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Canadian businesses are grappling with significant challenges stemming from U.S. President Donald Trump's imposition of tariffs.

These measures have introduced economic uncertainty, disrupted supply chains, and strained the historically robust trade relationship between Canada and the United States.

That uncertainty has been compared to what many businesses felt when the pandemic virtually shut down the economy, creating chaos and confusion.

To assist the local business community as they did then, the Cambridge Chamber of Commerce and Greater Kitchener Waterloo Chamber of Commerce have relaunched their Ask the Expert initiative to share information and resources.

Held online every Thursday from 9 a.m. to 10 a.m., Ask the Expert provides business operators the opportunity to discuss their concerns, as well as hear the latest news and insights from a variety of professionals surrounding the issues related to this escalating trade war, including federal aid programs.

Global growth slowdown

Among those who recently shared their knowledge was Automotive Parts Manufacturers’ Association (APMA) CEO Flavio Volpe who discussed, among other things, the impact tariffs will have on auto industry on both sides of the border. 

“It almost feels a little bit like we are in the early days of the pandemic when business owners we’re just trying to understand what was happening,” says Cambridge Chamber President and CEO Greg Durocher, describing the uncertainty currently being felt by business owners.

The Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) has highlighted the detrimental impact of these tariffs on the global economy, with particular emphasis on Canada.

The OECD forecasts a slowdown in global growth to 3.1% in 2025 and 3.0% in 2026, attributing this deceleration partly to the trade tensions initiated by the U.S. Specifically, Canada's economic growth is projected to decline to 0.7% in 2025, a significant reduction that underscores the profound effect of the tariffs on the nation's economic trajectory.

Eroded business confidence

The unpredictability associated with the on-again, off-again nature of the tariffs has eroded business confidence.

The latest CEO Confidence Index from Chief Executive magazine indicates a significant drop, reaching the lowest level since November 2012. This decline is attributed to the fluctuating tariff policies between the U.S., Canada, and Mexico, which have made long-term planning and investment decisions increasingly challenging for businesses.

Executives from major financial institutions have voiced concerns about the negative impact of this uncertainty on business operations and economic stability. 

Greg says that uncertainty is clear, noting many of those logging on to Ask the Expert are smaller business owners who may not be directly impacted by tariffs but more from the trickle-down effects of a prolonged trade war.

“Nobody really knows yet what those impacts will be,” he says. “The people joining us really want to know more about timing and when things are going to happen. I think some of the concerns are morphing away from talk of annexation and are now touching on the realization that there is something really wrong in the U.S.”

To join an Ask the Expert conversation, visit www.chambercheck.ca (which offers resources and information to help businesses) and sign up. 

For those who can’t participate live, Ask the Expert videos are posted on  www.chambercheck.ca  and the Cambridge Chamber of Commerce YouTube channel. 

Federal aid package info

In response to U.S. tariff impositions that have disrupted trade and heightened economic uncertainty, the Canadian government has introduced a comprehensive aid package exceeding $6 billion to support affected businesses. The key components of this financial assistance include:

1. Trade Impact Program by Export Development Canada (EDC):

With its newly launched Trade Impact Program, EDC is prepared to facilitate an additional $5 billion over two years in support. This program aims to:

• Market Diversification: Assist exporters in identifying and penetrating new international markets, reducing reliance on the U.S. market.

• Risk Mitigation: Provide solutions to manage challenges such as non-payment risks, currency fluctuations, and cash flow constraints.

• Expansion Support: Offer financial backing to overcome barriers hindering business growth and international expansion.

These measures are designed to help companies navigate the economic challenges posed by the tariffs and adapt to the evolving trade environment. 

Government of Canada.

2. Business Development Bank of Canada (BDC) Financing:

To support businesses directly affected by the tariffs, the BDC is providing $500 million in favorably priced loans. Key features include:

• Loan Amounts: Businesses can access loans ranging from $100,000 to $2 million.

• Flexible Terms: Loans come with favorable interest rates and flexible repayment options, including the possibility of deferring principal payments for up to 12 months.

• Advisory Services: Beyond financing, BDC offers advisory services in areas such as financial management and market diversification to strengthen business resilience.

This initiative aims to provide immediate financial relief and support long-term strategic planning for affected businesses. 

3. Farm Credit Canada (FCC) Support for Agriculture and Food Industry:

Recognizing the unique challenges faced by the agriculture and food sectors, the government has allocated $1 billion in new financing through FCC. This support includes:

• Additional Credit Lines: Access to an additional credit line of up to $500,000 for eligible businesses.

• New Term Loans: Provision of new term loans to address specific financial needs arising from the tariffs.

• Payment Deferrals: Current FCC customers have the option to defer principal payments on existing loans for up to 12 months.

These measures are intended to alleviate cash flow challenges, allowing businesses to adjust to the new operating environment and continue supplying high-quality agricultural and food products. 

4. Enhancements to the Employment Insurance (EI) Work-Sharing Program:

To mitigate layoffs and retain skilled workers, the government has introduced temporary flexibilities to the EI Work-Sharing Program:

• Extended Duration: The maximum duration of work-sharing agreements has been extended from 38 weeks to 76 weeks.

• Increased Access: Adjustments have been made to make the program more accessible to businesses experiencing a downturn due to the tariffs.

This program allows employees to work reduced hours while receiving EI benefits, helping employers retain experienced staff and enabling workers to maintain their employment and skills during periods of reduced business activity. 

5. Strengthening Investment Protections:

To safeguard Canadian businesses from potentially harmful foreign takeovers during this period of economic vulnerability, the government has updated the Investment Canada Act Guidelines. While Canada continues to welcome foreign investment, these updates ensure that any investments posing risks to economic security can be thoroughly reviewed and addressed.

Click here to learn more.

The impact of U.S. President Donald Trump’s 25% tariffs on Canadian imports and Canada’s counter tariffs has significant implications for various sectors of our economy, including tourism, with Ontario poised to experience both direct and indirect effects on this industry.

The Canada-U.S. border has traditionally seen substantial movement of tourists in both directions. However, these escalating trade tensions have led to a surge in nationalistic sentiments, influencing travel decisions.  Reports have indicated that many Canadians plan to boycott travel to the U.S. in response to Trump’s tariffs, opting instead for domestic destinations or alternative international locations, a trend that has not gone unnoticed by tourism experts. 

“We're hearing that 40% of Canadians that had booked a trip to the U.S. have cancelled their plans,” says Explore Waterloo Region CEO Michele Saran, noting travel destinations nationwide are expecting an uptick in tourists this summer. “If I was a Canadian destination that actively pursued the U.S. market, right now I would be pushing the exchange rate really hard.”

Potential side-effects

However, economic downturns typically result in reduced disposable income, which can lead to a decline in domestic tourism as residents may cut back on travel and leisure activities.

Moreover, the weakening of the Canadian dollar is likely to make international travel more expensive for Canadians, potentially reducing outbound tourism. But on the flipside, a weaker Canadian dollar could make Canada a more attractive destination for foreign tourists, as their currencies would have greater purchasing power. 

There are also potential side-effects surrounding the impact heightened political tensions and changes in consumer sentiment that have been created.

“I have been told that Americans are expressing concern about how they'll be treated if they come to Canada right now,” says Michele. “So, they're a little bit reticent about it right now. But from a leisure travel perspective, Waterloo Region has always focused on marketing in Southern Ontario.”

In fact, she says the travel organization is in the process of creating and promoting new packages to encourage visitors to spend more time here once they arrive.

Specific marketing

“We want to provide them with options they can’t find in downtown Toronto,” she says of this new promotional tactic. “We're giving them an itinerary so that they'll be able to create a mental movie of a staycation in Waterloo Region and how they could spend their time here.”

Michele says Explore Waterloo Region is conducting specific marketing targeted at couples, families and groups of friends highlighting the authentic ‘experiences’ that cities located on the edge of nature can offer. 

“We're testing them right now at the target market to make sure we mitigate any risk to make sure that these markets find them compelling,” she says, noting Waterloo Region’s proximity to the GTA will likely prove to be an even bigger advantage this year.  “About 90% of our leisure visitors come from that area. It’s easy to get here and we also have we have both rural and urban, so there's something for everyone when you come to the region.”

Annually, Waterloo Region attracts approximately five million visitors not just for leisure visits, but conferences, meetings, and sporting events, which translates into nearly $560 million for the local economy. 

To learn more, visit Explore Waterloo Region.

Tourism stats:

• Canada is the biggest source of international visitors to the U.S. accounting for for 20.4 million visits in 2024, generating $20.5 billion in spending and supporting 140,000 American jobs. 
• According to the U.S. Travel Association, even 10% less Canadian tourists to the U.S. could mean 14,000 job losses in related industries in that sector and two million less visitors.
• Florida, California, Nevada, New York, and Texas are the top states Canadians visit. Since shopping is a popular activity for Canadian visitors, these states could see steep declines in retail and hospitality revenue.
• Ontario’s Highlands Tourism Organization (OHTO) recently revealed that visitors are increasingly seeking meaningful experiences that allow them to reconnect with friends, family, and nature. This trend is reflected in a noticeable shift in spending patterns; between January and September 2024, visitor spending reached $399 million, marking a 12% increase over the previous year.
• In January 2025, more than $1.4 million was allocated to 10 organizations across southern Ontario federal government. Notable projects include the creation of a looped trail connecting Burlington to the Niagara Escarpment trail network and the Bruce Trail, aimed at augmenting active outdoor visitor experiences. Additionally, enhancements to were announced for the Hydrocut mountain bike trails in the Waterloo Region.

The high cost of living, inflation, housing affordability, and rising operational costs top the lists of concerns for Ontario businesses, according to the Ontario Chamber of Commerce’s (OCC) most recent Ontario Economic Report (OER). 

The report shows a significant rise in business confidence over the course of 2024, climbing from a historic low of 13% to 26% by year’s end. Despite this improvement, confidence remains historically low and fragile, with 48% of businesses expressing a lack of confidence in the economy. Affordability and the cost of living continue to be the most pressing concerns for businesses.

The survey, conducted between October 15 and December 2, 2024, gathered insights from 1,714 respondents representing a diverse range of industries, regions, and organizations.

The results show that when U.S. tariff threats are on the table, business confidence drops dramatically to just 15%, almost erasing the last year’s gains, according to the OCC’s separate tariff survey in early February. This recent research also shows that with tariffs in play, six in ten (60%) business decision makers would lack confidence in Ontario’s economic outlook.

“I may not use the word fragile describing the confidence level and instead use the word tempered,” says Cambridge Chamber of Commerce President and CEO Greg Durocher. “People's optimism for the future of business in the short term is tempered by the impact of Trump’s tariffs. I think most people in business realize that the impact of any decision is probably going to be short term. Whether or not tariffs are long term isn't the issue, it’s the impact of tariffs. So, after a period time, the marketplace settles down and people get used to whatever is the new reality.”

Ontario’s economic outlook varies

Confidence in Ontario’s economic outlook varies significantly across industries, with the information and cultural industries sector reporting the lowest level of optimism at just 17%.  Businesses in this sector cite high operational costs, shifting consumer behaviour, declining advertising revenues, and mounting pressures from technological disruption, global competition, and regulatory challenges as key drivers of their pessimism.

The retail (18%), non-profit (20%), utilities (21%), and accommodation and food services (22%) sectors follow closely, reflecting the impact of declining consumer spending amid heightened cost-of-living pressures.

The agriculture sector, while showing a slight improvement over last year, also remains among the least confident sectors (22%). Concerns in this sector centre on extreme weather events, trade and supply chain barriers, and growing labour gaps and succession planning challenges as a significant portion of the workforce approaches retirement.

By contrast, confidence is strongest in the mining (56%), finance and insurance (40%), and administrative and waste management services (40%) sectors. This could be explained by the strong demand for critical minerals supported by Ontario’s Critical Minerals Strategy, rising sustainability initiatives the finance sector’s ongoing resilience, and growth driven by fintech advancements. These sectors demonstrate adaptability and the ability to capitalize on emerging opportunities.

Survey respondents remain optimistic

Regionally, most of Ontario’s regions outside the GTA saw a significant reduction in confidence compared to the previous year.

Confidence is lowest in Stratford-Bruce Peninsula (19%), Northeast Ontario (21%), and the Greater Ottawa Area (21%), where in addition to concerns surrounding high costs and housing affordability, businesses are disproportionately sensitive to government policies and investments and have suffered more extreme weather events than other regions.

Confidence is highest in the Greater London Area (34%), a significant rebound from last year (9%). This resurgence is likely fueled by strong consumer demand, and domestic manufacturing capacity and supply chains, including the announcement of the Volkswagen EV battery plant in St. Thomas.

Despite the challenges, respondents report relative optimism about their own business growth prospects. Nearly half (49%) express confidence in their own future, citing factors such as strong consumer demand, innovation, and improved inflation management, something that doesn’t surprise Greg.

“I think that you'll find that there's going to be a growth and optimism because many sectors in Canada are going to strengthen as a result,” he says. “We’ve never been the ‘buy Canadian’ kind of a nation and the U.S. has always had buy American programs in place because we’ve always understood we were a player in the global market.”

He says there are initiatives created by the Provincial and Federal governments to encourage Canadian businesses to look at other, more reliable markets, rather than depending on the American market.

European Union agreement key

“Why we perceive the U.S. market to be unreliable right now is because anything that the American government does that impacts the trade with their nation is exponential in our case because 80 per cent of our GDP goes to the United States,” says Greg. “So, we're vulnerable to every whim of the U.S. government. For us to get more reliable sources, we need to diversify so we need to have relationships in the European Union.”

He notes the Canada-European Union Comprehensive Economic and Trade Agreement, which Canada signed in the fall of 2016, has been underutilized. 

“I think it stands to reason that we have not served ourselves well by not really looking seriously at the European Union for economic trade,” says Greg, noting this happened primarily because of our expectation the U.S. would always remain a reliable trading partner.

“We need to understand what the reality of this is going to be going forward and whether we do get aggressive when it comes to find other trading partners.  And if Canadians continue to buy Canadian that will really impact the U.S. exponentially because we do consume a lot of American products.”

Click here to read the report.

Report highlights: 

• Business confidence in Ontario’s economy has doubled in the past year, rising from 13% to 26%, but a majority of respondents (48%) lack confidence in the economy. 
• High costs remain the top concern for businesses, with 78% citing the cost of living, followed by inflation (62%), housing affordability (57%), and rising operational costs (51%).
• Simplifying or reducing business taxes (42%) is the most frequently cited policy solution to improve economic conditions, followed by affordable housing (32%), health system capacity (30%) and workforce development to solve labour shortages (29%).
• While businesses recognize the economic importance of technology adoption, environmental sustainability, diversity and inclusion and Indigenous reconciliation, businesses report a need for support and guidance in seizing these opportunities.
• Businesses report being ill-equipped to support workers and communities through mental health and addictions challenges. For example, while 71% of businesses recognize the importance of mental health and well-being to their success, only 41% have formal mental health strategies.
• Business leaders are confident in their ability to adapt to ongoing trade tensions between the U.S. and Canada with nearly half (48%) reporting confidence, while 32% are neutral and only 15% expressing a lack of confidence. 
• Ontario’s post-pandemic recovery faces significant headwinds, including potential U.S. tariff threats, geopolitical instability, lagging productivity, affordability challenges, and rising unemployment.

While the recent 30-day postponement of U.S. President Donald Trump’s tariffs and Canada’s retaliatory measures came as welcomed news to businesses, the lingering presence of these threats remain prompting the Chamber network to act using a variety of tactics, including advocacy, negotiation, education and promoting partnerships.

Trump’s demand for 25 per cent blanket tariffs on all Canadian goods, with the exception of a 10 per cent tariff on Canadian energy, and Canada’s proposed retaliatory tariffs on $155 billion of U.S. goods, has sent economic shockwaves through both nations prompting calls for action on both sides of the border.

To clearly map out the vital importance of the trading relationship between the two countries and the risks businesses face, the Canadian Chamber of Commerce’s Business Data Lab has introduced the Canada-U.S. Trade Tracker —a new tool designed to illustrate the ties between the two economies. It notes that $3.6 billion in goods crosses the Canada-U.S. border daily, generating a $1.3 trillion annual trade relationship.

"A 30-day delay means more time for Canadian businesses and governments to drive home the point that tariffs make no sense between the two closest allies the world has ever known,” said Candace Laing, President and CEO, Canadian Chamber of Commerce, in a release. “The Canadian Chamber, our network and businesses across the country will spend every day of it fighting hard to secure this historic, robust trading relationship. Raising the cost of living for Americans and Canadians with these taxes is the wrong move. Canada and the U.S. make things together, and we should in fact be building on that.”

Call to dismantle interprovincial trade barriers

It is a sentiment echoed by her colleagues at the Ontario Chamber of Commerce who have rallied their members, which includes the Cambridge Chamber, in a show of unity and strength and targeted actions including supporting a unified call for Canadian premiers to quickly dismantle interprovincial trade barriers and the creation of a business and trade leadership coalition.

Called the Ontario Business & Trade Leadership Coalition (OBTLC), it aims to unit leaders from key trade-dependent sectors to champion business-driven solutions, advocate for effective government policies, and solidify Ontario’s position as a global leader in trade.

“President Trump has claimed the U.S. doesn’t need Canada – but we are here to show just how invaluable we are. Ontario businesses are stepping up to safeguard our economy and reinforce our global competitiveness,” said Daniel Tisch, President and CEO of the Ontario Chamber of Commerce, in a release. “The Ontario Business & Trade Leadership Coalition represents a united response – a coalition of industry leaders committed to resilience, collaboration, and growth.”

BestWR brings business groups together

But the fight to ward off economic turmoil caused by these tariff threats has also been ramped up locally, says Cambridge Chamber of Commerce President and CEO Greg Durocher, through the revival of a unique partnership created during the pandemic to assist businesses.

“We created the Business Economic Support Team of Waterloo Region (BestWR) during COIVD-19 consisting of organizations that are fundamentally engaged in the economic activities through business in the region and have brought it back as a support mechanism for local businesses with respect to trade,” he explains. “It was created during the pandemic, but this is now really about a united force of business organizations helping local businesses navigate these turbulent trade waters.”

Besides the Cambridge and Greater Kitchener Waterloo Chambers, BestWR also includes Waterloo EDC, Communitech and Explore Waterloo Region.

“We are engaged right now with regional municipalities to create opportunities whereby we can offer a support role in helping local businesses find local or Canadian suppliers, or to expose local businesses to the products they currently manufacture or sell and may be able to find Canadian customers for,” says Greg, noting BestWR also has strong federal and provincial connections which they will use to assist businesses.

“We have the insight to be able to tap into key levers within provincial government and within the federal government to have input on what potential supports those governments may need to provide businesses to keep them moving through this turmoil.”

Ask the Expert returns

As a further measure to assist, both the Cambridge and KW Chambers have revived their online tool 'Ask the Expert'.

These weekly Zoom calls - created during the pandemic to provide business leaders with current information – will now provide an opportunity for manufacturers and businesses in the region who export to the U.S. to ask questions.

“We will invite various experts to take part in the one-hour call, and hopefully get some answers to their questions and help them keep their business humming along and doing the things they need to do to support their employees,” says Greg.

'Ask the Expert' will take place every Thursday, between 9-10 a.m.

“This all about businesses,” he says. “And how do we navigate the turbulent challenges ahead and make it a win for Canadian businesses.”

The Chambers have also revamped the chambercheck website (which offered timely resources for businesses during the pandemic) to provide a growing list of trade-related resources to inform and assist businesses.

Reasons for businesses to remain confident and optimistic:

Economic Resilience

Canadian businesses have demonstrated remarkable resilience in the face of past economic challenges. Our diverse economy and strong trade relationships beyond the United States provide a buffer against potential disruptions.

United Response

The Canadian government, provincial leaders, and business organizations like your local Chamber of Commerce are presenting a united front in response to this threat. This co-ordinated approach strengthens our negotiating position and demonstrates our commitment to protecting Canadian interests.

Potential for Internal Growth

For years the Chamber network has been encouraging the government of Canada to remove interprovincial trade barriers and unlock the economic prosperity lying dormant in these archaic policies. This situation presents an opportunity to address long-standing interprovincial trade barriers and by removing them boost Canada's economy by up to $200 billion per year, potentially offsetting the impact of U.S. tariffs.

Mutual Economic Interests

It's important to remember that the proposed tariffs would also significantly harm the U.S. economy. American businesses and consumers would face higher costs and reduced competitiveness, which could lead to pressure on the U.S. administration to reconsider this approach. 

Time for Preparation

With the proposed tariffs not set to take effect until at least March 1, there is time for diplomatic efforts and for businesses to prepare contingency plans as we work our business contacts and channels to influence key stakeholders in the U.S.

Leveraging Canadian Assets

Canada continues to highlight its valuable assets that are strategically important to the U.S., including:

• Energy resources
• Critical minerals
• Nuclear power capabilities
• AI research excellence
• Lumber and building materials
• Automotive
• Agriculture

By emphasizing these assets, Canada is demonstrating that doing business with us is not just beneficial but strategically smarter than alternatives.

Government Support

The Canadian government has a track record of supporting businesses during trade disputes. We can expect measures to be put in place to assist affected industries if the tariffs are implemented.

The following column by Cambridge Chamber President and CEO Greg Durocher appears in the winter edition of our INSIGHT Magazine

There’s a chance we might be panicking over nothing after Donald Trump was again elected this past fall as President of the United States, defying political norms in a way few others have.

Despite being a convicted felon—yes, by a jury of his peers, not a partisan judge—Trump secured his return to the highest office in the land, with a staggering 34 convictions under his belt. His campaign rhetoric was, as always, polarizing and often crossed the line of decency. 

Politics has clearly changed since there was a time when even a fraction of Trump's controversies would have ended a political career. Yet here we are. Some Canadians celebrated his victory, but it perplexes me why anyone north of the border would since he has demonstrated little regard for Canada, dismissing us as an afterthought despite our deep economic ties.

The truth is America’s prosperity is intrinsically linked to our resources and partnership.

Canada: An Indispensable Ally

Consider this: 60% of the crude oil the U.S. consumes comes from Canada. Saskatchewan supplies uranium, which is essential for energy production and national security, and potash essential for the agriculture industry. Quebec powers the northeastern United States with hydroelectricity. Alberta’s natural gas and Canada’s aluminum and steel exports are cornerstones of U.S. infrastructure.

But what would happen if we turned off the taps? A trade war would hurt us both, but Canada’s contribution to the U.S. economy is undeniable. Trump’s focus should be on challenges like China and Russia, not antagonizing U.S. allies.

Revisiting NAFTA and Trade Tactics

However, his threats are nothing new since we’ve seen this playbook before. In 2016, Trump declared NAFTA (North American Free Trade Agreement) dead, demanding a "fair deal." After much posturing, the agreement was merely updated—something long overdue. Trump called it a victory, and his supporters cheered him on, but the changes were only modest at best.

Similarly, his famous promise to build a wall funded by Mexico resulted in just 732 km of construction—most of which replaced existing barriers. Mexico, of course, didn’t pay a dime and some of the "new" wall even deteriorated quickly, bogged down by allegations of corruption among Trump’s staff.

The Reality of Trump’s First Term

Let’s be honest—Trump’s first term was marked by unfulfilled promises and many controversies. His pandemic response was completely disastrous, with state governors openly criticizing his lack of leadership. Who could forget his infamous suggestion to inject bleach as a COVID-19 treatment? Why would a person even suggest that? Trump signed agreements that drove up gas prices, contributing to inflation.

Running a country is vastly different from running a private business, and Trump’s approach often revealed his lack of governance expertise.

What’s Next?

His 25% tariff plan threat on Canadian goods are likely bluster—an opening gambit to pressure Canada and Mexico into renegotiating trade agreements. It really is a strategy very reminiscent of his NAFTA theatrics.

In the end, we’ll likely see a slightly revised deal that Trump will tout as another one of his "wins." Of course, his base will applaud, despite little substantial change.

Canada’s Challenge

For Canadians, Trump’s presidency is very concerning since his leadership style— always chaotic and self-serving—offers no real benefit to Canada. Therefore, we must brace ourselves for uncertainty and prepare to protect our interests.

Meanwhile, south of the border, Americans will face the consequences of his polarizing and often ineffective leadership.

In the end, Trump’s bravado may have won temporary support from his base, but we must remember it’s critical to separate rhetoric from results. As the old saying goes, “Be careful what you wish for—you just might get it.”

The end to the recent Canada Post strike came as welcomed news to many businesses but it has inevitably raised concerns about the reliability of one of Canada’s primary delivery services.

While strikes are not uncommon, the disruption they cause can have lasting effects on stakeholder confidence. For many businesses, especially small and medium enterprises (SMEs), this disruption may have eroded trust in Canada Post as the overall impacts continue to be tallied. 

“This has been totally devastating to us and our 900 customers,” says Frank Mosey, owner of Tstone Mailing Inc., a Cambridge-based direct mailing business. “Currently, we have lost about 250K in revenue and that pales in comparison to what our customers are experiencing.”

He is not alone. According to Canadian Federation of Independent Business (CFIB) President Dan Kelly, smaller firms had been losing $100 million per day with a total damage of $1.6 billion since the month-long strike started Nov. 16.

“Nearly three-quarters of small firms report they will reduce their dependence on Canada Post going forward, making it even more challenging for the corporation to operate in the future,” he was quoted by the Financial Post.

Reliability an issue

To restore confidence, Canada Post will need to demonstrate its reliability in the months ahead. Proactive measures, such as transparent communication, operational improvements, and compensatory programs for affected businesses, could help mitigate lingering concerns.

“There’s no question about it, there is a lot of Canadian businesses that aren’t going to have faith in the Canadian postal system any longer and they are going to try and find alternative solutions; whether it’s through technology or whether it’s through other services that are available,” says Cambridge Chamber of Commerce President and CEO Greg Durocher. “I think the message to Canada Post is ‘you’d better fix what’s wrong’. Canada Post can't keep losing $750 million dollars a year and continue to operate and really needs to figure out how to do things better.”

While he believes Canada Post workers deserve a wage increase and to participate in a fair negotiation, he says the impact of this labour dispute reached the critical stage very quickly and that support for the 55,000 striking Canada Post workers rapidly waned as the strike dragged on. 

Key bargaining issues have centred around potential expansion into weekend deliveries, with the two sides at odds over how to staff the expansion, plus wage increases, a cost-of-living allowance, and more job protections. Canadian Union of Postal Workers (CUPW) members resumed operations Dec. 17 under the terms of the current collective agreements until May 22, 2025.

Businesses need predictability

During the strike, the Canadian Chamber of Commerce network sent two letters to Labour and Seniors Minister Steven MacKinnon and Public Services and Procurement Minister Jean-Yves Duclos, calling for intervention from the Federal Government to end the walkout. The letters were signed by Chambers and Boards of Trade nationwide, including the Cambridge Chamber.

“According to Statistics Canada’s Canadian Survey on Business Conditions, 90 percent of businesses that recently experienced supply chain obstacles expect those difficulties to either persist or worsen over the coming three months,” the second letter dated Dec. 11 stated. “Businesses need predictability in our supply chains, and yet another labour disruption has unfortunately continued the alarming trend of work stoppages limiting Canada’s ability to deliver goods. This issue extends far beyond gifts and holiday cards; it affects the viability of small businesses and families’ livelihoods.”

Greg agrees and says Canadian businesses should not be held responsible for Canada Post, especially if talk of a potential bailout surfaces if the Crown corporation can’t make the necessary repairs to its financial house.

Shipments continue to shrink

“I think Canada Post has to be responsible for itself. Canadian businesses will support it if it takes that responsibility and does the things it needs to do in order to become profitable, or at least break even,” he says.

In terms of finances, according to its 2023 Annual Report Canada Post recorded a loss before tax of $748 million, compared to a loss before tax of $548 million in 2022 and predicts larger unsustainable losses in the future unless structural challenges with its operating model are addressed.

Also, the postal service’s share of the parcel market has fallen to 29 per cent from 62 per cent before the COVID-19 pandemic, as Amazon and other competitors seized on skyrocketing demand for next-day doorstep deliveries. Canada Post’s shipments have shrunk by nearly a quarter since 2020 to 296 million parcels in 2023.

“Businesses are fed up with government agencies and institutions who leave them in a lurch at a very difficult time and they’re going to try find solutions that will give them a permanent fix to the problem,” says Greg. “I’m sure there are many Canadian businesses that have already done that.”

The holiday shopping season is a bustling time for many businesses, but it also attracts increased criminal activity.

With higher foot traffic, extended hours, and valuable inventory on display, businesses can become prime targets for theft, fraud, and other crimes.

“It really is going to depend on the type of what business you have,” says Const. Chris Iden, Public Information Officer with the Waterloo Regional Police Service, explaining that putting promotional material or displays at the front of the business often limits visibility inside the store. “Business operators should make sure things are well visible from the outside since a criminal ultimately doesn’t want to be seen when they’re doing their act.”

Also, he says having security cameras is a plus for businesses, noting feasibility is often a big issue especially for smaller ones.

“If people are going to invest in a camera system, which I heavily encourage, just be aware that it’s not always a deterrent. But it does assist in the investigation quite heavily,” says Const. Iden, adding it’s become common for some businesses to be targeted multiple times by thieves. “What’s important is to make sure that you’re not setting yourself up again and you learn how a crime can be prevented from happening again.”

Break and enters a focal point

He recommends communicating with staff when it comes to strengthening your security measures, especially this time of year.

“Your staff is normally the eyes and ears of your business,” says Const. Iden. “They see what is happening.”

In terms of local crime overall, Const. Iden says a key focal point for WRPS is break and enters as well as robberies involving violence and weapons. 

Data shows that the Crime Severity Index (CSI) in the Waterloo Region decreased by 4.4% in 2023, with violent crime severity dropping by 5.7% and non-violent crime severity by 3.7%. These reductions suggest some success in addressing key public safety issues. However, despite this improvement, the region remains the second highest among major Ontario cities for severe crime, surpassed only by Thunder Bay.

“It goes without saying that gun violence throughout the region is a big focal point,” says Const. Iden.

Economic strains, organized crime, and the opioid crisis have been identified as significant contributors to crime in the region, which is why he says community engagement is pivotal. This includes having business owners or their employees immediately report incidents, depending on the situation, which may require a 911 call or by filing an online report.

“We take all that information in, and it helps dictate our strategized policing model,” says Const. Iden, noting the Galt core due its transient population and the commercial area around Hespeler and Pinebush roads due to its proximity to Highway 401 remain ‘hotspots’ for criminal activity in Cambridge.

Police reactively responding

“We have our (WRPS) direct action response team that’s constantly working in these two areas,” he says, adding the WRPS’ community engagement unit works closely with The Bridges shelter when it comes to the city’s unhoused population. “If we can get people to the resources they need and hopefully get them into some kind of subsidized housing, it will address these issues in the long term.”

But in the meantime, Const. Iden says the WRPS continues to reactively respond to calls from businesses, whether it’s a property crime or reports of unwanted persons.

“Businesses are reaching out and they’re curious since things are always changing. It’s hard to forecast how things are going to look in the future, especially since we’ve had such a social dynamic change in the last few years,” he says. “Our call volume is going up every year and it’s one of the challenges we have, but we’re definitely doing our best with what we’ve got, and I can tell you we are aware of the issues happening and are not turning a blind eye.”

Crime by the numbers

Regional stats compiled by the WRPS from Jan. 1-Nov. 14,  2023, and Jan. 1 to Nov. 14, 2024:

Commercial Property Damage

2023: 114 calls

2024: 93 calls

Unwanted persons (Commercial)

2023: 682 calls

2024: 711 calls

Commercial Thefts (Under $5,000)

2023: 322 Calls

2024: 272 calls

Shoplifting (Under $5,000)

2023: 819 calls

2024: 1223 calls

Implementing preventive measures can reduce risks and help your business operate securely. Here are some tips:

1. Secure Your Premises

Install High-Quality Locks: Use deadbolts and reinforced locks on all doors and windows.

Use Security Cameras: Install visible surveillance cameras both inside and outside the premises. 

Adequate Lighting: Ensure all areas around your property, including entrances, exits, and parking lots, are well-lit to discourage criminal activity.

2. Control Access

Restrict Employee Access: Limit who can access sensitive areas such as cash registers, safes, or stockrooms.

Key Management: Implement a key control system to track who has access to keys and change locks if keys are lost.

Electronic Access Systems: Consider using swipe cards or biometric systems for added security.

3. Train Your Staff

Recognize Suspicious Behaviour: Educate employees on how to spot and respond to suspicious individuals or activities.

Handle Cash Safely: Train staff to minimize the amount of cash on hand and make bank deposits at varying times to reduce predictability.

Emergency Procedures: Conduct regular drills so employees know what to do in case of robbery or other emergencies.

4. Invest in Technology

Alarm Systems: Install a reliable alarm system with motion detectors and glass break sensors.

Inventory Tracking: Use inventory management software to detect discrepancies that may indicate theft.

Remote Monitoring: Enable remote access to security systems so you can monitor your business anytime.

5. Collaborate with Police

Build Relationships: Develop a rapport with local law enforcement and participate in community crime prevention programs.

Report Suspicious Activity: Inform the authorities immediately if you notice unusual behaviour or suspect criminal intent.

6. Create a Community Network

Neighbouring Businesses: Share crime prevention strategies with nearby businesses to keep the area secure.

Join Business Watch Programs: Participate in local programs where businesses collaborate to deter criminal activity.

7. Insure Your Business

Adequate Coverage: Ensure your insurance policy covers theft, vandalism, and other potential losses.

Review Regularly: Update your policy as your business grows or changes to maintain adequate protection.

The federal Liberals 2024 budget landed last week to mixed reviews, especially among Chamber of Commerce leaders.

While Deputy Prime Minister Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland kept her promise to keep the deficit from growing without raising income taxes on the middle class by tabling Budget 2024: Fairness for Every Generation with a projected deficit of $39.8 billion, slightly below the $40 billion projected last fall, the document contained few surprises.

“Most of the major new spending was announced by the government over the last few weeks, and the government’s projections for the deficit are largely in line with previous predictions. Instead of using a revenue windfall to reduce the deficit more quickly, the government chose to use it along with changes to the capital gains tax, to fund this new spending,” said Perrin Beatty, President and CEO, Canadian Chamber of Commerce, in a release. “What’s still missing is a clear plan to promote productivity and restore economic growth in Canada. Canada continues to slip further behind our competitors in both of these categories.”

This sentiment is shared by Cambridge Chamber of Commerce President and CEO Greg Durocher, who says business operators regularly share their frustrations with him regarding the difficulties they continue to face trying to conduct business.

“Their concerns do not seem to reach the ears of the those who make the decisions,” he says. “The reality of it is the framework around how this current federal government wants to address the issues of the day are not conducive to solving the problem but probably more conducive to deepening the problem.”

Housing affordability crisis

Among these issues is the housing affordability crisis, which the budget addresses by putting special emphasis on generational fairness and helping younger people – Millennials and Generation Zs — with programs to help renters and first-time home buyers. While this may bring some relief, Greg says there are other ways to address the issue in a less costly manner.

“There is no secret to building more homes. You must create a market for home builders to access and ensure interest rates are acceptable for homeowners to borrow money and you must simply reduce the costs to developers in building the product we desperately need. None of these issues have ever been addressed by any level of government to this point,” he says, adding despite any incentive programs local political bureaucracies often create barriers for development. “You can throw all kinds of mud up against the wall, but none of it is going to stick when it’s already dry.”

Besides housing, the Ontario Chamber of Commerce says the budget should have addressed the need to build better resiliency surrounding supply chains by providing targeted financial support for small and medium-sized businesses. It has recommended the federal government work with the private sector to invest in digitization infrastructure and explore contingency plans for key trading partners and assess potential vulnerabilities.

“I think those are just sensible things our federal government should always be doing to ensure the flow of goods and services can happen because every issue that all levels of government deal with requires a strong, vibrant economy in order to find solutions to those problems,” says Greg. “Building a more resilient supply chain shouldn’t even part of a budget, it should be a core element of the government’s role.”

Despite these concerns, both he and Beatty both welcomed the budget’s move to support interprovincial trade through the creation of the Canadian Internal Trade Data and Information Hub, something the Chamber network has been seeking for several years.

“Strengthening our internal trade could elevate GDP growth by up to 8% and fortify Canada’s economic foundation,” said Beatty in a release. “It shouldn’t be easier to trade with Europe than it is within our own country.”

Economic survival imperative

Besides interprovincial trade, the budget’s promised investment of $2.4 billion towards building AI infrastructure and adoption advancement also came as welcomed news.

“The investment in AI infrastructure and support of start-ups in the AI field is good for business,” says Greg, adding he was disappointed the budget didn’t contain more regarding the co-ordination of broadband investments with the private sector. “The government has done nothing to extend broadband coverage to remote and rural communities and the fact of the matter is if you don’t have internet, you can’t do business. You can’t function without the most advanced technology.”

Overall, he says the 2024 federal budget sends a clear signal the current government is forgoing economic survival in favour of more social programming, a move that doesn’t bode well for conducting business in Canada.

“While I support taking care of those who can’t care for themselves, and every business I know supports initiatives to help others, we also have to recognize the No. 1 objective of any level of government is to ensure a strong and vibrant economy,” he says. “There are very little initiatives in this budget signalling that Canada wants to develop a robust economy.”

Click here to read the budget.

Several measures announced in the federal budget to assist Ontario’s business community. These include:

• Addressing the housing affordability crisis by investing in building more homes, making it easier to own or rent, and creating new programs to supply low-income affordable housing for those who need it most. The government is proposing a combination of tax measures, low-cost financing and loans, utilization of public lands, streamlined approvals, and programs to assist homebuyers and renters directly.
• Building AI infrastructure and advancing adoption through a $2.4 billion investment. A significant portion of this investment is dedicated to building and providing access to computing infrastructure. An additional $200 million is allocated to support AI start-ups to bring new technologies to the market and accelerate adoption in critical economic sectors.
• Advancing economic reconciliation through a national Indigenous Loan Guarantee Program and funding for Indigenous Financial Institutions that will accelerate capital for Indigenous-owned businesses and projects, support project development, reduce the cost of borrowing, and enable Indigenous communities to benefit from natural resource projects.
• Supporting interprovincial trade through the creation of the Canadian Internal Trade Data and Information Hub, intended to enable all levels of government to work together to eliminate barriers to trade and labour mobility.

The Ontario Chamber network is calling for further action in the following areas:

• Co-ordinating broadband investments with the private sector to avoid duplication and maximize the impact of public programs to enhance redundancy resiliency within broadband networks, collaborating with provinces and territories to establish future federal goals for broadband connectivity, assess opportunities for promoting competition and private sector investments in the sector, and expedite funding commitments while improving coordination with stakeholders to address gaps in private sector expansion plans.
• Bolstering Canada’s life sciences ecosystem by creating new funding streams to encourage innovation and high-risk ventures, working with stakeholders to review approval processes, and enhancing regional collaboration.
• Building more resilient supply chains through targeted financial support for small and medium-sized enterprises, working with the private sector to invest in digitization infrastructure, expanding capacity across all modes and channels of distribution, exploring contingency plans for key trading partners, and conducting an assessment to identify bottlenecks and vulnerabilities.
• Implementing broader Employment Insurance reform to reflect the needs of today’s workforce by ensuring the governance, programs, policies, and operations are viable and sustainable, responsive, and adaptable, non-partisan, inclusive, and relevant for current and future generations of Canadian employers and employees.

Buying an existing business can be a strategic move that saves an entrepreneur a substantial amount of hard work and offers numerous advantages over starting or expanding a current venture from scratch.

Purchasing an existing business offers a head-start in terms of market presence and brand recognition, while building a brand from scratch requires extensive time, effort, and resources. However, buying a business with an established brand allows the new owner to capitalize on existing customer loyalty and market reputation, something Carson O’Neill, Managing Principal of Rincroft Inc., a local firm which facilitates the sale of medium-sized businesses, believes. 

“What I like about goodwill is that you have repeat customers and it’s not necessarily something you will see on the income statement,” he says. “Goodwill is sort of an elusive thing but it’s important that you have customers coming back. Even in this electronic and digital age, we are creatures of habit and if I go into a store and somebody goes that extra mile, at least with me, I will remember that.”

It is also one of many things to consider when it comes to purchasing an existing business, says Carson.

Another key consideration for those seeking to purchase an existing business is establishing clear parameters, in terms of the industry they wish to buy into and the size of the business. 

“Ideally, the buyer should have a background and relevant expertise in the industry which brings value to the business they are buying,” says Carson. “Buyers are often so enthusiastic they want to come out of the gate with their foot on the accelerator without understanding where the tracks are. I wouldn’t encourage people to buy a business in an industry they know nothing about.”

Emotions can cloud 'good judgment'

He says emotions can sometimes play a role in the decision-making process, which in turn can cloud “good judgment”, noting it can take at least six months from start to finish to complete a business sale.

“It can be very costly if you buy the wrong kind of business and it’s not like trying to get another job,” says Carson. “If you have your money sunk into a business that doesn’t work out, it’s a very different thing.”

Buying an existing business can save hard work by minimizing the risks associated with start-up ventures. Start-ups face a high failure rate, with many new businesses failing within the first few years of operation. By purchasing an existing business with a proven track record, entrepreneurs can mitigate some of the risks associated with starting a new venture. This can provide greater peace of mind and increase the likelihood of long-term success.

“What you hear about are the successful start-ups. The media loves to talk about somebody who started a business in their family room on a computer, or was making something in the garage,” says Carson. “What you don’t hear about is the number of business failures.”

That’s why he recommends to his clients looking to expand their business by integrating it with another or those getting into business for the first time, to find an owner who is nearing retirement but prepared to remain involved through the transition of ownership to ensure continuity is maintained. 

“If the owner feels welcomed in the transition, the buyer is less threatening,” he says. “It’s more of a seamless transition.”

While the acquisition process may be easier to navigate for an established medium-sized business that has the resources to undertake a new venture, Carson says many business purchases are often first-time experiences for both parties.

“You’re dealing with people on both sides of the street trying to come together,” he says. “That’s why the basics are important and they both bear that in mind because they are trying to get a friendly deal.”

Essential tips to consider when buying a business:

Define Your Goals: Whether it's to expand your existing operations, enter a new market, or pursue a passion, knowing your goals will help guide your search and evaluation process.

Industry Research: Understand market trends, competition, and potential growth opportunities. This knowledge will help you assess the viability and potential success of the business.

Financial Analysis: Review financial statements, cash flow projections, and historical performance. Consider hiring an accountant or financial advisor to help assess the business's financial health and value.

Due Diligence: Perform thorough due diligence to uncover any potential risks or liabilities associated with the business. This includes reviewing contracts, leases, licenses, and legal documents. Consider hiring legal experts to assist in the due diligence process.

Assess Assets and Liabilities: Evaluate the business's assets, including inventory, equipment, intellectual property, and customer contracts. Also, assess any existing liabilities, such as debts, pending lawsuits, or tax obligations.

Understand the Reason for Sale: Determine why the current owner is selling the business. It could be due to retirement, health issues, or declining profitability. Understanding the reason for sale can provide insights into the business's condition and potential challenges.

Evaluate Management and Employees: Assess the competency and experience of the existing management team and employees. Consider whether you'll retain key personnel post-acquisition and how their departure might impact the business's operations.

Customer Base and Reputation: Consider factors such as customer loyalty, satisfaction levels, and brand perception. A strong customer base and positive reputation can contribute to the business's long-term success.

Legal and Regulatory Compliance: Ensure the business complies with all relevant laws, regulations, and industry standards. Verify licenses, permits, and regulatory approvals are up to date. 

Negotiate Terms and Purchase Agreement: Seek legal advice to ensure the agreement protects your interests and addresses key aspects such as price, payment terms, warranties, and post-acquisition support.

Seek Professional Advice: Consider seeking guidance from experienced professionals, such as business brokers, lawyers, accountants, and financial advisors. Their expertise can help navigate the complexities of buying a business and increase the likelihood of a successful acquisition.

High inflation, interest rates and housing costs continue to drive pessimism in Ontario’s economic outlook, according to the Ontario Chamber of Commerce’s (OCC) eighth annual Ontario Economic Report (OER). 

Despite this, many businesses surveyed remain confident in their own outlooks, with 53% expecting to grow in 2024.

“In spite of the fact there seems to be a mood of pessimism in the air, the reality of it is there seems to be more bright lights than there are dim lights,” says Cambridge Chamber of Commerce President and CEO Greg Durocher. “We’ve had years where business confidence and prospects of being confident are going to be over 60% but given where we are today, I think having around 50% of businesses confident they are going to have a good year and grow is a positive sign.”

However, he says that figure doesn’t minimize the economic issues facing businesses, including affordability and also notes the struggle to achieve necessary tax reform measures continues.

“We must also ensure there is a balance or equity in tax distribution from not only a cost perspective but also on deployment so when money is being handed out it’s being handed out appropriately,” says Greg.

The OER contains regional and sector-specific data on business confidence and growth, public policy priorities, regional forecasts, and timely business issues such as supply chains, employee well-being, diversity, equity and inclusion, economic reconciliation, and climate change.

The report, compiled from a survey of businesses provincewide conducted between Oct. 12 and Nov. 21 and received just under 1,900 responses, states that 13% of businesses are confident in Ontario’s economic outlook. That represents a 3% drop from last year and a 29% drop from the year before with the cost of living and inputs, inflation, and housing affordability as the key factors for the confidence decline.

The sector showing the most confidence was mining, with the least confidence being shown in the agriculture, non-profit and healthcare social assistance sectors. The most confident regions were Northeastern and Northwestern Ontario, both at 23%, and the least were Kitchener-Waterloo, Windsor-Sarnia, and Stratford-Bruce County. (The survey indicated these latter two regions had a high share of respondents in the non-profit and agriculture sectors compared to other regions).

“As the report suggests, businesses still need to grapple with economic headwinds and many of those headwinds are limiting their ability to invest in important issues within the workplace and that may well be part of the reason they are having difficulty hiring people,” says Greg. “That said, entrepreneurs are interesting individuals, and they always will find a way to wiggle themselves through the difficulties of the economy.”

He questions whether the pessimism around growth and confidence outlined in the survey is related to the economy or stems more from the fact many businesses are unable to hire the people they require so they can grow their business.

“There are lots of companies out there that need people and that’s always a good thing when you’re at a very low unemployment rate now which is hovering around the 5% rate,” says Greg, noting he receives calls and emails daily from local companies seeking workers. “As inflation starts to drop and as the Bank of Canada rates start to drop, I think we’ll see that pessimism go away.”

Read the report.

Outlook highlights: 

• Small businesses are less confident (12%) than larger businesses (22%) due to challenges with repaying debt, fluctuations in consumer spending, inflationary pressures, and workforce-related challenges such as mental health.
• Simplifying business taxes is identified as a major policy priority of 50% of surveyed businesses. 
• Confidence in Ontario’s economic outlook varies considerably across industries and is lowest within the agriculture sector (3%), non-profit (8%), health care and social assistance (8%), and retail (10%) sectors. 
• Confidence is highest in the province’s mining (46%) and utilities (27%) industries, both of which benefited from strong growth and investments in the province’s electrification infrastructure and electric vehicle supply chains. 
• Businesses in Northeast and Northwest Ontario exhibit the highest confidence at 23%, where the mining industry is a major employer.