is so much stuff going on with artificial intelligence and the relationship between online and bricks and mortar stores,” he says. “There’s that balance between being very reactive to what’s happening now and not compromising what you’re going to have to do for that long-term adjustment to current changes. I think many are still dealing with kind of a post-COVID restructuring.”

According to the Angus Reid Group, 26% of Canadians were planning to do most of their holiday shopping in-store this year, while 34% will do the majority online. With half (48%) of small businesses finding it harder to compete with the rise of online giants.

Survey results show Ontarians are leading nationwide in online shopping, with 41% of their holiday budget spent digitally, balancing this with the tactile experience of in-store shopping​, something Brad says is hard to define for many retailers.

“Every retail space has presumably different consumer experience expectations,” he says, adding the term ‘customer experience’ is the mantra retail experts often tout. “But when you have so much traditional retail stuff or a customer experience which is designed to create that kind of more spontaneous or in-store decision making, how do you balance that with online?”

By focusing on value, engaging promotions, and omnichannel excellence, experts say Ontario retailers and businesses should be maximizing their potential this holiday season.

Some key spending drivers this holiday season:

Consumer spending growth: Rising disposable incomes, particularly among millennials and Gen Z, are fueling higher expenditure on gifts, travel, and entertainment​.

Preference for online shopping: Retailers with robust digital platforms and promotions, especially during key events like Black Friday and Cyber Week, are poised for success​.

In-store experience matters: While online shopping grows, 62% of Canadians still value the tactile experience of in-store shopping. For Ontario retailers, curating an engaging, festive in-store atmosphere could capture the attention of consumers seeking the traditional holiday shopping experience​.

Strategic shopping and sustainability: Items like clothing, home essentials, and gift cards dominate wish lists. Retailers offering eco-friendly options or emphasizing value-driven strategies are likely to resonate with shoppers​.

Impact of promotions and loyalty programs: Businesses offering early deals, compelling promotions, and customer-centric loyalty programs will stand out during this competitive season​.

Challenges facing Ontario businesses:

Economic uncertainty: While economic indicators are improving, the lingering effects of inflation mean that consumers remain cautious. Retailers need to balance pricing strategies carefully to attract budget-conscious shoppers without eroding profit margins​.

Supply chain and inventory management: Ensuring adequate inventory while avoiding overstock is critical. Supply chain disruptions seen in previous years underline the importance of proactive planning​.

Diverse consumer preferences: Businesses must cater to a broad range of consumer priorities, from those seeking traditional gifts to those favoring experiences or sustainable options. Flexibility and adaptability will be key​.

Effective communication is the cornerstone of a successful workplace. 

Whether collaborating on a project, resolving a conflict, or simply exchanging ideas, the ability to communicate effectively can significantly impact productivity, morale, and relationships. One of the most crucial aspects of effective communication is understanding the diverse communication styles present among colleagues.

At the Chamber’s Dec. 12 Business Growth Series session, entitled Understanding Your Workforce to Unleash Their True Superpowers, leadership development consultant Andrew Leith will examine this topic by diving into the psychology of self-perception and how well we understand those around us, especially in the workplace.

Workplaces are often composed of individuals with varied personalities, cultural backgrounds, and professional experiences. These differences influence how people express themselves, interpret messages, and respond to others. By understanding these preferences, teams can reduce misunderstandings, foster mutual respect, and create an environment where everyone feels heard and valued.

“If we can understand how certain people like to communicate, and understand that certain people, including some that are neurodivergent, communicate in certain ways we can then start to isolate which ways are best to communicate with the people in our company,” says  Andrew, President of Octant Executive Advisory Group.

Neurodivergent communication refers to the ways those with neurodiverse conditions, such as autism, ADHD, dyslexia, or other cognitive differences, express and process language, and interaction.

Thinking ‘outside the box’

“But this is about being accommodating to people, whether they’re neurodivergent or not, and hopefully understanding our organizations better and understanding the ‘superpowers’ of the people that work with us and how we can unlock their potential," he says.

To accomplish this, Andrew will lead participants through a few activities to help them to start thinking ‘outside the box’ when it comes to their own communication styles and those around them.

“I’m not going to diagnose people. We’re not here to tell anyone that they are neurodivergent,” he says. “But if we can understand how certain people like to communicate, we can start to isolate which ways are best to communicate to the people in our company.”

As an example, Andrew says a company may have employees who prefer communicating through emails or text messages, rather than Zoom meetings or even face-to-face, while there may be others who do their best work when faced with either longer or shorter deadlines. He says many employers are realizing they can’t paint all employees with the same ‘brush’ when it comes to communication.

“Many have been communicating with the same expectations from day one and now all of sudden they realize they have a diverse group of thinkers and communicators in their company that require a little bit of accommodation,” says Andrew. “We always think of accommodation as being inconvenient, but it doesn’t have to be inconvenient.”

Accommodation can help bottom line

Instead, he says accommodating an employee’s specific communication needs can yield exponential dividends for an organization and can increase the bottom line, as well as strengthen employee retention. 

“Acquiring new employees is an arduous task in Ontario right now and retaining employees is top of mind for everyone,” says Andrew, noting that many Gen X employees have become more focused on quality of life rather than achieving promotions at work.  

In fact, a recent Randstad survey showed that 42% of Americans say promotions in the corporate world are no longer a priority.

“Go back 20 years and was there anyone in the corporate world that didn’t want a promotion?” quips Andrew. “I think that speaks volumes about quality of life and employee retention.”

But understanding communication styles goes beyond day-to-day tasks; it also strengthens interpersonal relationships. When colleagues feel understood and respected, trust grows. For example, some individuals may value frequent check-ins and verbal affirmation, while others might prioritize autonomy and written communication. Recognizing and honouring these preferences demonstrates empathy and consideration, which are foundational to positive workplace relationships.

Andrew hopes this Business Growth session will help employers gain more insight in creating a more diverse and productive workforce.

“If there’s one thing that I hope people will get out of this session is, depending on how large your organization, there’s a good chance you may already have someone working for you that has a lot of the answers you need,” he says. “You just need to create the environment for them to be able to do that.”

The Business Growth Series session ‘Understanding Your Workforce to Unleash Their True Superpowers’ takes place Dec. 12 at the Chamber office from 9- 11 a.m.

Click here to learn more.