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The following column by Cambridge Chamber President and CEO Greg Durocher appears in the summer edition of our INSIGHT Magazine

I can remember as a kid playing baseball, I had a coach who always looked for the inspirational quotes that would inspire and lift us up when we lost a tough game. 

One was, “There are billions of people in the world that didn’t even know we played a game,” basically suggesting that playing the game was for our benefit and winning or losing only mattered to us because we were the only ones who really cared. The other was, “No matter what we do, whether we win or lose, tomorrow the sun is going to come up in exactly the same spot to give us another chance.”

Admittedly, these quotes were more profound to me at the time. However, considering what the world is going through right now these quotes now remind me that it is me, and only me, that can pick myself up and drive me to pursue the next challenge. If you are an entrepreneur this is a built-in philosophy. 

Of course, over time we often can become complacent with things when we have reliable customers, weaker competition, and a strong desire for your product. But we all know – especially after the past few months - things can suddenly change and not in the exact manner we want them to. 

Every expert I converse with regarding tariffs tell me that we should get used to them now as part of regular trade with the United States since President Donald Trump loves tariffs. Why? Because they fill the federal treasury with money. 

The rest of the world knows it’s a double-edged sword and is not the way the world economy has evolved. Common sense tells us that trading with more countries is better for the domestic economy, but Trump insists on playing an old board game the rest of the world gave up on decades ago.

He wants to repatriate manufacturing, which even a Grade 5 student can understand is easier said than done. Americans want to wear Nike shoes not make them, and they know if their neighbours made them, they couldn’t afford them.

Trade missions in the works to assist businesses

So, it is vital that we settle this issue one way or another because businesses need certainty and clarity, and we just need to know what we are dealing with. If we have tariffs fine (not), but then we will at least have a clearer understanding on what we all need to do.

Canada is one of the freest traders in the world and has 51 countries to choose from to do business with. There are other countries with no Canadian trade agreement, but the tariffs are minimal or non-existent. Heck, you’re an entrepreneur, selling what you do is how you got to where you are.

But how can you as an entrepreneur develop more trade opportunities? 

First, jump on board with the Cambridge Chamber because we will be setting up some international trade missions. The first is scheduled for this fall to Saudi Arabia which is begging to do business with Canadian companies. We will be casting a net out to local businesses who meet the criteria for potential trade deals so why not come with us and ‘roll the dice’? 

Second, and this may be even more important, is to always local locally for your supply needs. Source local companies if you need a machined part that you are currently buying from overseas or the U.S. because there are many creative machine shops right here that can do the job for you. Let’s try and keep some of this business at home because it helps all of us.

And lastly, please shop local for your own personal needs. Even if you like using Amazon, you can always search where the product is from. Many Chamber Members sell on Amazon, including our friends at C.A.S. Power Marine. I sometimes purchase their products from Amazon if I can’t make it out to their shop.  

Also, summer is filled with nice days so go for a stroll in the downtown areas and check out stores and restaurants you’ve never been in before because you never know what you’ll find.

So please support local and don’t be afraid to join us in finding new places on this planet where potential customers are waiting.  Believe me if Americans want your “stuff” I guarantee the rest of the world does also. 

Have a great summer and reach out if you want some help, encouragement or just a conversation, we are here.

Waterloo Region will be home to at least one million people by 2050 and a coalition of local business organizations is doing its part to ensure this area is prepared through the launch of an online tracking tool that aims to create a unified framework to ensure proactive planning and co-ordinated action across all levels of government and the private sector.

Developed in collaboration between BestWR (Business and Economic Support Team of Waterloo Region) and the Future Cities Institute located at the University of Waterloo, the Vision 1 Million Scorecard is now available to track Waterloo Region's readiness for the projected arrival of more than 300,000 people in the next 25 years.

The scorecard provides measurable, transparent monitoring of progress across five critical areas: housing supply, transportation infrastructure, healthcare services, employment opportunities, and placemaking and livability.  

These are all areas Cambridge Chamber of Commerce President & CEO Greg Durocher says are vital for businesses to succeed.

“Businesses should be paying attention to this because if we do not meet the needs of a million people from an infrastructure perspective, it’s going to make it difficult for them to attract people to their business,” says Greg, who serves on BestWR along with the leaders of the Greater Kitchener Waterloo Chamber, Explore Waterloo Region, Communitech, and the Waterloo Region Economic Development Corporation.  “These issues are all really important to businesses because businesses thrive best in a community that thrives best.”

Strong leadership needed

It’s a sentiment shared by BestWR Chair Ian McLean, who also is head of KW Chamber.

"We cannot afford to be reactive when it comes to preparing for one million residents,” he says. “This tool gives us the transparency and accountability we need to ensure decision-makers are taking the bold action required to build the housing, transportation networks, healthcare capacity, and community services our growing population will need."

Greg says strong leadership, especially by local municipal officials, is paramount noting the scorecard already shows the region is falling behind in terms of providing healthcare and housing to sustain one million people. 

The current data also shows the importance of having employment ready lands and now shows that only 33% of land identified as ‘shovel ready meagsite’ in Waterloo Region suitable for larger employers has been purchased.

“We know that at least 70,000 homes have to be built in the next 20 to 25 years and we’ve never built homes at that pace before,” says Greg. “We can really utilize the scorecard as an advocacy tool with local government to outline what areas we need to catch up on. And when we have people running for election, we will be in the position to question candidates on those subjects and ask them ‘What are you going to do to make sure that we are ready for all these people?’If we’re not ready, that is going to impact businesses.”

Scorecard will be updated

He refers to the forward-thinking governance of the late Jane Brewer, Cambridge’s mayor from 1988 to 2000 and a regional councillor, as an example noting she was a strong advocate for the construction of the LRT because she knew it would benefit future generations.

“That is what good leadership is all about,” says Greg.

The scorecard will be updated every six months to help prioritize the community's agenda and focus resources where they're most needed. Data validation and the evaluation of the progress to plans will be provided through an exciting collaboration with the Future Cities Institute (FCI), founded by CAIVAN.

The FCI brings together researchers to look at urban challenges across housing, climate, infrastructure to support prosperous and resilient cities. 

In the lead up to the first evaluation the FCI will be validating the current figures and ensuring tracking is being done for the right plans for more complex initiatives.  

Key features of the scorecard include:

• Critical priority tracking across housing supply, transportation infrastructure, healthcare services, employment, and community livability.
• Six-month interval updates to monitor progress and enable course corrections.
• Transparent accountability that allows residents to see real progress and understand remaining gaps.
• Community engagement opportunities for feedback and advocacy.
• A unified framework that brings together fragmented planning approaches under "one plan, one agenda.”

Visit bestwr.org to explore the full scorecard.

The ongoing U.S. tariffs situation is widely covered in economic and political headlines, but one of its less-discussed casualties is the human resources (HR) department.

Although HR teams are not directly involved in trade negotiations or tariff enforcement, the consequences of tariff changes are creating an unexpected wave of challenges, from workforce disruptions to morale issues and talent management headaches.

It’s a situation, says Brad Ratz, Director of Growth Strategy and Customer Experience at H2R Business Solutions, has not gone unnoticed by companies like his that provide support to small and mid-sized businesses.

“It definitely shifts you from a proactive stance to a reactive stance as an organization,” says Brad, referring to the ongoing impact of tariffs and how businesses have had to adapt. “But I think in the last few weeks there has been some more stability.”

Tariffs, essentially taxes on imported goods, often lead to higher costs for raw materials, components, and finished products. For industries like manufacturing, automotive, electronics, agriculture, and retail, this has created enormous financial pressure. While executives and supply chain managers scramble to adjust pricing, sourcing, and operations, HR departments are left to manage the human side of the fallout.

Companies facing shrinking profit margins often respond with hiring freezes, layoffs, or restructuring. This leaves HR teams tasked with managing reductions in force, handling severance, conducting difficult conversations, and navigating legal risks—all while maintaining morale among the remaining workforce.

Assessment key for businesses

However, Brad says on the other end of the ‘doom and gloom’ side of the situation there has been an uptake in hiring as many companies capitalize on the ‘buy Canadian’ movement.

“As many companies are being impacted and may be modeling out some worst-case scenarios, we've got on the other side clients that say, ‘How do we even keep up with the amount of work that's being directed to us right now?’” says Brad, adding organizations must really start to think strategically when it comes to planning. “How do we navigate this uptick? Because the question then is how long is this sustainable?”

For companies forced to shift their strategies—such as relocating manufacturing out of tariff-affected countries—HR faces the complex task of redeploying talent. This might involve reskilling workers for new roles, managing transfers, or negotiating with unions. Retraining programs, once seen as long-term development initiatives, have become urgent necessities to keep pace with rapidly changing business needs.

Assessment, says Brad, is key when companies are faced with rapid changes.

“Take that pause and ask some questions and assess the landscape and what's happening. Once you've assessed, then it's time to start planning. What's best case scenario and what's worst case scenario?” he says. “I love the assessment piece because you’re acting off of real data and you're kind of eliminating some of that emotional stuff that's going to come in if you don't stop and do the assessment.”

Managers require support

Another hidden cost of the tariffs situation is employee anxiety. News of supply chain disruptions, rising costs, or customer losses spreads quickly through the workforce. Employees fear for their jobs, speculate about layoffs, and worry about the company’s future. Even if no cuts are made, morale can take a hit, leading to drops in productivity and engagement.

HR teams must invest time in internal communication to reassure employees, manage rumours, and maintain trust. They also need to support managers in having transparent conversations with their teams. In some cases, HR may introduce stress management programs or offer additional mental health resources to help employees cope.

“We've had a significant increase from a training and development side trying to equip leaders to help navigate the changes that are coming through this and support their teams,” says Brad, adding some smaller organizations may already have tools in place to assist. “If you do feel like your team is going to be affected in many different ways, what systems or tools do you already have access and available that can support our staff through this?”

Moving forward, companies need to recognize HR’s critical role in times of economic disruption. This means ensuring that HR leaders have a seat at the table during strategic planning, providing resources for employee support programs, and investing in workforce planning and training. Without this, the toll on morale, retention, and performance may far outlast the tariff wars themselves.

Speaking on a personal note, Brad says despite any shifts caused by tariffs, he is optimistic for the what the economic future holds.

“Canada is one of the largest economies in the world. On a global scale, we’re not small and there's lots of opportunity out there,” he says. “Typically, after any time of crisis, and I would classify this as crisis, that's usually when the largest level of innovation happens.”

Challenges faced by HR departments include:

Job security and layoffs

Tariffs can lead to declining demand in certain industries, potentially causing layoffs and hiring freezes. HR must develop strategies for managing workforce reductions while maintaining employee morale.

Reskilling and upskilling

As businesses adapt to changing market conditions, including tariff-related shifts in supply chains, HR may need to focus on reskilling employees for new roles.

Employee morale

The uncertainty surrounding tariff policies and their potential impact on jobs and the economy can negatively affect employee morale, leading to decreased productivity and engagement.

Compensation and benefits

Rising material costs due to tariffs can put pressure on company budgets, potentially requiring HR to adjust compensation structures and benefits packages to remain competitive.

Transparency and communication

HR leaders need to be transparent with employees about how tariffs may impact the business and provide support programs to help them navigate the changes.

Impact on healthcare costs

Tariffs could also lead to rising pharmaceutical costs, adding to the challenges already faced by HR in managing healthcare inflation, according to Businessolver.

The collective strength of the Ontario Chamber network to advocate for businesses during one of the most turbulent economic junctions in Canadian history became a unifying theme at the recent Ontario Chamber of Chamber of Commerce AGM in Windsor.

The event – held April 24-26 and hosted by the Windsor Essex, Amherstburg and Leamington District Chambers of Commerce - brought together approximately 150 delegates representing 60 chambers provincewide to network, hear from economic leaders, and to debate policies that can create evidence-based solutions to benefit the business community and province’s economic growth.

“The annual AGM is a great opportunity for Chamber leaders to not only share ideas and best practices, but to find ways to navigate current economic upheavals created by U.S. President Donald Trump’s continued trade threats,” says Cambridge Chamber of Commerce President and CEO Greg Durocher, who attend the AGM accompanied by Board Chair Murray Smith. “Having a unified voice is pivotal, especially now, in helping to create the certainty businesses need.”

Drop in business confidence

It was a sentiment echoed by Ontario Chamber of Commerce President and CEO Daniel Tisch during his opening remarks at the conference, entitled Bridges, Not Barriers. 

He spoke about the immense stress business leaders are under due to staffing concerns and rising prices and referenced the OCC’s ninth annual Ontario Economic Report (OER) released earlier this year which showed a significant rise in business confidence over the course of 2024, climbing from a historic low of 13 per cent to 26 per cent by year’s end.

However, despite this improvement, confidence remains historically low and fragile, with 48 per cent of businesses expressing a lack of confidence in the economy. When U.S. tariff threats are on the table, business confidence dropped dramatically to just 15 per cent, almost erasing the last year’s gains, according to the OCC’s separate tariff survey in early February.

Tisch said business leaders are looking for assistance and guidance, noting the Chamber network is the best organization to take on that leadership role.

Trade clarity will come

“We can provide that platform and provide the clarity and collaboration and continuity they need to be successful, and that they deserve because we need them to help build our province and to create jobs and economic opportunity and the growth that we all want,” he said, adding Canada will eventually achieve some level of clarity when it comes to U.S. trade. “We don’t exactly know when, but we know that it’s going to be fragile and as long as the president (Trump) is in office there is no guarantee he will respect any (trade) deal that he signs because he didn’t respect the last one. We can’t put all our eggs in that basket anymore and have to diversify as a trading nation.”

Competitiveness was the underlying theme of two sessions at the AGM featuring a panel of experts, including Windsor Essex Chamber of Commerce President and CEO Ryan Donally, who spoke about the long-standing trading relationship between the U.S. and Canada. It was noted that 25% (approximately $320 to $390 million) of all trade between the two countries crosses the Ambassador Bridge daily.

Long-term strategies needed

“You can’t unscramble this egg since cross-border trade has been around for at least a century,” he said, adding Trump’s tariffs will cost thousands of jobs on both sides of the border before stressing the need for trade diversification and long-term strategies.

It was a sentiment shared by Luke Polcyn, Senior Executive, Development and Economic Transformation for the City of Detroit, who outlined the vibrant trading relationship between the two cities and the opportunity for cross-border partnerships in terms of innovation assets.

“This disruption (tariffs) is being done in our name but ask any SMEs on the U.S. side and they would tell you the system could be tweaked but not blown up,” he said.

A second panel of experts which focused on Ontario’s ‘competitive edge’ offered insights on how key sectors can navigate policy changes, and how the province can build on its future competitiveness.

“Our responsibility at the moment is to think long-term,” said panelist Jaipaul Massey-Singh, CEO of the Brampton Board of Trade, adding more could be done to commercialize innovation. “Let’s not let this crisis go to waste. It’s not all doom and gloom but a wakeup call.”

He stressed the need to hold decision-makers accountable to push for change, an opinion shared by a fellow panelist, Sueling Ching, President and CEO of the Ottawa Board of Trade.

“We must demand a continued collaboration of strategies,” she said. “Our new normal is change.”

Policies will help businesses

In effort to make changes, this year 36 policies were approved by the delegates covering a wide variety of issues that can directly affect businesses. These included  policies relating to education, healthcare, homelessness, mental health and addictions, transportation, infrastructure, and manufacturing. These policies now become entrenched in the Ontario Chamber of Commerce’s policy ‘play book’ to guide its ongoing advocacy work at Queen’s Park.

The Cambridge Chamber co-sponsored three policies which received support from delegates:

Create and Implement a Provincial Strategy to Address Homelessness, Mental Health and Addictions

• This policy outlines several recommendations for the Province, including ensuring social services outreach teams are available as partners to police throughout Ontario to support marginalized individuals and improve province wide data collection and access for frontline services to enable better decision-making. Also, prioritize funding, program, and policy changes to better support those with complex mental health conditions that may pose a risk to themselves and others, and incentivize municipalities to develop more low barrier supportive housing solutions.

Cutting Administration for Ontario Physicians

• This policy sets out several recommendations, including encouraging the Province to collaborate with physicians, healthcare administrators and stakeholders to set key performance indicators for administrative workloads and set targets based on industry benchmarks to ensure improvements in physician efficiency. It also calls for the prioritization of secure digital technology to reduce administrative burdens, and collaboration with the Ontario Medical Association and other healthcare organizations to implement proven strategies that reduce physicians’ workloads.

Ontario Government Assistance on Employment Land Assembly

• This policy calls for the Province to financially assist municipalities with the purchase of land for major industrial and economic development projects. It also recommends funding support be provided for necessary infrastructure, such as roads, utilities, and servicing, to enhance the viability of potential employment lands to attract investors. As well, it recommends the need for regional partnerships and engagement with the private sector to optimize both existing and new employment land uses to ensure the land assembly efforts integrate with broader economic strategies. 

Canadian businesses are grappling with significant challenges stemming from U.S. President Donald Trump's imposition of tariffs.

These measures have introduced economic uncertainty, disrupted supply chains, and strained the historically robust trade relationship between Canada and the United States.

That uncertainty has been compared to what many businesses felt when the pandemic virtually shut down the economy, creating chaos and confusion.

To assist the local business community as they did then, the Cambridge Chamber of Commerce and Greater Kitchener Waterloo Chamber of Commerce have relaunched their Ask the Expert initiative to share information and resources.

Held online every Thursday from 9 a.m. to 10 a.m., Ask the Expert provides business operators the opportunity to discuss their concerns, as well as hear the latest news and insights from a variety of professionals surrounding the issues related to this escalating trade war, including federal aid programs.

Global growth slowdown

Among those who recently shared their knowledge was Automotive Parts Manufacturers’ Association (APMA) CEO Flavio Volpe who discussed, among other things, the impact tariffs will have on auto industry on both sides of the border. 

“It almost feels a little bit like we are in the early days of the pandemic when business owners we’re just trying to understand what was happening,” says Cambridge Chamber President and CEO Greg Durocher, describing the uncertainty currently being felt by business owners.

The Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) has highlighted the detrimental impact of these tariffs on the global economy, with particular emphasis on Canada.

The OECD forecasts a slowdown in global growth to 3.1% in 2025 and 3.0% in 2026, attributing this deceleration partly to the trade tensions initiated by the U.S. Specifically, Canada's economic growth is projected to decline to 0.7% in 2025, a significant reduction that underscores the profound effect of the tariffs on the nation's economic trajectory.

Eroded business confidence

The unpredictability associated with the on-again, off-again nature of the tariffs has eroded business confidence.

The latest CEO Confidence Index from Chief Executive magazine indicates a significant drop, reaching the lowest level since November 2012. This decline is attributed to the fluctuating tariff policies between the U.S., Canada, and Mexico, which have made long-term planning and investment decisions increasingly challenging for businesses.

Executives from major financial institutions have voiced concerns about the negative impact of this uncertainty on business operations and economic stability. 

Greg says that uncertainty is clear, noting many of those logging on to Ask the Expert are smaller business owners who may not be directly impacted by tariffs but more from the trickle-down effects of a prolonged trade war.

“Nobody really knows yet what those impacts will be,” he says. “The people joining us really want to know more about timing and when things are going to happen. I think some of the concerns are morphing away from talk of annexation and are now touching on the realization that there is something really wrong in the U.S.”

To join an Ask the Expert conversation, visit www.chambercheck.ca (which offers resources and information to help businesses) and sign up. 

For those who can’t participate live, Ask the Expert videos are posted on  www.chambercheck.ca  and the Cambridge Chamber of Commerce YouTube channel. 

Federal aid package info

In response to U.S. tariff impositions that have disrupted trade and heightened economic uncertainty, the Canadian government has introduced a comprehensive aid package exceeding $6 billion to support affected businesses. The key components of this financial assistance include:

1. Trade Impact Program by Export Development Canada (EDC):

With its newly launched Trade Impact Program, EDC is prepared to facilitate an additional $5 billion over two years in support. This program aims to:

• Market Diversification: Assist exporters in identifying and penetrating new international markets, reducing reliance on the U.S. market.

• Risk Mitigation: Provide solutions to manage challenges such as non-payment risks, currency fluctuations, and cash flow constraints.

• Expansion Support: Offer financial backing to overcome barriers hindering business growth and international expansion.

These measures are designed to help companies navigate the economic challenges posed by the tariffs and adapt to the evolving trade environment. 

Government of Canada.

2. Business Development Bank of Canada (BDC) Financing:

To support businesses directly affected by the tariffs, the BDC is providing $500 million in favorably priced loans. Key features include:

• Loan Amounts: Businesses can access loans ranging from $100,000 to $2 million.

• Flexible Terms: Loans come with favorable interest rates and flexible repayment options, including the possibility of deferring principal payments for up to 12 months.

• Advisory Services: Beyond financing, BDC offers advisory services in areas such as financial management and market diversification to strengthen business resilience.

This initiative aims to provide immediate financial relief and support long-term strategic planning for affected businesses. 

3. Farm Credit Canada (FCC) Support for Agriculture and Food Industry:

Recognizing the unique challenges faced by the agriculture and food sectors, the government has allocated $1 billion in new financing through FCC. This support includes:

• Additional Credit Lines: Access to an additional credit line of up to $500,000 for eligible businesses.

• New Term Loans: Provision of new term loans to address specific financial needs arising from the tariffs.

• Payment Deferrals: Current FCC customers have the option to defer principal payments on existing loans for up to 12 months.

These measures are intended to alleviate cash flow challenges, allowing businesses to adjust to the new operating environment and continue supplying high-quality agricultural and food products. 

4. Enhancements to the Employment Insurance (EI) Work-Sharing Program:

To mitigate layoffs and retain skilled workers, the government has introduced temporary flexibilities to the EI Work-Sharing Program:

• Extended Duration: The maximum duration of work-sharing agreements has been extended from 38 weeks to 76 weeks.

• Increased Access: Adjustments have been made to make the program more accessible to businesses experiencing a downturn due to the tariffs.

This program allows employees to work reduced hours while receiving EI benefits, helping employers retain experienced staff and enabling workers to maintain their employment and skills during periods of reduced business activity. 

5. Strengthening Investment Protections:

To safeguard Canadian businesses from potentially harmful foreign takeovers during this period of economic vulnerability, the government has updated the Investment Canada Act Guidelines. While Canada continues to welcome foreign investment, these updates ensure that any investments posing risks to economic security can be thoroughly reviewed and addressed.

Click here to learn more.

The uncertainty surrounding trade policies and the potential for sustained tariffs have already begun to erode business confidence in Ontario. 

A survey conducted in February by the Ontario Chamber of Commerce (OCC) has revealed that more than 80% of businesses believe U.S. tariffs are clearly impacting confidence in Ontario’s economy. 

Coupled with the results of the OCC’s 2025 Ontario Economic Report released last month which revealed that business confidence had risen from a historic low of 13% to only 26% in 2024, Canada’s economy remains in a precarious position in wake of U.S President Donald Trump’s continued tariffs attacks.

“The problem is we have Trump, a 78-year-old man trying to run a country in the same manner as it would have been run in 1968,” says Cambridge Chamber of Commerce President and CEO Greg Durocher. “But that country doesn’t exist anymore.”

He notes Trump’s continued claim that NATFA (North American Free Trade Agreement) resulted in the closure of 90,000 plants and factories in the U.S. is an exaggeration as well as touting that introducing exorbitant tariffs will eliminate the need for income tax.

Many industries at risk

“It’s literally impossible for that to happen,” says Greg, adding revenue from tariffs would equate to about 2% of the U.S. budget. “His whole end game centres on minerals, considering all he talks about is titanium and lithium from Ukraine. There’s no question about it.”

But in the wake of this pursuit, experts agree the impact of sustained tariffs will hit Canada hard.

The manufacturing sector stands at the forefront of potential adverse effects due to its substantial contribution to Ontario's economy and its heavy reliance on U.S. markets.

The automotive industry, a cornerstone of Ontario's manufacturing base, is especially vulnerable. Tariffs could render Canadian auto parts and vehicles less competitive, leading U.S. companies to seek alternative suppliers. This shift threatens to result in decreased production, layoffs, and a contraction within the sector. 

Beyond automotive manufacturing, other industries such as steel and aluminum production are also at risk. 

In retaliation to the U.S. tariffs, the federal government has already announced a $155 billion tariff package targeting various U.S. goods. The first phase included 25% tariffs on $30 billion worth of U.S. imports, confirmed March 4, encompassing products like orange juice, peanut butter, wine, spirits, beer, coffee, appliances, apparel, footwear, motorcycles, cosmetics, and pulp and paper.

An additional list targeting $125 billion worth of U.S. goods is under consideration on products such as electric vehicles, trucks and buses, certain fruits and vegetables, aerospace products, beef, pork, and dairy. 

Businesses ready to adapt

While these countermeasures aim to protect Canadian interests, they also risk escalating trade tensions, potentially leading to a trade war that could further destabilize Ontario's economy.

The results of the OCC tariffs survey reflect these concerns considering 77% of the 600 respondents said they expect U.S. tariffs will negatively impact their business, while slightly fewer (74%) believe that Canadian tariffs will have a negative impact.

However, when it comes to adapting to U.S. tariffs, approximately half (52%) of the respondents remain confident in their businesses ability to do so, something that doesn’t surprise Greg.

“When Canadian entrepreneurs are pushed, they become very structured and organized and say if our only option is to branch out and look elsewhere, then we're prepared to do that,” he says, adding having 52% of business owners prepared to seek other opportunities and avenues is a positive sign. “It just demonstrates that the structure of the businesses in Canada are probably more resilient than they are anywhere else, even compared to businesses in the U.S. They’re not relying on Donald Trump when it comes to changing his mind, they're relying more on themselves.”

Key findings of the OCC tariffs survey

The OCC conducted an online survey from Feb. 7-23 in co-ordination with local Chambers and Boards of Trade

Business confidence

• 60% of respondents do not currently feel confident in Ontario’s economic outlook, with nearly a quarter indicating they are not at all confident (24%).
• 88% of respondents indicated the U.S. tariffs are negatively impacting Ontario’s economy. In fact, 51% said that U.S. tariffs will have a significant negative impact on their confidence in the province’s economy.

 Business impacts of U.S. tariffs

• 77% expect U.S. tariffs on Canadian goods will negatively impact their businesses, while 74% expect Canadian tariffs will also be negative for them.
• 26% are expecting decreases sales/revenue and/or increased costs, while 23% expect increased costs of raw materials.  About 21% expect changes in customer demand because of tariffs.

 Adapting business to U.S. tariffs

• 52% of responding businesses are confident they can adapt with ongoing trade tensions between Canada and the U.S.
• 35% of businesses say they are diversifying their suppliers or considering it while 24% are considering a price increase. Approximately 84% said they are not looking to relocate any part of their business operations due to U.S. tariffs.
• 36% of respondents are anticipating a shift in market focus, while 31% expect innovations in products/services in their industry.
• 48% of respondents would welcome information and guidance, or advocacy when it comes to dealing with U.S. tariffs, while 41% would welcome financial assistance.

Click here to read survey results.

The impact of U.S. President Donald Trump’s 25% tariffs on Canadian imports and Canada’s counter tariffs has significant implications for various sectors of our economy, including tourism, with Ontario poised to experience both direct and indirect effects on this industry.

The Canada-U.S. border has traditionally seen substantial movement of tourists in both directions. However, these escalating trade tensions have led to a surge in nationalistic sentiments, influencing travel decisions.  Reports have indicated that many Canadians plan to boycott travel to the U.S. in response to Trump’s tariffs, opting instead for domestic destinations or alternative international locations, a trend that has not gone unnoticed by tourism experts. 

“We're hearing that 40% of Canadians that had booked a trip to the U.S. have cancelled their plans,” says Explore Waterloo Region CEO Michele Saran, noting travel destinations nationwide are expecting an uptick in tourists this summer. “If I was a Canadian destination that actively pursued the U.S. market, right now I would be pushing the exchange rate really hard.”

Potential side-effects

However, economic downturns typically result in reduced disposable income, which can lead to a decline in domestic tourism as residents may cut back on travel and leisure activities.

Moreover, the weakening of the Canadian dollar is likely to make international travel more expensive for Canadians, potentially reducing outbound tourism. But on the flipside, a weaker Canadian dollar could make Canada a more attractive destination for foreign tourists, as their currencies would have greater purchasing power. 

There are also potential side-effects surrounding the impact heightened political tensions and changes in consumer sentiment that have been created.

“I have been told that Americans are expressing concern about how they'll be treated if they come to Canada right now,” says Michele. “So, they're a little bit reticent about it right now. But from a leisure travel perspective, Waterloo Region has always focused on marketing in Southern Ontario.”

In fact, she says the travel organization is in the process of creating and promoting new packages to encourage visitors to spend more time here once they arrive.

Specific marketing

“We want to provide them with options they can’t find in downtown Toronto,” she says of this new promotional tactic. “We're giving them an itinerary so that they'll be able to create a mental movie of a staycation in Waterloo Region and how they could spend their time here.”

Michele says Explore Waterloo Region is conducting specific marketing targeted at couples, families and groups of friends highlighting the authentic ‘experiences’ that cities located on the edge of nature can offer. 

“We're testing them right now at the target market to make sure we mitigate any risk to make sure that these markets find them compelling,” she says, noting Waterloo Region’s proximity to the GTA will likely prove to be an even bigger advantage this year.  “About 90% of our leisure visitors come from that area. It’s easy to get here and we also have we have both rural and urban, so there's something for everyone when you come to the region.”

Annually, Waterloo Region attracts approximately five million visitors not just for leisure visits, but conferences, meetings, and sporting events, which translates into nearly $560 million for the local economy. 

To learn more, visit Explore Waterloo Region.

Tourism stats:

• Canada is the biggest source of international visitors to the U.S. accounting for for 20.4 million visits in 2024, generating $20.5 billion in spending and supporting 140,000 American jobs. 
• According to the U.S. Travel Association, even 10% less Canadian tourists to the U.S. could mean 14,000 job losses in related industries in that sector and two million less visitors.
• Florida, California, Nevada, New York, and Texas are the top states Canadians visit. Since shopping is a popular activity for Canadian visitors, these states could see steep declines in retail and hospitality revenue.
• Ontario’s Highlands Tourism Organization (OHTO) recently revealed that visitors are increasingly seeking meaningful experiences that allow them to reconnect with friends, family, and nature. This trend is reflected in a noticeable shift in spending patterns; between January and September 2024, visitor spending reached $399 million, marking a 12% increase over the previous year.
• In January 2025, more than $1.4 million was allocated to 10 organizations across southern Ontario federal government. Notable projects include the creation of a looped trail connecting Burlington to the Niagara Escarpment trail network and the Bruce Trail, aimed at augmenting active outdoor visitor experiences. Additionally, enhancements to were announced for the Hydrocut mountain bike trails in the Waterloo Region.

The high cost of living, inflation, housing affordability, and rising operational costs top the lists of concerns for Ontario businesses, according to the Ontario Chamber of Commerce’s (OCC) most recent Ontario Economic Report (OER). 

The report shows a significant rise in business confidence over the course of 2024, climbing from a historic low of 13% to 26% by year’s end. Despite this improvement, confidence remains historically low and fragile, with 48% of businesses expressing a lack of confidence in the economy. Affordability and the cost of living continue to be the most pressing concerns for businesses.

The survey, conducted between October 15 and December 2, 2024, gathered insights from 1,714 respondents representing a diverse range of industries, regions, and organizations.

The results show that when U.S. tariff threats are on the table, business confidence drops dramatically to just 15%, almost erasing the last year’s gains, according to the OCC’s separate tariff survey in early February. This recent research also shows that with tariffs in play, six in ten (60%) business decision makers would lack confidence in Ontario’s economic outlook.

“I may not use the word fragile describing the confidence level and instead use the word tempered,” says Cambridge Chamber of Commerce President and CEO Greg Durocher. “People's optimism for the future of business in the short term is tempered by the impact of Trump’s tariffs. I think most people in business realize that the impact of any decision is probably going to be short term. Whether or not tariffs are long term isn't the issue, it’s the impact of tariffs. So, after a period time, the marketplace settles down and people get used to whatever is the new reality.”

Ontario’s economic outlook varies

Confidence in Ontario’s economic outlook varies significantly across industries, with the information and cultural industries sector reporting the lowest level of optimism at just 17%.  Businesses in this sector cite high operational costs, shifting consumer behaviour, declining advertising revenues, and mounting pressures from technological disruption, global competition, and regulatory challenges as key drivers of their pessimism.

The retail (18%), non-profit (20%), utilities (21%), and accommodation and food services (22%) sectors follow closely, reflecting the impact of declining consumer spending amid heightened cost-of-living pressures.

The agriculture sector, while showing a slight improvement over last year, also remains among the least confident sectors (22%). Concerns in this sector centre on extreme weather events, trade and supply chain barriers, and growing labour gaps and succession planning challenges as a significant portion of the workforce approaches retirement.

By contrast, confidence is strongest in the mining (56%), finance and insurance (40%), and administrative and waste management services (40%) sectors. This could be explained by the strong demand for critical minerals supported by Ontario’s Critical Minerals Strategy, rising sustainability initiatives the finance sector’s ongoing resilience, and growth driven by fintech advancements. These sectors demonstrate adaptability and the ability to capitalize on emerging opportunities.

Survey respondents remain optimistic

Regionally, most of Ontario’s regions outside the GTA saw a significant reduction in confidence compared to the previous year.

Confidence is lowest in Stratford-Bruce Peninsula (19%), Northeast Ontario (21%), and the Greater Ottawa Area (21%), where in addition to concerns surrounding high costs and housing affordability, businesses are disproportionately sensitive to government policies and investments and have suffered more extreme weather events than other regions.

Confidence is highest in the Greater London Area (34%), a significant rebound from last year (9%). This resurgence is likely fueled by strong consumer demand, and domestic manufacturing capacity and supply chains, including the announcement of the Volkswagen EV battery plant in St. Thomas.

Despite the challenges, respondents report relative optimism about their own business growth prospects. Nearly half (49%) express confidence in their own future, citing factors such as strong consumer demand, innovation, and improved inflation management, something that doesn’t surprise Greg.

“I think that you'll find that there's going to be a growth and optimism because many sectors in Canada are going to strengthen as a result,” he says. “We’ve never been the ‘buy Canadian’ kind of a nation and the U.S. has always had buy American programs in place because we’ve always understood we were a player in the global market.”

He says there are initiatives created by the Provincial and Federal governments to encourage Canadian businesses to look at other, more reliable markets, rather than depending on the American market.

European Union agreement key

“Why we perceive the U.S. market to be unreliable right now is because anything that the American government does that impacts the trade with their nation is exponential in our case because 80 per cent of our GDP goes to the United States,” says Greg. “So, we're vulnerable to every whim of the U.S. government. For us to get more reliable sources, we need to diversify so we need to have relationships in the European Union.”

He notes the Canada-European Union Comprehensive Economic and Trade Agreement, which Canada signed in the fall of 2016, has been underutilized. 

“I think it stands to reason that we have not served ourselves well by not really looking seriously at the European Union for economic trade,” says Greg, noting this happened primarily because of our expectation the U.S. would always remain a reliable trading partner.

“We need to understand what the reality of this is going to be going forward and whether we do get aggressive when it comes to find other trading partners.  And if Canadians continue to buy Canadian that will really impact the U.S. exponentially because we do consume a lot of American products.”

Click here to read the report.

Report highlights: 

• Business confidence in Ontario’s economy has doubled in the past year, rising from 13% to 26%, but a majority of respondents (48%) lack confidence in the economy. 
• High costs remain the top concern for businesses, with 78% citing the cost of living, followed by inflation (62%), housing affordability (57%), and rising operational costs (51%).
• Simplifying or reducing business taxes (42%) is the most frequently cited policy solution to improve economic conditions, followed by affordable housing (32%), health system capacity (30%) and workforce development to solve labour shortages (29%).
• While businesses recognize the economic importance of technology adoption, environmental sustainability, diversity and inclusion and Indigenous reconciliation, businesses report a need for support and guidance in seizing these opportunities.
• Businesses report being ill-equipped to support workers and communities through mental health and addictions challenges. For example, while 71% of businesses recognize the importance of mental health and well-being to their success, only 41% have formal mental health strategies.
• Business leaders are confident in their ability to adapt to ongoing trade tensions between the U.S. and Canada with nearly half (48%) reporting confidence, while 32% are neutral and only 15% expressing a lack of confidence. 
• Ontario’s post-pandemic recovery faces significant headwinds, including potential U.S. tariff threats, geopolitical instability, lagging productivity, affordability challenges, and rising unemployment.

While the recent 30-day postponement of U.S. President Donald Trump’s tariffs and Canada’s retaliatory measures came as welcomed news to businesses, the lingering presence of these threats remain prompting the Chamber network to act using a variety of tactics, including advocacy, negotiation, education and promoting partnerships.

Trump’s demand for 25 per cent blanket tariffs on all Canadian goods, with the exception of a 10 per cent tariff on Canadian energy, and Canada’s proposed retaliatory tariffs on $155 billion of U.S. goods, has sent economic shockwaves through both nations prompting calls for action on both sides of the border.

To clearly map out the vital importance of the trading relationship between the two countries and the risks businesses face, the Canadian Chamber of Commerce’s Business Data Lab has introduced the Canada-U.S. Trade Tracker —a new tool designed to illustrate the ties between the two economies. It notes that $3.6 billion in goods crosses the Canada-U.S. border daily, generating a $1.3 trillion annual trade relationship.

"A 30-day delay means more time for Canadian businesses and governments to drive home the point that tariffs make no sense between the two closest allies the world has ever known,” said Candace Laing, President and CEO, Canadian Chamber of Commerce, in a release. “The Canadian Chamber, our network and businesses across the country will spend every day of it fighting hard to secure this historic, robust trading relationship. Raising the cost of living for Americans and Canadians with these taxes is the wrong move. Canada and the U.S. make things together, and we should in fact be building on that.”

Call to dismantle interprovincial trade barriers

It is a sentiment echoed by her colleagues at the Ontario Chamber of Commerce who have rallied their members, which includes the Cambridge Chamber, in a show of unity and strength and targeted actions including supporting a unified call for Canadian premiers to quickly dismantle interprovincial trade barriers and the creation of a business and trade leadership coalition.

Called the Ontario Business & Trade Leadership Coalition (OBTLC), it aims to unit leaders from key trade-dependent sectors to champion business-driven solutions, advocate for effective government policies, and solidify Ontario’s position as a global leader in trade.

“President Trump has claimed the U.S. doesn’t need Canada – but we are here to show just how invaluable we are. Ontario businesses are stepping up to safeguard our economy and reinforce our global competitiveness,” said Daniel Tisch, President and CEO of the Ontario Chamber of Commerce, in a release. “The Ontario Business & Trade Leadership Coalition represents a united response – a coalition of industry leaders committed to resilience, collaboration, and growth.”

BestWR brings business groups together

But the fight to ward off economic turmoil caused by these tariff threats has also been ramped up locally, says Cambridge Chamber of Commerce President and CEO Greg Durocher, through the revival of a unique partnership created during the pandemic to assist businesses.

“We created the Business Economic Support Team of Waterloo Region (BestWR) during COIVD-19 consisting of organizations that are fundamentally engaged in the economic activities through business in the region and have brought it back as a support mechanism for local businesses with respect to trade,” he explains. “It was created during the pandemic, but this is now really about a united force of business organizations helping local businesses navigate these turbulent trade waters.”

Besides the Cambridge and Greater Kitchener Waterloo Chambers, BestWR also includes Waterloo EDC, Communitech and Explore Waterloo Region.

“We are engaged right now with regional municipalities to create opportunities whereby we can offer a support role in helping local businesses find local or Canadian suppliers, or to expose local businesses to the products they currently manufacture or sell and may be able to find Canadian customers for,” says Greg, noting BestWR also has strong federal and provincial connections which they will use to assist businesses.

“We have the insight to be able to tap into key levers within provincial government and within the federal government to have input on what potential supports those governments may need to provide businesses to keep them moving through this turmoil.”

Ask the Expert returns

As a further measure to assist, both the Cambridge and KW Chambers have revived their online tool 'Ask the Expert'.

These weekly Zoom calls - created during the pandemic to provide business leaders with current information – will now provide an opportunity for manufacturers and businesses in the region who export to the U.S. to ask questions.

“We will invite various experts to take part in the one-hour call, and hopefully get some answers to their questions and help them keep their business humming along and doing the things they need to do to support their employees,” says Greg.

'Ask the Expert' will take place every Thursday, between 9-10 a.m.

“This all about businesses,” he says. “And how do we navigate the turbulent challenges ahead and make it a win for Canadian businesses.”

The Chambers have also revamped the chambercheck website (which offered timely resources for businesses during the pandemic) to provide a growing list of trade-related resources to inform and assist businesses.

Reasons for businesses to remain confident and optimistic:

Economic Resilience

Canadian businesses have demonstrated remarkable resilience in the face of past economic challenges. Our diverse economy and strong trade relationships beyond the United States provide a buffer against potential disruptions.

United Response

The Canadian government, provincial leaders, and business organizations like your local Chamber of Commerce are presenting a united front in response to this threat. This co-ordinated approach strengthens our negotiating position and demonstrates our commitment to protecting Canadian interests.

Potential for Internal Growth

For years the Chamber network has been encouraging the government of Canada to remove interprovincial trade barriers and unlock the economic prosperity lying dormant in these archaic policies. This situation presents an opportunity to address long-standing interprovincial trade barriers and by removing them boost Canada's economy by up to $200 billion per year, potentially offsetting the impact of U.S. tariffs.

Mutual Economic Interests

It's important to remember that the proposed tariffs would also significantly harm the U.S. economy. American businesses and consumers would face higher costs and reduced competitiveness, which could lead to pressure on the U.S. administration to reconsider this approach. 

Time for Preparation

With the proposed tariffs not set to take effect until at least March 1, there is time for diplomatic efforts and for businesses to prepare contingency plans as we work our business contacts and channels to influence key stakeholders in the U.S.

Leveraging Canadian Assets

Canada continues to highlight its valuable assets that are strategically important to the U.S., including:

• Energy resources
• Critical minerals
• Nuclear power capabilities
• AI research excellence
• Lumber and building materials
• Automotive
• Agriculture

By emphasizing these assets, Canada is demonstrating that doing business with us is not just beneficial but strategically smarter than alternatives.

Government Support

The Canadian government has a track record of supporting businesses during trade disputes. We can expect measures to be put in place to assist affected industries if the tariffs are implemented.

It has been nearly two decades since a rudimentary prototype of Twitter began to take shape in 2006 and quickly gained traction resulting in more than 100 million users producing 340 million tweets daily by 2012. 

Seen initially as a great tool for businesses to promote their brands and messaging, the platform has undergone dramatic changes since billionaire Elon Musk’s takeover of X (formerly Twitter) in late 2022, and that has left businesses and advertisers re-evaluating their presence. 

His vision for X as a “free speech” platform has been polarizing, with critics pointing to the rise in hate speech and misinformation. These concerns, coupled with strategic missteps, have led some businesses to leave the platform entirely or significantly reduce their advertising spend.

“None of the businesses I work with are using X right now because it just doesn't seem like a credible platform and they don't want to be associated with that right now,” says social media expert Ashley Gould, owner of Cinis Marketing.

“I think the premise of what Elon Musk was trying to do originally by opening it up with a huge emphasis on freedom of speech was meant to try and make it a safe space for everybody. The problem is we all don't share the same opinions and we don't share the same beliefs.”

Advertisers’ confidence eroded

As a result, she says those who thrive on hate mongering and perpetuating conspiracy theories have clearly found a home on X thanks to Musk’s decision to overhaul content moderation policies. A similar move also recently embraced by Meta CEO and founder Mark Zuckerburg for Facebook and Instagram.

Under previous management, Twitter (X) maintained strict guidelines to ensure a safer environment for users and advertisers. However, Musk’s looser approach has made some companies wary of associating their brands with potentially controversial or harmful content.

The New York-based Anti-Defamation League and other watchdog groups have reported spikes in hate speech and abusive language on the platform which has further eroded advertiser confidence.

Additionally, changes to the verification system—transitioning from a badge earned through authenticity to one purchased through Twitter Blue subscriptions—have muddied the waters for users and advertisers alike. The proliferation of impersonation accounts and disinformation has made it challenging for brands to trust the platform as a reliable advertising space. 

Despite these challenges, X retains some unique advantages thanks to its real-time, text-focused format which remains unmatched for breaking news and direct communication. As a result, Ashley urges businesses not to delete their X accounts just yet.

Re-evaluate social media platforms

“But I wouldn't utilize it either because it actually could decrease your credibility if you're on there because people may make the assumption that you're ‘enjoying’ the drama.”

Instead, Ashely recommends re-evaluating your focus on social media platforms that would work better to promote your business’ brand, such as Instagram, Threads, Snapchat or Bluesky, even if your X (Twitter) account still retains thousands of followers.

“The ethical people that you’re looking to communicate with aren’t all on Twitter right now,” she says. “Even if they say they are and they’re still a follower, they’re not really there.”

Competitors of X, like Instagram, TikTok, and LinkedIn, have taken this opportunity to attract disillusioned businesses. These platforms offer more sophisticated targeting tools, robust safety features, and higher engagement rates, making them attractive alternatives for advertisers.

Meta’s Threads, a text-based platform launched in mid-2023, quickly gained traction as a ‘Twitter alternative’, luring away both individual users and businesses looking for a less volatile environment. As well, Bluesky introduced a suite of anti-toxicity features this past summer to combat harassment and provide a more ‘user friendly’ experience. 

Multiple platforms not necessary

“It’s good to go with social media platforms that verify and are trying to keep the spam out,” says Ashely, adding it may not be necessary to be on multiple platforms depending on how you’re trying to promote your brand.

“You have got to step back and ask yourself what kind of content are you creating? Who are we trying to make it for? And then really focus on that community side, not that you have 50,000 followers. That’s great, but if nobody's talking to you where's the ROI?”

As X continues to evolve, the long-term viability of its business model remains in question as Musk mulls over potential plans, such as integrating payment systems and expanding into content creation. However, the platform’s reputation as a stable and trustworthy space for businesses has been significantly tarnished.

For now, the exodus of advertisers serves as a cautionary tale about the delicate balance between free expression and the need for moderation in digital spaces.

“They broke it (X) in two years, maybe they can fix it two years?” jokes Ashely. “Unfortunately, my crystal ball is broken, so I can't see if that's actually going to happen.”

Tips for Businesses When Selecting Social Media Platforms:

1. Understand Your Target Audience

Before diving into any platform, research your audience's demographics, interests, and online habits. Platforms like TikTok appeal to younger users, while Facebook often caters to an older demographic. LinkedIn is ideal for B2B professionals, while Instagram attracts visual-centric audiences. The more aligned the platform is with your audience, the more effective your efforts will be.

2. Define Your Goals

Are you looking to drive website traffic, increase brand awareness, generate leads, or build a community? For example, Instagram and Pinterest are great for showcasing products, while Twitter excels in real-time engagement. Matching your goals with platform strengths ensures better ROI.

3. Consider Content Formats

Different platforms excel in specific content types. Instagram and TikTok thrive on short, engaging video content, while LinkedIn favors professional articles and thought leadership. If you lack resources for creating high-quality videos, focusing on text-based platforms like Twitter or LinkedIn might be more manageable.

4. Assess Your Industry Presence

Analyze where your competitors and industry leaders are most active. While you shouldn’t copy them outright, understanding their strategies can help you identify relevant platforms and trends. A strong presence in the right niche can give your business a competitive edge.

5. Evaluate Platform Features and Costs

Some platforms may require higher advertising budgets to be effective, while others offer organic reach opportunities. Look into ad pricing, analytics tools, and features like shopping integrations to determine if a platform aligns with your budget and business model.

6. Start Small and Scale

It’s better to focus on one or two platforms and excel rather than spreading resources thin. Once you’ve established a strong presence, expand to other platforms that align with your strategy.

7. Monitor and Adapt

Social media trends evolve quickly. Regularly analyze performance metrics, keep an eye on emerging platforms, and adapt your strategy as needed to stay ahead.