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The uncertainty surrounding trade policies and the potential for sustained tariffs have already begun to erode business confidence in Ontario. 

A survey conducted in February by the Ontario Chamber of Commerce (OCC) has revealed that more than 80% of businesses believe U.S. tariffs are clearly impacting confidence in Ontario’s economy. 

Coupled with the results of the OCC’s 2025 Ontario Economic Report released last month which revealed that business confidence had risen from a historic low of 13% to only 26% in 2024, Canada’s economy remains in a precarious position in wake of U.S President Donald Trump’s continued tariffs attacks.

“The problem is we have Trump, a 78-year-old man trying to run a country in the same manner as it would have been run in 1968,” says Cambridge Chamber of Commerce President and CEO Greg Durocher. “But that country doesn’t exist anymore.”

He notes Trump’s continued claim that NATFA (North American Free Trade Agreement) resulted in the closure of 90,000 plants and factories in the U.S. is an exaggeration as well as touting that introducing exorbitant tariffs will eliminate the need for income tax.

Many industries at risk

“It’s literally impossible for that to happen,” says Greg, adding revenue from tariffs would equate to about 2% of the U.S. budget. “His whole end game centres on minerals, considering all he talks about is titanium and lithium from Ukraine. There’s no question about it.”

But in the wake of this pursuit, experts agree the impact of sustained tariffs will hit Canada hard.

The manufacturing sector stands at the forefront of potential adverse effects due to its substantial contribution to Ontario's economy and its heavy reliance on U.S. markets.

The automotive industry, a cornerstone of Ontario's manufacturing base, is especially vulnerable. Tariffs could render Canadian auto parts and vehicles less competitive, leading U.S. companies to seek alternative suppliers. This shift threatens to result in decreased production, layoffs, and a contraction within the sector. 

Beyond automotive manufacturing, other industries such as steel and aluminum production are also at risk. 

In retaliation to the U.S. tariffs, the federal government has already announced a $155 billion tariff package targeting various U.S. goods. The first phase included 25% tariffs on $30 billion worth of U.S. imports, confirmed March 4, encompassing products like orange juice, peanut butter, wine, spirits, beer, coffee, appliances, apparel, footwear, motorcycles, cosmetics, and pulp and paper.

An additional list targeting $125 billion worth of U.S. goods is under consideration on products such as electric vehicles, trucks and buses, certain fruits and vegetables, aerospace products, beef, pork, and dairy. 

Businesses ready to adapt

While these countermeasures aim to protect Canadian interests, they also risk escalating trade tensions, potentially leading to a trade war that could further destabilize Ontario's economy.

The results of the OCC tariffs survey reflect these concerns considering 77% of the 600 respondents said they expect U.S. tariffs will negatively impact their business, while slightly fewer (74%) believe that Canadian tariffs will have a negative impact.

However, when it comes to adapting to U.S. tariffs, approximately half (52%) of the respondents remain confident in their businesses ability to do so, something that doesn’t surprise Greg.

“When Canadian entrepreneurs are pushed, they become very structured and organized and say if our only option is to branch out and look elsewhere, then we're prepared to do that,” he says, adding having 52% of business owners prepared to seek other opportunities and avenues is a positive sign. “It just demonstrates that the structure of the businesses in Canada are probably more resilient than they are anywhere else, even compared to businesses in the U.S. They’re not relying on Donald Trump when it comes to changing his mind, they're relying more on themselves.”

Key findings of the OCC tariffs survey

The OCC conducted an online survey from Feb. 7-23 in co-ordination with local Chambers and Boards of Trade

Business confidence

• 60% of respondents do not currently feel confident in Ontario’s economic outlook, with nearly a quarter indicating they are not at all confident (24%).
• 88% of respondents indicated the U.S. tariffs are negatively impacting Ontario’s economy. In fact, 51% said that U.S. tariffs will have a significant negative impact on their confidence in the province’s economy.

 Business impacts of U.S. tariffs

• 77% expect U.S. tariffs on Canadian goods will negatively impact their businesses, while 74% expect Canadian tariffs will also be negative for them.
• 26% are expecting decreases sales/revenue and/or increased costs, while 23% expect increased costs of raw materials.  About 21% expect changes in customer demand because of tariffs.

 Adapting business to U.S. tariffs

• 52% of responding businesses are confident they can adapt with ongoing trade tensions between Canada and the U.S.
• 35% of businesses say they are diversifying their suppliers or considering it while 24% are considering a price increase. Approximately 84% said they are not looking to relocate any part of their business operations due to U.S. tariffs.
• 36% of respondents are anticipating a shift in market focus, while 31% expect innovations in products/services in their industry.
• 48% of respondents would welcome information and guidance, or advocacy when it comes to dealing with U.S. tariffs, while 41% would welcome financial assistance.

Click here to read survey results.

The impact of U.S. President Donald Trump’s 25% tariffs on Canadian imports and Canada’s counter tariffs has significant implications for various sectors of our economy, including tourism, with Ontario poised to experience both direct and indirect effects on this industry.

The Canada-U.S. border has traditionally seen substantial movement of tourists in both directions. However, these escalating trade tensions have led to a surge in nationalistic sentiments, influencing travel decisions.  Reports have indicated that many Canadians plan to boycott travel to the U.S. in response to Trump’s tariffs, opting instead for domestic destinations or alternative international locations, a trend that has not gone unnoticed by tourism experts. 

“We're hearing that 40% of Canadians that had booked a trip to the U.S. have cancelled their plans,” says Explore Waterloo Region CEO Michele Saran, noting travel destinations nationwide are expecting an uptick in tourists this summer. “If I was a Canadian destination that actively pursued the U.S. market, right now I would be pushing the exchange rate really hard.”

Potential side-effects

However, economic downturns typically result in reduced disposable income, which can lead to a decline in domestic tourism as residents may cut back on travel and leisure activities.

Moreover, the weakening of the Canadian dollar is likely to make international travel more expensive for Canadians, potentially reducing outbound tourism. But on the flipside, a weaker Canadian dollar could make Canada a more attractive destination for foreign tourists, as their currencies would have greater purchasing power. 

There are also potential side-effects surrounding the impact heightened political tensions and changes in consumer sentiment that have been created.

“I have been told that Americans are expressing concern about how they'll be treated if they come to Canada right now,” says Michele. “So, they're a little bit reticent about it right now. But from a leisure travel perspective, Waterloo Region has always focused on marketing in Southern Ontario.”

In fact, she says the travel organization is in the process of creating and promoting new packages to encourage visitors to spend more time here once they arrive.

Specific marketing

“We want to provide them with options they can’t find in downtown Toronto,” she says of this new promotional tactic. “We're giving them an itinerary so that they'll be able to create a mental movie of a staycation in Waterloo Region and how they could spend their time here.”

Michele says Explore Waterloo Region is conducting specific marketing targeted at couples, families and groups of friends highlighting the authentic ‘experiences’ that cities located on the edge of nature can offer. 

“We're testing them right now at the target market to make sure we mitigate any risk to make sure that these markets find them compelling,” she says, noting Waterloo Region’s proximity to the GTA will likely prove to be an even bigger advantage this year.  “About 90% of our leisure visitors come from that area. It’s easy to get here and we also have we have both rural and urban, so there's something for everyone when you come to the region.”

Annually, Waterloo Region attracts approximately five million visitors not just for leisure visits, but conferences, meetings, and sporting events, which translates into nearly $560 million for the local economy. 

To learn more, visit Explore Waterloo Region.

Tourism stats:

• Canada is the biggest source of international visitors to the U.S. accounting for for 20.4 million visits in 2024, generating $20.5 billion in spending and supporting 140,000 American jobs. 
• According to the U.S. Travel Association, even 10% less Canadian tourists to the U.S. could mean 14,000 job losses in related industries in that sector and two million less visitors.
• Florida, California, Nevada, New York, and Texas are the top states Canadians visit. Since shopping is a popular activity for Canadian visitors, these states could see steep declines in retail and hospitality revenue.
• Ontario’s Highlands Tourism Organization (OHTO) recently revealed that visitors are increasingly seeking meaningful experiences that allow them to reconnect with friends, family, and nature. This trend is reflected in a noticeable shift in spending patterns; between January and September 2024, visitor spending reached $399 million, marking a 12% increase over the previous year.
• In January 2025, more than $1.4 million was allocated to 10 organizations across southern Ontario federal government. Notable projects include the creation of a looped trail connecting Burlington to the Niagara Escarpment trail network and the Bruce Trail, aimed at augmenting active outdoor visitor experiences. Additionally, enhancements to were announced for the Hydrocut mountain bike trails in the Waterloo Region.

Ransomware is one of the most significant cybersecurity threats facing businesses today. This type of malware encrypts files and systems, rendering them inaccessible until the victim pays a ransom.

With an increasing number of organizations relying on digital infrastructure, cybercriminals have found lucrative opportunities to exploit vulnerabilities and demand hefty ransoms in exchange for restoring access to critical data.

In 2024 alone, there were many high-profile ransomware attacks that made national headlines. These included RBC, which saw more than one million of its clients fall victim to a phishing campaign and the CRA, which experienced a breach that resulted in more than two million Canadian taxpayers’ personal information become exposed. Suncor Energy also fell victim to a sophisticated attack that disrupted operations and exposed personal information of employees and contractors.

While these cases were well publicized, thousands more slide under the radar says John Svazic, founder, and principal consultant of Cambridge-based EliteSec Information Security Consultants Inc., making ransomware a silent threat to businesses.

“No one talks about it because it happens so frequently. It’s not news anymore,” he says, noting only attacks on bigger companies or institutions capture media attention.  “Unfortunately, for all the smaller business that get hit with it that’s a different story altogether. And sadly, there's not much smaller organizations can do about it, aside from either paying the ransom or in more depressing circumstances, shut down because they can't afford it.”

Cybercrime costs rising

One of the most immediate and severe consequences of a ransomware attack is financial loss.  According to the U.S. Department of State, the annual average cost of cybercrime is predicted to hit more than $23 trillion in 2027.

Ransom demands - depending on the size of the target - can range from hundreds to thousands of dollars. Even if the business decides not to pay, the costs of recovery, including IT support, security enhancements, and potential legal fees, can be significant. Additionally, businesses may suffer from loss of revenue due to operational downtime, as systems remain locked until the issue is resolved. Their reputation with customers may also be damaged in wake of an attack.

To combat potential threats, John urges businesses, especially smaller ones, make sure they don’t become a victim.

“Part of it is awareness training and making sure your staff is aware of what they're doing,” he says, noting that ransomware attacks take on two different flavours.

One, involves the data being encrypted until a ransom is paid and the victim provided with a decryption key, the other involves holding the data hostage then blackmailing the victim until a ransom is paid to prevent it from being ‘leaked’.

Cybercriminals look for weaknesses

“They claim they will delete your data after the ransom is paid, and most of the time they will. However, you always run the risk they may just come back in a few months,” says John, adding all businesses, regardless of size can become a victim since they have an online presence.  “The likelihood of someone targeting you specifically is low unless you've really made a name for yourself and or you have essentially ticked someone off.”

He says most cybercriminals are ‘lazy’ and seek out the lowest common denominators when it comes to selecting their targets. 

“Not all ransomware attacks turn into multi-million-dollar ransoms. They’re searching the internet to see what's available and testing systems to see if they are connected properly and configured,” says John. “That means are you staying up to date with patching? Are there any known weaknesses? Are you staying up to date with locking things down? Did you just buy something off the shelf and plug it in and put it on the internet?”

As a result, he recommends business owners cover the basics in terms of security, which includes ensuring passwords are not shared or continually reused.

Personal data a target

“Awareness training is super important. There are security awareness programs that are available commercially as well as free,” says John, adding thanks to AI tools like ChatGPT and Grammarly, gone are the days when phishing emails littered with typos and grammatical mistakes were easy to identify. “They are becoming much harder to spot. You may even have someone who calls in pretending to be someone from the business calling an employee.”

He says in this case, using secondary verification such as a ‘passphrase’, can be a good way to combat fraud. Also, he recommends businesses dispose of data they no longer need, especially valuable credit card information.

“Don’t keep track of stuff you don’t need. This is very common with companies that are dealing with credit card transactions,” says John. “Many years ago, businesses thought they had to keep everything. Now that type of information is a treasure trove for criminals and that’s where you get yourself in trouble.”

He says any personal customer information businesses store is potentially valuable to someone. 

“The question is, how valuable is it?” says John. “It could be as simple as your name, your address, and your e-mail address, and that in itself is sufficient to potentially  start spamming you or your customers to get them to click on links to access their details, including banking information.”

Ransomware stats:

• According to the Verizon Business: 2024 Data Breach Investigations Report, roughly one-third of all breaches involved ransomware or some other extortion technique. Pure extortion attacks have risen over the past year and are now a component of 9% of all breaches. Ransomware actors have moved toward these newer techniques, resulting in a bit of a decline in ransomware to 23%. However, when combined, they represent a strong growth to 32% of breaches. Additionally, ransomware was a top threat across 92% of industries.
• In 2024, roughly 65% of financial organizations worldwide reported experiencing a ransomware attack (according to Statista).
• A 2024 survey of cybersecurity professionals of organizations worldwide revealed that 32% of the organizations suffered ransomware attacks because of exploited vulnerabilities (according to Statista).
• Ransomware victims permanently lose 43% of the data affected by an attack on average (according to SCWorld). 

Tips to combat ransomware

Educate and Train Employees

Phishing emails, malicious attachments, and fraudulent links are common entry points. Regular cybersecurity training can help employees recognize these threats. Training sessions should cover identifying suspicious emails, avoiding unknown links, and understanding the importance of strong, unique passwords.

Implement Strong Password Policies

Enforce policies that require complex passwords combining letters, numbers, and special characters. Encourage the use of multi-factor authentication (MFA) wherever possible, adding an extra layer of security even if passwords are compromised.

Regularly Update Software and Systems

Regularly updating operating systems, applications, and security software ensures that known security flaws are patched. Enable automatic updates where possible to reduce the likelihood of oversight.

Backup Data Frequently

Implement a robust backup strategy that includes daily backups of critical data; storing backups in multiple locations, including offsite or cloud-based solutions; regularly testing backup integrity and recovery processes.

Use Reliable Security Software

Invest in reputable antivirus and anti-malware solutions that offer real-time protection. Firewalls, intrusion detection systems, and email filtering tools add additional layers of defense. Regularly update these tools to ensure they can detect and block the latest threats.

Limit User Access Rights

Not every employee needs access to all company data. Implement the principle of least privilege (PoLP), granting users access only to the information necessary for their roles. This reduces the risk of widespread damage if an account is compromised.

Develop an Incident Response Plan

An incident response plan should include clear roles and responsibilities for response team members; steps to isolate infected systems; communication protocols with stakeholders and law enforcement; procedures for restoring data from backups; regularly review and update the plan and conduct drills to ensure all employees are familiar with their roles in an emergency.

Secure Remote Work Environments

Require the use of virtual private networks (VPNs), enforce strong authentication methods, and ensure remote devices are regularly updated and protected with security software.

Stay Informed About Threats

Subscribe to cybersecurity newsletters, follow reputable security blogs, and participate in industry forums to stay informed about the latest ransomware tactics and defense strategies.

The high cost of living, inflation, housing affordability, and rising operational costs top the lists of concerns for Ontario businesses, according to the Ontario Chamber of Commerce’s (OCC) most recent Ontario Economic Report (OER). 

The report shows a significant rise in business confidence over the course of 2024, climbing from a historic low of 13% to 26% by year’s end. Despite this improvement, confidence remains historically low and fragile, with 48% of businesses expressing a lack of confidence in the economy. Affordability and the cost of living continue to be the most pressing concerns for businesses.

The survey, conducted between October 15 and December 2, 2024, gathered insights from 1,714 respondents representing a diverse range of industries, regions, and organizations.

The results show that when U.S. tariff threats are on the table, business confidence drops dramatically to just 15%, almost erasing the last year’s gains, according to the OCC’s separate tariff survey in early February. This recent research also shows that with tariffs in play, six in ten (60%) business decision makers would lack confidence in Ontario’s economic outlook.

“I may not use the word fragile describing the confidence level and instead use the word tempered,” says Cambridge Chamber of Commerce President and CEO Greg Durocher. “People's optimism for the future of business in the short term is tempered by the impact of Trump’s tariffs. I think most people in business realize that the impact of any decision is probably going to be short term. Whether or not tariffs are long term isn't the issue, it’s the impact of tariffs. So, after a period time, the marketplace settles down and people get used to whatever is the new reality.”

Ontario’s economic outlook varies

Confidence in Ontario’s economic outlook varies significantly across industries, with the information and cultural industries sector reporting the lowest level of optimism at just 17%.  Businesses in this sector cite high operational costs, shifting consumer behaviour, declining advertising revenues, and mounting pressures from technological disruption, global competition, and regulatory challenges as key drivers of their pessimism.

The retail (18%), non-profit (20%), utilities (21%), and accommodation and food services (22%) sectors follow closely, reflecting the impact of declining consumer spending amid heightened cost-of-living pressures.

The agriculture sector, while showing a slight improvement over last year, also remains among the least confident sectors (22%). Concerns in this sector centre on extreme weather events, trade and supply chain barriers, and growing labour gaps and succession planning challenges as a significant portion of the workforce approaches retirement.

By contrast, confidence is strongest in the mining (56%), finance and insurance (40%), and administrative and waste management services (40%) sectors. This could be explained by the strong demand for critical minerals supported by Ontario’s Critical Minerals Strategy, rising sustainability initiatives the finance sector’s ongoing resilience, and growth driven by fintech advancements. These sectors demonstrate adaptability and the ability to capitalize on emerging opportunities.

Survey respondents remain optimistic

Regionally, most of Ontario’s regions outside the GTA saw a significant reduction in confidence compared to the previous year.

Confidence is lowest in Stratford-Bruce Peninsula (19%), Northeast Ontario (21%), and the Greater Ottawa Area (21%), where in addition to concerns surrounding high costs and housing affordability, businesses are disproportionately sensitive to government policies and investments and have suffered more extreme weather events than other regions.

Confidence is highest in the Greater London Area (34%), a significant rebound from last year (9%). This resurgence is likely fueled by strong consumer demand, and domestic manufacturing capacity and supply chains, including the announcement of the Volkswagen EV battery plant in St. Thomas.

Despite the challenges, respondents report relative optimism about their own business growth prospects. Nearly half (49%) express confidence in their own future, citing factors such as strong consumer demand, innovation, and improved inflation management, something that doesn’t surprise Greg.

“I think that you'll find that there's going to be a growth and optimism because many sectors in Canada are going to strengthen as a result,” he says. “We’ve never been the ‘buy Canadian’ kind of a nation and the U.S. has always had buy American programs in place because we’ve always understood we were a player in the global market.”

He says there are initiatives created by the Provincial and Federal governments to encourage Canadian businesses to look at other, more reliable markets, rather than depending on the American market.

European Union agreement key

“Why we perceive the U.S. market to be unreliable right now is because anything that the American government does that impacts the trade with their nation is exponential in our case because 80 per cent of our GDP goes to the United States,” says Greg. “So, we're vulnerable to every whim of the U.S. government. For us to get more reliable sources, we need to diversify so we need to have relationships in the European Union.”

He notes the Canada-European Union Comprehensive Economic and Trade Agreement, which Canada signed in the fall of 2016, has been underutilized. 

“I think it stands to reason that we have not served ourselves well by not really looking seriously at the European Union for economic trade,” says Greg, noting this happened primarily because of our expectation the U.S. would always remain a reliable trading partner.

“We need to understand what the reality of this is going to be going forward and whether we do get aggressive when it comes to find other trading partners.  And if Canadians continue to buy Canadian that will really impact the U.S. exponentially because we do consume a lot of American products.”

Click here to read the report.

Report highlights: 

• Business confidence in Ontario’s economy has doubled in the past year, rising from 13% to 26%, but a majority of respondents (48%) lack confidence in the economy. 
• High costs remain the top concern for businesses, with 78% citing the cost of living, followed by inflation (62%), housing affordability (57%), and rising operational costs (51%).
• Simplifying or reducing business taxes (42%) is the most frequently cited policy solution to improve economic conditions, followed by affordable housing (32%), health system capacity (30%) and workforce development to solve labour shortages (29%).
• While businesses recognize the economic importance of technology adoption, environmental sustainability, diversity and inclusion and Indigenous reconciliation, businesses report a need for support and guidance in seizing these opportunities.
• Businesses report being ill-equipped to support workers and communities through mental health and addictions challenges. For example, while 71% of businesses recognize the importance of mental health and well-being to their success, only 41% have formal mental health strategies.
• Business leaders are confident in their ability to adapt to ongoing trade tensions between the U.S. and Canada with nearly half (48%) reporting confidence, while 32% are neutral and only 15% expressing a lack of confidence. 
• Ontario’s post-pandemic recovery faces significant headwinds, including potential U.S. tariff threats, geopolitical instability, lagging productivity, affordability challenges, and rising unemployment.

Corporate social responsibility (CSR) has become a critical aspect of modern business strategy, transcending the traditional goal of profit maximization. It represents a company's commitment to ethical practices, environmental stewardship, and positive contributions to society. 

In an increasingly interconnected world, stakeholders—from consumers to investors and employees—are placing higher expectations on businesses to operate responsibly.

“In today’s world, social responsibility continues to play a bigger role in consumers’ decision making of where and who they want to shop from or work with,” says Brittany Silveira, Marketing Manager at Grosche International Inc. “However, for some organizations, social responsibility remains a checkbox rather than a core value.”

For more than a dozen years the Cambridge-based kitchenware company which has operated as a social enterprise not only offers quality products but has provided thousands of people worldwide with clean drinking water through its Safe Water Project. 

“Businesses that integrate social responsibility into their DNA—like Grosche does—see long-term benefits. It's about creating shared value and using your business as a force for good: positively impacting society while fostering brand loyalty and resilience,” says Brittany, who shared some of her insights at our annual Small Business Summit held this past fall at The Tap Room in Tapestry Hall.

Workers seek purpose-driven employment

It’s a mindset that has become more prevalent for many businesses.

Some do it, according to Daniel Waeger, Associate Professor, Canada Research Chair in Corporate Governance at Lazaridis School of Business and Economics Policy, because they are a consumer facing business and realize it’s important to their clientele, and others see it as a way to charge a higher price.

“Often times it’s also just the values of the leadership,” he says, adding employees themselves are also a driving force for many businesses to become more socially responsible.

Today's workforce values purpose-driven employment. Employees, particularly younger generations, prefer to work for organizations that align with their values. CSR initiatives, such as community engagement programs or efforts to promote diversity and inclusion, create a sense of pride and belonging among employees.

Moreover, companies that demonstrate social responsibility often experience higher retention rates, as employees are more likely to stay with employers who contribute to the greater good.

“I would say over the last five to ten years, it has shifted quite a bit more to the employee side,” says Daniel, noting employees are also willing to hold a business accountable when it comes to upholding their CSR commitments even more so than the public. “As you soon as you make commitments towards your employees, they know what’s going on inside the firm, so they are in a better position than the media to hold you to your words and to hold you accountable to a certain extent.”

CSR strategies attract investors

While CSR requires investment, it often leads to long-term financial benefits.

Studies have shown that socially responsible companies tend to perform better financially over time. Ethical practices reduce risks, such as legal issues or reputational damage, which can be costly.

Additionally, CSR initiatives can open new revenue streams, such as eco-friendly product lines or partnerships with like-minded organizations. Investors also favour companies with robust CSR strategies, as these are seen as more sustainable and resilient in the long run.

For the next generation of business leaders, Daniel says he has seen a difference in the attitude among the people he instructs when it comes to putting CSR at the forefront of their business ambitions.

“People used to go to business school to become rich,” he says. “I think the considerations of the public good or of the common good are more central today than they were before. And I do think that it’s overall a good thing if there is a civic attitude.”

Brittany agrees and believes the notion of social responsibility is not a foreign concept anymore, but that its implementation still widely varies.

“The challenge lies in shifting it from an afterthought to a strategic priority,” she says. “I believe this transition is crucial for businesses aiming to stay relevant and meaningful.”

Reflect on company values

In terms of taking that first step to CSR, Brittany says a business must reflect on its values and the values of its consumers.

“Basically, what do you want to stand for beyond profitability? Brainstorm and identify causes that align with your mission and resonate with your team and customers,” she says. “From there it’s about creating a plan, starting small and measuring your efforts. Begin with one or two meaningful projects rather than spreading yourself too thin. Whether it’s reducing waste in your operations, launching a give-back program, or volunteering in your community, ensure your efforts are manageable and measurable.”

From there, Brittany says a company can then embed these values into its business model and share its efforts with the community both internally and externally.

For some businesses, like Grosche, becoming a Certified B Corporation may become the next logical step. Being one signals a business's commitment to balancing purpose and profit. B Corps are companies verified to meet high standards of social and environmental performance, accountability, and transparency.

“This certification assures employees, customers and stakeholders that you’re not just talking the talk. You’re actually making a real difference,” says Brittany. “This credibility and the give back component to your business is a great competitive advantage that can also attract top talent and increase customer loyalty.”

10 ways a business can actively embrace CSR:

Promote Environmental Sustainability

Reduce waste through recycling programs and sustainable packaging.

Transition to renewable energy sources and improve energy efficiency.

Implement water conservation initiatives and reduce carbon emissions.

Practice Ethical Sourcing

Ensure suppliers follow fair labor practices and humane working conditions.

Source raw materials sustainably to avoid environmental degradation.

Partner with vendors who share the company’s ethical standards.

Encourage Diversity and Inclusion

Establish equitable hiring practices to foster a diverse workforce.

Support underrepresented groups through mentorship or leadership programs.

Create a workplace culture that celebrates inclusivity and equity.

Support Community Initiatives

Sponsor local events or donate to community programs.

Encourage employees to volunteer by providing paid time off for service.

Partner with non-profit organizations to address local social issues.

Invest in Employee Well-being

Offer competitive wages, comprehensive benefits, and work-life balance initiatives.

Provide professional development and training opportunities.

Prioritize mental health through access to resources and support systems.

Champion Ethical Business Practices

Adopt anti-corruption policies and ensure transparency in operations.

Uphold consumer rights by delivering honest advertising and high-quality products.

Maintain strict compliance with labor and safety regulations.

Educate and Raise Awareness

Create campaigns to educate employees and customers about social or environmental issues. Collaborate with schools and universities to promote sustainability or ethics education. Use social media to amplify causes aligned with the company’s CSR goals.

Develop Sustainable Products and Services

Innovate products that are environmentally friendly or socially beneficial.

Reduce the environmental impact of production processes. Offer services that address societal challenges, such as renewable energy solutions.

Engage in Fair Trade Practices

Support fair trade-certified products and suppliers. Promote economic growth in developing regions by purchasing goods directly from small-scale producers.

Ensure fair compensation throughout the supply chain.

Measure and Report CSR Impact

Regularly assess the effectiveness of CSR initiatives using KPIs. Share progress and achievements through transparent reports. Use feedback to continuously improve CSR strategies.

While the recent 30-day postponement of U.S. President Donald Trump’s tariffs and Canada’s retaliatory measures came as welcomed news to businesses, the lingering presence of these threats remain prompting the Chamber network to act using a variety of tactics, including advocacy, negotiation, education and promoting partnerships.

Trump’s demand for 25 per cent blanket tariffs on all Canadian goods, with the exception of a 10 per cent tariff on Canadian energy, and Canada’s proposed retaliatory tariffs on $155 billion of U.S. goods, has sent economic shockwaves through both nations prompting calls for action on both sides of the border.

To clearly map out the vital importance of the trading relationship between the two countries and the risks businesses face, the Canadian Chamber of Commerce’s Business Data Lab has introduced the Canada-U.S. Trade Tracker —a new tool designed to illustrate the ties between the two economies. It notes that $3.6 billion in goods crosses the Canada-U.S. border daily, generating a $1.3 trillion annual trade relationship.

"A 30-day delay means more time for Canadian businesses and governments to drive home the point that tariffs make no sense between the two closest allies the world has ever known,” said Candace Laing, President and CEO, Canadian Chamber of Commerce, in a release. “The Canadian Chamber, our network and businesses across the country will spend every day of it fighting hard to secure this historic, robust trading relationship. Raising the cost of living for Americans and Canadians with these taxes is the wrong move. Canada and the U.S. make things together, and we should in fact be building on that.”

Call to dismantle interprovincial trade barriers

It is a sentiment echoed by her colleagues at the Ontario Chamber of Commerce who have rallied their members, which includes the Cambridge Chamber, in a show of unity and strength and targeted actions including supporting a unified call for Canadian premiers to quickly dismantle interprovincial trade barriers and the creation of a business and trade leadership coalition.

Called the Ontario Business & Trade Leadership Coalition (OBTLC), it aims to unit leaders from key trade-dependent sectors to champion business-driven solutions, advocate for effective government policies, and solidify Ontario’s position as a global leader in trade.

“President Trump has claimed the U.S. doesn’t need Canada – but we are here to show just how invaluable we are. Ontario businesses are stepping up to safeguard our economy and reinforce our global competitiveness,” said Daniel Tisch, President and CEO of the Ontario Chamber of Commerce, in a release. “The Ontario Business & Trade Leadership Coalition represents a united response – a coalition of industry leaders committed to resilience, collaboration, and growth.”

BestWR brings business groups together

But the fight to ward off economic turmoil caused by these tariff threats has also been ramped up locally, says Cambridge Chamber of Commerce President and CEO Greg Durocher, through the revival of a unique partnership created during the pandemic to assist businesses.

“We created the Business Economic Support Team of Waterloo Region (BestWR) during COIVD-19 consisting of organizations that are fundamentally engaged in the economic activities through business in the region and have brought it back as a support mechanism for local businesses with respect to trade,” he explains. “It was created during the pandemic, but this is now really about a united force of business organizations helping local businesses navigate these turbulent trade waters.”

Besides the Cambridge and Greater Kitchener Waterloo Chambers, BestWR also includes Waterloo EDC, Communitech and Explore Waterloo Region.

“We are engaged right now with regional municipalities to create opportunities whereby we can offer a support role in helping local businesses find local or Canadian suppliers, or to expose local businesses to the products they currently manufacture or sell and may be able to find Canadian customers for,” says Greg, noting BestWR also has strong federal and provincial connections which they will use to assist businesses.

“We have the insight to be able to tap into key levers within provincial government and within the federal government to have input on what potential supports those governments may need to provide businesses to keep them moving through this turmoil.”

Ask the Expert returns

As a further measure to assist, both the Cambridge and KW Chambers have revived their online tool 'Ask the Expert'.

These weekly Zoom calls - created during the pandemic to provide business leaders with current information – will now provide an opportunity for manufacturers and businesses in the region who export to the U.S. to ask questions.

“We will invite various experts to take part in the one-hour call, and hopefully get some answers to their questions and help them keep their business humming along and doing the things they need to do to support their employees,” says Greg.

'Ask the Expert' will take place every Thursday, between 9-10 a.m.

“This all about businesses,” he says. “And how do we navigate the turbulent challenges ahead and make it a win for Canadian businesses.”

The Chambers have also revamped the chambercheck website (which offered timely resources for businesses during the pandemic) to provide a growing list of trade-related resources to inform and assist businesses.

Reasons for businesses to remain confident and optimistic:

Economic Resilience

Canadian businesses have demonstrated remarkable resilience in the face of past economic challenges. Our diverse economy and strong trade relationships beyond the United States provide a buffer against potential disruptions.

United Response

The Canadian government, provincial leaders, and business organizations like your local Chamber of Commerce are presenting a united front in response to this threat. This co-ordinated approach strengthens our negotiating position and demonstrates our commitment to protecting Canadian interests.

Potential for Internal Growth

For years the Chamber network has been encouraging the government of Canada to remove interprovincial trade barriers and unlock the economic prosperity lying dormant in these archaic policies. This situation presents an opportunity to address long-standing interprovincial trade barriers and by removing them boost Canada's economy by up to $200 billion per year, potentially offsetting the impact of U.S. tariffs.

Mutual Economic Interests

It's important to remember that the proposed tariffs would also significantly harm the U.S. economy. American businesses and consumers would face higher costs and reduced competitiveness, which could lead to pressure on the U.S. administration to reconsider this approach. 

Time for Preparation

With the proposed tariffs not set to take effect until at least March 1, there is time for diplomatic efforts and for businesses to prepare contingency plans as we work our business contacts and channels to influence key stakeholders in the U.S.

Leveraging Canadian Assets

Canada continues to highlight its valuable assets that are strategically important to the U.S., including:

• Energy resources
• Critical minerals
• Nuclear power capabilities
• AI research excellence
• Lumber and building materials
• Automotive
• Agriculture

By emphasizing these assets, Canada is demonstrating that doing business with us is not just beneficial but strategically smarter than alternatives.

Government Support

The Canadian government has a track record of supporting businesses during trade disputes. We can expect measures to be put in place to assist affected industries if the tariffs are implemented.

It has been nearly two decades since a rudimentary prototype of Twitter began to take shape in 2006 and quickly gained traction resulting in more than 100 million users producing 340 million tweets daily by 2012. 

Seen initially as a great tool for businesses to promote their brands and messaging, the platform has undergone dramatic changes since billionaire Elon Musk’s takeover of X (formerly Twitter) in late 2022, and that has left businesses and advertisers re-evaluating their presence. 

His vision for X as a “free speech” platform has been polarizing, with critics pointing to the rise in hate speech and misinformation. These concerns, coupled with strategic missteps, have led some businesses to leave the platform entirely or significantly reduce their advertising spend.

“None of the businesses I work with are using X right now because it just doesn't seem like a credible platform and they don't want to be associated with that right now,” says social media expert Ashley Gould, owner of Cinis Marketing.

“I think the premise of what Elon Musk was trying to do originally by opening it up with a huge emphasis on freedom of speech was meant to try and make it a safe space for everybody. The problem is we all don't share the same opinions and we don't share the same beliefs.”

Advertisers’ confidence eroded

As a result, she says those who thrive on hate mongering and perpetuating conspiracy theories have clearly found a home on X thanks to Musk’s decision to overhaul content moderation policies. A similar move also recently embraced by Meta CEO and founder Mark Zuckerburg for Facebook and Instagram.

Under previous management, Twitter (X) maintained strict guidelines to ensure a safer environment for users and advertisers. However, Musk’s looser approach has made some companies wary of associating their brands with potentially controversial or harmful content.

The New York-based Anti-Defamation League and other watchdog groups have reported spikes in hate speech and abusive language on the platform which has further eroded advertiser confidence.

Additionally, changes to the verification system—transitioning from a badge earned through authenticity to one purchased through Twitter Blue subscriptions—have muddied the waters for users and advertisers alike. The proliferation of impersonation accounts and disinformation has made it challenging for brands to trust the platform as a reliable advertising space. 

Despite these challenges, X retains some unique advantages thanks to its real-time, text-focused format which remains unmatched for breaking news and direct communication. As a result, Ashley urges businesses not to delete their X accounts just yet.

Re-evaluate social media platforms

“But I wouldn't utilize it either because it actually could decrease your credibility if you're on there because people may make the assumption that you're ‘enjoying’ the drama.”

Instead, Ashely recommends re-evaluating your focus on social media platforms that would work better to promote your business’ brand, such as Instagram, Threads, Snapchat or Bluesky, even if your X (Twitter) account still retains thousands of followers.

“The ethical people that you’re looking to communicate with aren’t all on Twitter right now,” she says. “Even if they say they are and they’re still a follower, they’re not really there.”

Competitors of X, like Instagram, TikTok, and LinkedIn, have taken this opportunity to attract disillusioned businesses. These platforms offer more sophisticated targeting tools, robust safety features, and higher engagement rates, making them attractive alternatives for advertisers.

Meta’s Threads, a text-based platform launched in mid-2023, quickly gained traction as a ‘Twitter alternative’, luring away both individual users and businesses looking for a less volatile environment. As well, Bluesky introduced a suite of anti-toxicity features this past summer to combat harassment and provide a more ‘user friendly’ experience. 

Multiple platforms not necessary

“It’s good to go with social media platforms that verify and are trying to keep the spam out,” says Ashely, adding it may not be necessary to be on multiple platforms depending on how you’re trying to promote your brand.

“You have got to step back and ask yourself what kind of content are you creating? Who are we trying to make it for? And then really focus on that community side, not that you have 50,000 followers. That’s great, but if nobody's talking to you where's the ROI?”

As X continues to evolve, the long-term viability of its business model remains in question as Musk mulls over potential plans, such as integrating payment systems and expanding into content creation. However, the platform’s reputation as a stable and trustworthy space for businesses has been significantly tarnished.

For now, the exodus of advertisers serves as a cautionary tale about the delicate balance between free expression and the need for moderation in digital spaces.

“They broke it (X) in two years, maybe they can fix it two years?” jokes Ashely. “Unfortunately, my crystal ball is broken, so I can't see if that's actually going to happen.”

Tips for Businesses When Selecting Social Media Platforms:

1. Understand Your Target Audience

Before diving into any platform, research your audience's demographics, interests, and online habits. Platforms like TikTok appeal to younger users, while Facebook often caters to an older demographic. LinkedIn is ideal for B2B professionals, while Instagram attracts visual-centric audiences. The more aligned the platform is with your audience, the more effective your efforts will be.

2. Define Your Goals

Are you looking to drive website traffic, increase brand awareness, generate leads, or build a community? For example, Instagram and Pinterest are great for showcasing products, while Twitter excels in real-time engagement. Matching your goals with platform strengths ensures better ROI.

3. Consider Content Formats

Different platforms excel in specific content types. Instagram and TikTok thrive on short, engaging video content, while LinkedIn favors professional articles and thought leadership. If you lack resources for creating high-quality videos, focusing on text-based platforms like Twitter or LinkedIn might be more manageable.

4. Assess Your Industry Presence

Analyze where your competitors and industry leaders are most active. While you shouldn’t copy them outright, understanding their strategies can help you identify relevant platforms and trends. A strong presence in the right niche can give your business a competitive edge.

5. Evaluate Platform Features and Costs

Some platforms may require higher advertising budgets to be effective, while others offer organic reach opportunities. Look into ad pricing, analytics tools, and features like shopping integrations to determine if a platform aligns with your budget and business model.

6. Start Small and Scale

It’s better to focus on one or two platforms and excel rather than spreading resources thin. Once you’ve established a strong presence, expand to other platforms that align with your strategy.

7. Monitor and Adapt

Social media trends evolve quickly. Regularly analyze performance metrics, keep an eye on emerging platforms, and adapt your strategy as needed to stay ahead.

As businesses navigate an era of rapid technological evolution, shifting workplace dynamics, and global interconnectedness, preparing your workforce for 2025 demands strategic foresight. 

The key to success lies in fostering adaptability, embracing technological advancements, cultivating a culture of continuous learning, and prioritizing employee well-being.

“Whether it's the benefits program, whether it's salaries, the expectations of employees have gone up and I think also to the expectation of the business culture,” says Frank Newman, owner of Newman Human Resources Consulting. “I think people are making more and more decisions based on workplace culture.”

He says since the pandemic, the continuing trend of creating a strong workplace will become even more apparent in 2025 and beyond as potential employees look for reasons why they should work for a particular company.

Strong communication

“If a business owner can't answer positively what it's like to work there, then that’s going to be a problem,” says Frank. “As an employer, you have to look at your internal culture and determine what is it like. Are we behaving as we say we are? What are our values? And because it's still a competitive world out there, how do we differentiate ourselves?”

Ensuring your company brand is on target is key when it comes to navigating the current hiring environment, which he believes has become less civil since the pandemic in terms of the way some potential employees disrespect a company’s time, in some cases by not even showing up for a scheduled interview.

“I think as people we've got used to a little bit lower standard. So, as an organization, if you want to be the preferred employer or even the preferred partner to work with as a business partner, you need to up your game a bit because that's going to put you in good stead for the long run,” says Frank, adding sending a ‘thank you’ response to potential candidates just for applying is one way to make a positive impression.

“You want to make sure you increase your communication standards because everything is now subject to online reviews. The whole review concept is important - whether it's employee reviews or whether it's customer reviews – and to be aware and make sure you check them monthly because you don't know what people are going to say about your business.”

Safe environment needed

Good communication with employees also remains key, he says, noting in wake of the pandemic mental health issues continue to be an ongoing issue for many companies.

“The latest trend now is to make sure you have an employee assistance plan that can help with mental health and other counseling needs people have,” says Frank. “We live in an age of stress. It’s about having some tools for people to access, such as mental health professionals, or even just making sure that employees feel comfortable sharing.”

Creating a psychologically safe environment is a big part of developing a mental health strategy that works, taking into consideration the various pressures employees are under at work and at home.

Frank recommends conducting a pulse survey as a way to quickly collect feedback from employees to gauge their impressions of where the company stands at the moment. Depending on the size of your workforce, he says sitting down for a coffee and an informal chat can also be just as effective. 

“It’s about keeping an ear to the ground in terms of what your employees are feeling and facing,” he says. “We don’t want tone deaf business owners; that’s not going to cut it these days and I think people are looking for more humanity from their business leaders.”

A continued trends towards hybrid work situations could also play into that sense of humanity as employers look for ways to engage with their online workforce.

“You’ve got to make sure you are finding ways to leverage that and build those connections when people are isolated at home,” says Frank, noting that many employers continue to see a surge in potential applicants when it comes to offering hybrid work. “Managers must think about that and what it does to their recruiting.”

Investing in leaders

He says trusting your employees promotes growth and productivity, and that mistrust erodes confidence.

“What companies should be thinking of now is really investing in leaders. So, it’s important to make sure your leaders are connecting with their people and being authentic,” says Frank. “Most people leave an organization not because of work, but because of the boss.”

He says trust also works in both directions, especially when it comes to companies maneuvering through the current economic and political turmoil facing businesses in North America.

“It’s really about planning ahead and also letting your employees know that you’re taking things seriously and have plans in place to deal with these issues, because sometimes they are not aware of what management is doing and that may create some uncertainty,” says Frank, noting when it comes to the future, a strong AI strategy to assist employees boost their productivity is also a key consideration. “Companies should be leveraging that as much as possible.”

How businesses can prepare their workforce for the challenges of the near future:

1. Embrace Technological Integration

The workforce of 2025 will operate in a tech-driven environment. Businesses should:

• Invest in Training: Equip employees with skills in artificial intelligence (AI), data analytics, and automation to remain competitive.
• Encourage Digital Literacy: Ensure that all employees, regardless of their role, are comfortable using digital tools.
• Leverage Collaboration Platforms: Utilize tools like Slack, Microsoft Teams, and project management software to streamline communication and project execution.

2.  Prioritize Employee Well-Being

The pandemic highlighted the importance of mental health and well-being. A healthy workforce is a productive workforce. Companies should:

• Implement Flexible Work Models: Offer remote, hybrid, or flexible hours to enhance work-life balance.
• Provide Mental Health Resources: Offer counseling services, wellness programs, and stress management workshops.
• Encourage Inclusion: Build a diverse and inclusive culture where employees feel valued and respected.

 3. Focus on Reskilling and Upskilling

As technology advances, certain skills will become obsolete while others gain prominence. To stay ahead:

• Identify Skill Gaps: Use skills assessments and workforce analytics to pinpoint areas for improvement.
• Offer Continuous Learning: Provide access to online courses, certifications, and on-the-job training. 
• Promote Leadership Development: Groom employees for future leadership roles through mentorship and coaching.

 4. Foster Agility and Innovation

The ability to adapt to change and innovate will be critical in 2025. Encourage:

• Agile Mindsets: Train employees to thrive in uncertain and dynamic environments.
• Collaborative Problem-Solving: Create cross-functional teams to foster diverse perspectives and solutions. 
• Employee Empowerment: Give employees autonomy and a voice in decision-making processes.

 5. Leverage Workforce Analytics

Data-driven decisions can significantly enhance workforce management. Businesses should:

• Monitor Performance Metrics: Use analytics to track productivity, engagement, and retention.
• Predict Trends: Anticipate future workforce needs based on current data. 
• Customize Experiences: Tailor learning and development initiatives to individual employee needs.

 6. Commit to Sustainability

The workforce increasingly values companies that prioritize environmental and social responsibility. Businesses should:

• Integrate ESG Goals: Align corporate strategies with environmental, social, and governance (ESG) principles.
• Engage Employees: Involve the workforce in sustainability initiatives and green practices.

As 2025 kicks off businesses must adjust to an economic landscape shaped by technological advancements, inflation, shifting consumer expectations, and global challenges. 

Therefore, preparing a business for the future requires strategic foresight, innovation, and a commitment to meeting emerging demands, something Peter Wright, President of The Planning Group, is very familiar.

“In my view, businesses this year should be focused much more on margins and pricing gains,” he says. “If they haven't already made big pricing gains post COVID, they should be saying where can we increase prices?”

Peter says whether the business is B2B or B2C, operators should be pondering how they can increase that component of profitability. 

“Most of the focus for a lot of businesses should be on trying to make those gains at the margin level partly through pricing, but partly through reducing the cost of goods rather than trying to make a bunch of cost cutting exercises in overheads because a lot of businesses have done that,” he says, noting the urge to reduce staffing costs is often very tempting. “They might say, ‘We’ve got this open position, so let’s just not hire someone for it’. But that position could be the thing that’s actually tied to an incredible value proposition the business is trying to achieve.”

Cutting staff can hurt business

Reducing staff can also lead to increased workloads for remaining employees, causing stress and burnout. Often, when employees feel overburdened and undervalued, their productivity declines, and engagement wanes.

Also, customer expectations are set to rise in 2025, with consumers demanding faster service, personalized interactions, and consistent quality and cutting staff can often compromise a company's ability to meet these demands. Longer response times, lower service quality, and limited innovation can erode customer loyalty, driving them to competitors.

As well, cutting back on staffing and spending often leads to a reduction in resources allocated to research and development (R&D) and other innovation-focused initiatives. Without investment in new ideas and technologies, companies risk falling behind competitors who are better equipped to adapt to changing market conditions.

Peter refers to the philosophy of author and business guru Tom Peters, and his book The Circle of Innovation: You Can’t Shrink Your Way to Greatness. “You can’t cut and cut and become a great enterprise,” he says.

Avoid being opportunistic

“I think for all businesses, not just small businesses, should be saying how can we differentiate? How can we set ourselves apart and how can we then not turn around and sell that?” says Peter, adding having everybody in the organization develop a strong a belief in the value of what it is they are selling is key to making that a reality.

He warns businesses not to be too opportunistic when it comes to mapping out their growth plans for 2025 and beyond.

“To me, the big misstep is being opportunistic and not actually clearly articulating where you're going to get your growth from,” says Peter, adding that ‘chasing rabbits’ - coining a phrase from an old Russian proverb – will not be good for business. “It goes, ‘If you chase two rabbits, you will not catch either one’; it teaches us that trying to achieve two things at once will be unfruitful.”

Strategies to ensure your business remains competitive and aligned with the needs of 2025:

1. Embrace Digital Transformation

Companies should invest in cutting-edge technologies such as artificial intelligence, machine learning, and automation to optimize operations, improve customer experiences, and streamline workflows. Additionally, businesses must adopt cloud computing to enhance scalability and flexibility, ensuring they can quickly adapt to market changes.

2. Focus on Sustainability

Businesses should adopt eco-friendly practices, such as reducing carbon footprints, sourcing sustainable materials, and implementing circular economy models. Transparency in environmental, social, and governance (ESG) efforts will not only improve brand reputation but also ensure compliance with stricter regulations expected in the coming years.

3. Leverage Data-Driven Decision Making

Companies must invest in analytics tools to gain actionable insights into customer preferences, market trends, and operational inefficiencies. By using predictive analytics, businesses can anticipate customer needs and stay ahead of competitors. Data privacy and security should also be top priorities to build trust with customers and comply with stringent data protection laws.

4. Prioritize Employee Development

Businesses should prioritize reskilling and upskilling their employees to keep pace with technological advancements and market demands. Offering flexible work arrangements, fostering inclusivity, and creating a supportive workplace culture will also help attract and retain top talent in 2025.

5. Enhance Customer-Centricity

Businesses should leverage omnichannel strategies to provide seamless and personalized customer experiences across digital and physical touchpoints. Incorporating AI-driven chatbots and virtual assistants can enhance customer support, while loyalty programs can help retain existing customers.

6. Adapt to Global and Local Trends

Companies must stay informed about global market trends while tailoring their offerings to meet the unique needs of local consumers. Geopolitical shifts, supply chain disruptions, and economic volatility also require businesses to maintain agility and resilience.

7. Foster Innovation and Agility

Encouraging creativity, experimenting with new ideas, and learning from failures are essential for staying relevant. Additionally, adopting agile methodologies can help organizations respond swiftly to changes in the market and customer demands.

The following column by Cambridge Chamber President and CEO Greg Durocher appears in the winter edition of our INSIGHT Magazine

There’s a chance we might be panicking over nothing after Donald Trump was again elected this past fall as President of the United States, defying political norms in a way few others have.

Despite being a convicted felon—yes, by a jury of his peers, not a partisan judge—Trump secured his return to the highest office in the land, with a staggering 34 convictions under his belt. His campaign rhetoric was, as always, polarizing and often crossed the line of decency. 

Politics has clearly changed since there was a time when even a fraction of Trump's controversies would have ended a political career. Yet here we are. Some Canadians celebrated his victory, but it perplexes me why anyone north of the border would since he has demonstrated little regard for Canada, dismissing us as an afterthought despite our deep economic ties.

The truth is America’s prosperity is intrinsically linked to our resources and partnership.

Canada: An Indispensable Ally

Consider this: 60% of the crude oil the U.S. consumes comes from Canada. Saskatchewan supplies uranium, which is essential for energy production and national security, and potash essential for the agriculture industry. Quebec powers the northeastern United States with hydroelectricity. Alberta’s natural gas and Canada’s aluminum and steel exports are cornerstones of U.S. infrastructure.

But what would happen if we turned off the taps? A trade war would hurt us both, but Canada’s contribution to the U.S. economy is undeniable. Trump’s focus should be on challenges like China and Russia, not antagonizing U.S. allies.

Revisiting NAFTA and Trade Tactics

However, his threats are nothing new since we’ve seen this playbook before. In 2016, Trump declared NAFTA (North American Free Trade Agreement) dead, demanding a "fair deal." After much posturing, the agreement was merely updated—something long overdue. Trump called it a victory, and his supporters cheered him on, but the changes were only modest at best.

Similarly, his famous promise to build a wall funded by Mexico resulted in just 732 km of construction—most of which replaced existing barriers. Mexico, of course, didn’t pay a dime and some of the "new" wall even deteriorated quickly, bogged down by allegations of corruption among Trump’s staff.

The Reality of Trump’s First Term

Let’s be honest—Trump’s first term was marked by unfulfilled promises and many controversies. His pandemic response was completely disastrous, with state governors openly criticizing his lack of leadership. Who could forget his infamous suggestion to inject bleach as a COVID-19 treatment? Why would a person even suggest that? Trump signed agreements that drove up gas prices, contributing to inflation.

Running a country is vastly different from running a private business, and Trump’s approach often revealed his lack of governance expertise.

What’s Next?

His 25% tariff plan threat on Canadian goods are likely bluster—an opening gambit to pressure Canada and Mexico into renegotiating trade agreements. It really is a strategy very reminiscent of his NAFTA theatrics.

In the end, we’ll likely see a slightly revised deal that Trump will tout as another one of his "wins." Of course, his base will applaud, despite little substantial change.

Canada’s Challenge

For Canadians, Trump’s presidency is very concerning since his leadership style— always chaotic and self-serving—offers no real benefit to Canada. Therefore, we must brace ourselves for uncertainty and prepare to protect our interests.

Meanwhile, south of the border, Americans will face the consequences of his polarizing and often ineffective leadership.

In the end, Trump’s bravado may have won temporary support from his base, but we must remember it’s critical to separate rhetoric from results. As the old saying goes, “Be careful what you wish for—you just might get it.”